- Novak Djokovic has been the favorite to win Wimbledon 2022 almost since 2021 was Wimble-done
- The absence of several Russians at the top of the game likely won’t change the outcome much.
- Defending finalist Matteo Berrettini is next; we break down the odds and find some good long shots
Novak Djokovic has always been the heavy favorite to win this year’s Wimbledon.
He’s the only one in the negative, and that number hasn’t changed a lot in the last six months. as reflected in the Wimbledon odds.
What has changed some is that Rafael Nadal has joined the party.
Wimbledon Men’s Singles Odds
|||Novak Djokovic (SRB)||-140|
|||Matteo Berrettini (ITA)||+550|
|||Rafael Nadal (ESP)||+650|
|||Carlos Alcaraz (ESP)||+800|
|||Hubert Hurkacz (POL)||+1400|
|||Félix Auger-Aliassime (CAN)||+1400|
|–||Nick Kyrgios (AUS)||+1800|
|||Stefanos Tsitsipas (GRE)||+1800|
|||Marin Cilic (CRO)||+2000|
|–||Andy Murray (GBR)||+2500|
|||Denis Shapovalov (CAN)||+3500|
|||Taylor Fritz (USA)||+5000|
|||John Isner (USA)||+5000|
|||Jannik Sinner (ITA)||+5000|
|||Cameron Norrie (GBR)||+6500|
|[WC]||Tim Van Rijthoven (NED)||+6500|
|||Grigor Dimitrov (BUL)||+8000|
Odds as of June 25 at Barstool Sportsbook
The above odds and more can be found by using the best tennis betting apps.
Good Draw for Berrettini
You wouldn’t have given 2021 finalist Matteo Berrettini much of a shot a month ago, after hand surgery and with so little tennis.
But he returned on the grass in Stuttgart – and won the tournament. Then he went to Queen’s Club – and won the tournament.
Just Rafa and Berrettini taking a selfie on Centre Court (Wimbl. IG) pic.twitter.com/6XALem0H32
— Del🇪🇺 (@Stroppa_Del) June 23, 2022
He’s also in a friendly quarter where the highest seed is Stefanos Tsitsipas, who has yet to have his grass breakthrough.
Watch Out for Nadal
The way Rafael Nadal limped out of Paris – even if he limped out with the trophy– you wouldn’t have given much for his chances at Wimbledon.
He’s won it before, but “only” twice.
But with his No. 2 seeding he’s in the opposite half to Djokovic, and that’s a plus.
Previous Wimbledon Winners and Finalists
|2021|| Novak Djokovic (SRB)|| Matteo Berrettini (ITA)|
|2019|| Novak Djokovic (SRB)|| Roger Federer (SUI)|
|2018|| Novak Djokovic (SRB)|| Kevin Anderson (RSA)|
|2017|| Roger Federer (SUI)|| Marin Cilic (CRO)|
|2016|| Andy Murray (GBR)|| Milos Raonic (CAN)|
|2015|| Novak Djokovic (SRB)|| Roger Federer (SUI)|
|2014|| Novak Djokovic (SRB)|| Roger Federer (SUI)|
Solid grass performers Marin Cilic (the 2017 finalist) and Félix Auger-Aliassime stand in the way of a semifinal between himself and Berrettini.
But that outcome would no longer be surprising as Nadal pronounced the procedure he had on his chronically painful foot after the French Open to be a rousing success.
Wimbledon Top Seeds – Best Results
|Player||Appearances||Main Draw Career W/L||Best Result|
| Novak Djokovic||16||79-10||Winner (6X)|
| Rafael Nadal||14||53-12||Winner (2008,2010)|
| Casper Ruud||3||0-2||1R (2019, 2021)|
| Stefanos Tsitsipas||4||3-4||R16 (2018)|
| Carlos Alcaraz||1||1-1||2R (2021)|
| Félix Auger-Aliassime||2||6-2||QF (2021)|
| Hubert Hurkacz||3||7-3||SF (2021)|
| Matteo Berrettini||3||10-3||F (2021)|
Day 1 Matches to Watch
Jannik Sinner vs Stan Wawrinka
Despite being the favorite, Jannik Sinner comes into Wimbledon with zero grass court matches, as he had to tend to the knee injury that forced him to retire in his fourth-round match at the French Open.
Sinner also has yet to win a match at Wimbledon. Ever.
Wawrinka is 37, and coming back from a pair of knee surgeries. But at least he played a few matches on grass this spring.
And even though it was awhile ago, he made the Wimbledon quarterfinals in both 2014 and 2015.
He’s 2-0 against Sinner on faster surfaces (not grass), although those results came three years ago when Sinner was just turning 18.
If you’re looking for a tasty tennis prop this Wimbledon, tiebreak props are always more prevalent. Take over 1.5 tiebreaks on this one at +210.
Prediction: Wawrinka in four sets (+850)
Casper Ruud vs Albert Ramos-Viñolas
Ruud, despite being the No. 3 seed, is even less experienced on grass than Sinner. And, it has to be said, even more hapless.
He has played Wimbledon twice, going out in the first round in 2019 and 2021. He also lost in the first round of the qualifying in 2018.
The Norwegian, who made the French Open final on clay earlier this month, played one official match on grass and lost to a British wild card at Queen’s Club.
Ramos-Viñolas, 34, is also a clay-courter and has lost in Wimbledon’s first round 6-of-8 times overall. Still, he knows how to play on it and has made the third round on two occasions.
AND … he’s beaten Ruud all five times they’ve played. And … all five times came on clay.
Can you bet on both to lose? No, but it’s an upset in the making with Ramos-Viñolas the underdog at +400 to win outright.
Depending on your appetite for risk, any sets bet on Ramos-Viñolas could pay off big: in three sets (+1700), in four (+1300) or in five (+1150).
Prediction: Over 39.5 Games (+150)
Best Bet: Novak Djokovic (-140)
Longshot: Rafael Nadal (+650)
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