Novak Djokovic vs Cameron Norrie Odds & Prediction – Wimbledon Semifinals

By Stephanie Myles in Tennis
Updated: September 19, 2024 at 9:13 am EDTPublished:

- Novak Djokovic is a massive favorite vs Cameron Norrie in Friday’s Wimbledon semifinal
- The winner will play Nick Kyrgios, who won the other semifinal by default after Rafael Nadal withdrew
- Read on as we break down the Novak Djokovic vs Cameron Norrie matchup, and look for value beyond the moneyline
With all of the drama on the other side of the draw involving Nick Kyrgios’s off-court issues and Rafael Nadal’s abdominal tear, Novak Djokovic has sort of cruised through this Wimbledon under the radar. Friday will feature a Novak Djokovic vs Cameron Norrie matchup with a ticket to the final on the line.
Considering Djokovic has won the last three editions of the tournament, that’s an impressive feat.
Djokovic vs Norrie Odds
Player | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
[1] Novak Djokovic (SRB) | -7.5 (-112) | -1430 | O 30.5 (-121) |
[9] Cameron Norrie (GBR) | +7.5 (-109) | +900 | U 30.5 (+100) |
Odds as of July 7 at Barstool Sportsbook. Get this ESPN BET promo code before betting on Wimbledon
Djokovic is a prohibitive favorite to reach the final, as he’s been since before it began.
It remains true even if his opponent, Cameron Norrie, has played brilliant tennis the last year or so, is No. 12 in the world, is a lefty, and will have most of Centre Court rooting for him.
Djokovic Dodges Sinner Challenge in Five
It wasn’t looking quite that good when 20-year-old Jannik Sinner was dominant in winning the first two sets against the No. 1 seed in their quarterfinal match.
Sinner looked great; Djokovic looked rather flat.
But the best-of-five format has proven a great friend to the top guys time and time again. Once the Djokovic machine started purring, there wasn’t much the young Italian could do.

It was like two different matches in one.
Djokovic gave up just seven games in the final three sets and won 20 more points overall.
#Djokovic "The toilet break was the turning point, I gave myself a pep talk in front of the mirror. I had to change something. I was not playing well, I was not feeling well and I was dominated by #Sinner.” #Wimbledon pic.twitter.com/RCxNXiECHQ
— Robert Smith (@OnyaDon) July 6, 2022
Impressively, Djokovic went 28-for-39 at the net.
He credited some self-talk during a comfort break for the turnaround.
Djokovic vs Norrie Head-to-Head
35 (May 22, 1987) | Age | 26 (Aug. 23, 1995) |
Belgrade, Serbia | Birthplace | Johannesburg, South Africa |
6-2 | Height | 6-2 |
87 | Career ATP Singles Titles | 4 |
No. 1 (July 4, 2011) | Career High Ranking | No. 10 (April 4, 2022) |
No. 3 | Current Ranking | No. 12 |
$156,541,453 | Career Prize Money | $6,355,415 |
21-5 | 2022 Won/Loss record | 32-15 |
1 | Career Head to Head | 0 |
Norrie a Relative Wimbledon Neophyte
Despite his status as a Brit (born in South Africa, and raised in New Zealand a Brit), Norrie hasn’t benefited from the same prodigious number of wild cards as most of his countrymen. Not even into the qualifying, through his years playing college tennis in the US.
Mostly, he’s been overlooked by his own federation.
At 21, in 2017, he got a wild card for the first time. Norrie was 3-4 at Wimbledon coming in, with his best previous result by ranking a first-round win over No. 95 Lucas Pouille a year ago.
So his run to the semis, on the heels of winning just one match in two prep tournaments, was a surprise.

But in the end, his increasingly legendary fitness allowed him to get past a shaken and baked David Goffin in five sets in the quarterfinals.
Norrie has faced just one seed on the runup to the semis – and that was a very low seed, No. 30 Tommy Paul.
Djokovic vs Norrie Match History
Year | Tournament | Surface | Score | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | ATP Tour Finals (RR) | Indoor Hard | 6-2 6-1 | Djokovic |
Centre Court Crowd Will Be Team Norrie
Djokovic will have his fans; he has them around the globe.
But with Andy Murray getting up there, and with a new hip, it has been a pleasant surprise for the British fans to have one of their own to cheer for.
So cheer they will. Maybe even the Prince of Wales and Kate will be on hand again, as they were for his quarterfinal.
If Djokovic finds himself behind and gives the patrons any grist for the mill, they will let him know and that will either motivate him more or throw him off.
Nerves Time for Norrie?
Maybe Norrie’s multi-country background will help him navigate the nerves, given he’s not as dug in as a born-and-raised Brit might be.
He has shown un-Norrie-like emotion at times, during the fortnight. Because most of the time he doesn’t look like he has a pulse.
Breaking!!! Cameron Norrie wins Indian Wells.
And it's possible his pulse just rose to … 25. pic.twitter.com/2f8Q2QnRkV— Stephanie Myles (@OpenCourt) October 18, 2021
But Djokovic can smell the final. He’s not going to let Norrie stand in his way, even if he has to break the collective heart of England to do it.
We do like the possibility of at least one tiebreak, though (+130), and for Norrie to beat the total games spread at +8.5 (-155).
But whoever wins, they will face a very fresh Nick Kyrgios, who won his semifinal when Rafael Nadal withdrew because of his abdominal tear.
Best Bet: Djokovic in Four Sets (+290)
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Sports Writer
Stephanie gets the straight dope from the tennis insiders. On court, she has represented her country internationally. A BA in journalism led to years on the MLB beat and a decade covering tennis globally. She's written for Postmedia, the Guardian, the New York Times and also publishes OpenCourt.ca.