2026 Ballon d’Or Odds Tracker

Updated: August 6, 2026 at 4:43 pm EDT

Who are this year’s favorites to win the Ballon d’Or?
Harry Kane, Lamine Yamal & Rodri are the latest favorites to win the Ballon d’Or in 2026
Track the odds movement for every contender throughout the year

We’re tracking the 2026 Ballon d’Or Award odds movement for every player contending to take home the award, for the players who have dominated their domestic leagues and continental championships, to those who lifted this year’s World Cup.

The graphs and tables on this page are generated by collecting odds from our most trusted sportsbooks and we’ll continue to update them through to the day the Ballon d’Or is awarded on October 26th.

2026 Ballon d’Or Top Contenders

2026 Ballon d’Or Top Contender Odds

Player	Odds
Harry Kane	-115
Lamine Yamal	+275
Rodri	+500
Kylian Mbappe	+500
Lionel Messi	+1600
Fabian Ruiz	+2000
Pau Cubarsi	+2500
Ousmane Dembele	+3000
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia	+3000
Michael Olise	+4000

Odds as of August 6th at DraftKings Sportsbook.

2026 Ballon d’Or Odds Movement Timeline

August 6 – Kane has now moved into odds-on favorite territory, averaging -112 to pick up the Ballon d’Or.
July 28 – We’re just over two weeks removed since Spain lifted the World Cup and unsurprisingly two Spaniards have climbed to the top of the Ballon d’Or odds table. Lamine Yamal (+225) and Rodri (+350) are just behind the favorite Kane, who’s now a very short +125.
May 7 – Harry Kane has opened as the 2026 Ballon d’Or favorite in a big way. The Bayern Munich & England striker is currently getting +250 to win the best footballer award for the first time. He’s currently sitting ahead of three Champions League finalists: Declan Rice (+400), Ousmane Dembele (+400), and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (+700).

Recent Ballon d’Or Winners

Year	Player
2025	Ousmane Dembele
2024	Rodri
2023	Lionel Messi
2022	Karim Benzema
2021	Lionel Messi
2020	Not Awarded Due to COVID-19 Pandemic
2019	Lionel Messi
2018	Luka Modric
2017	Cristiano Ronaldo
2016	Cristiano Ronaldo

From 2008 to 2017, the Ballon d’Or award was dominated by two names: Cristiano Ronaldo and Lionel Messi. Messi continued to pick up wins in ’19, ’21, and ’23, but lately we’ve seen new names continue to appear on the final ballot. In fact, since 2022 there have been no repeat names among the first, second, and third-place finishers for the Ballon d’Or.

Most Ballon d’Or Awards

Player	# of Wins	Years Won
Lionel Messi	8	2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2015, 2019, 2021, 2023
Cristiano Ronaldo	5	2008, 2013, 2014, 2016, 2017
Michel Platini	3	1983, 1984, 1985
Johan Cruyff	3	1971, 1973, 1974
Marco van Basten	3	1988, 1989, 1992
Franz Beckenbauer	2	1972, 1976
Ronaldo	2	1997, 2002
Alfredo Di Stefano	2	1957, 1959
Kevin Keegan	2	1978, 1979
Karl-Heinz Rummenigge	2	1980, 1981

With Messi winning two of the past three Ballon d’Ors, he now has a two-win lead over Ronaldo at 7-5 when it comes to the most-ever Ballon d’Or wins.

Archived Trackers:

2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019

Ian Jones

MLB, NFL & MLS Writer

With a background in content marketing, literature, and design, Ian has been bringing a little bit of everything to SBD since 2021. In addition to having penned articles for Eighty-Six Forever, Ian can and will talk your ear off over almost any sport you can think of.

NFL MLB Soccer NCAAB