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ATP Swiss Open Final Odds & Pick: Roger Federer vs Alex De Minaur

Hans Themistode

by Hans Themistode in Tennis

Updated Apr 9, 2020 · 3:06 PM PDT

Roger Federer serving
Roger Federer will take on Alex De Minaur in the Swiss Open final. Photo by Doha Stadium Plus Qatar (flickr) [CC License].
  • Alex De Minaur is looking to pull off the biggest win of his career when he takes on Roger Federer in the Swiss Open Final
  • Can Roger Federer take home his tenth Swiss Open title?
  • Will young Alex De Minaur prove that his time is now or will Federer turn back his young opponent?

The Swiss Open has officially reached its ending point.

Waiting at the finish line is two players who have dominated their competition to make it this far. They are also the complete opposite in terms of where their careers are currently heading.

With Roger Federer holding a record 20 grand slam titles to his name, and Alex De Minaur, although not nearly as accomplished, he has proven to be one of the bright young stars in the game of tennis.

Even with the brilliant 2019 season and youth in his favor, oddsmakers aren’t expecting this contest to be a passing of the torch as they have pegged Federer as the clear favorite.

Roger Federer vs Alex De Minaur Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
Roger Federer -4.5 (-101) -902 O 21 (-107)
Alex De Minaur +4.5 (-119) +687 U 21 (-113)

*Odds taken October 26, 2019

Roger Eyes a Tenth Swiss Open Title

Roger Federer has always been dominant in his career, but the bright lights that are associated with the Swiss Open have brought out the best in him every single time.

Not only has the crowd favorite won nine titles at this event, but he has also now reached the tournament final 15 times in total.

Federer’s quest to win yet another title started with a first-round matchup with Peter Gojowczyk. Federer was expected to run right through Gojowczyk and he did exactly that as he routed his man in less than an hour.

Gojowczyk just couldn’t get anything going throughout the match as Federer converted on 5 break point chances.

The number 49 player in the world Radu Albot was awaiting Federer in the next round.

Again, Federer was expected to win the matchup, but at the very least, Albot was viewed as a player that would make him work. Those who were expecting a close matchup were completely wrong. Federer didn’t just win the first set, he didn’t lose a single game. The second set was a bit more competitive but it was much of the same.

Swiss Open fans were expecting a high-level matchup between Federer and Stan Wawrinka but unfortunately, the aforementioned Wawrinka was forced to withdraw before the contest even began.

The semifinals saw rising star Stefanos Tsitsipas stand across the net from Federer. Even with the unbelievable 2019 that Tsitsipas is having, he was simply no match for Federer as he won yet another contest in straight sets. With another final at the Swiss Open under his belt, Federer will have to take on another young up and coming player.

Federer Has Been Dominant but so Has Alex De Minaur

There’s a reason why the 20-year-old Alex De Minaur has received such high praise from just about everyone. His ability to keep balls in play and maintain his own serve is already amongst the elite.

Things started off easy for De Minaur as he absolutely routed Hugo Dellien for a straight-sets win in the opening round.

His following opponent, Taylor Fritz, proved to be no match as well. The hard-hitting Fritz has one of the most reliable serves in the sport but was easily broken four times during the contest. It was becoming increasingly clear for the rest of De Minaur’s competition that he was beginning to find his grove.

The run of De Minaur continued as he took care of business against Jan Lennard Struff as well. Just when it looked as though no one would provide any competition for De Minaur, he found things extremely difficult when he took on Reilly Opelka in the semifinals. It took three sets, which all ended in extremely close tiebreakers, but De Minaur managed to make it to his first Swiss Open final.

Who Holds the Edge?

With Federer coming in at 18 years older than his opponent, it comes as no surprise to see that these two have yet to play each other.

Federer vs De Minaur Stats

Roger Federer
Alex De Minaur
3 Rankings 28
34-5 Hard Court Wins 29-10
54-8 Total Wins/Losses This Season 32-17
3 Titles Won This Season 3

What more can be said about Federer at this point?

He holds the record for the most grand slam titles with 20 and although he is getting up there in age, he hasn’t shown any signs of slowing down. Even with his dominance, however, don’t expect him to simply walk through De Minaur. The world number 28 has the ability to put any ball back in play. His speed and timing could cause major issues for Federer

Who to Put Your Money On?

Alex De Minaur is one of the best players in the world. The fact that he is only 20 years of age is remarkable. His future in tennis is as bright as any of the young stars in the game today. With that being said, his time won’t come now.

With this tournament taking place in Federer’s hometown of Switzerland, he always puts on a great performance.

All that is left between Federer and a tenth Swiss Open title is Alex De Minaur, expect the hometown favorite to lift his tenth Swiss Open title.

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