Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner Odds & Prediction – Wimbledon Quarterfinals

By Stephanie Myles in Tennis
Updated: January 6, 2023 at 7:35 am ESTPublished:

- Novak Djokovic had to expect he’d play Carlos Alcaraz in Tuesday’s Wimbledon quarterfinal
- Instead, he will meet No. 10 seed Jannik Sinner, who upset Alcaraz in the round of 16
- Djokovic is a massive favorite; we break down the matchup and make some predictions
With the sheer firepower that 20-year-old Jannik Sinner is capable of, it’s rather shocking that he’s such a big underdog against Novak Djokovic in the Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner Wimbledon quarterfinal, set for Tuesday, July 5.
The biggest difference-maker there is experience.
Djokovic vs Sinner Odds
Player | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
[1] Novak Djokovic (SRB) | -6.5 (-118) | -835 | O 34.5 (-109) |
[10] Jannik Sinner (ITA) | +6.5 (-103) | +600 | U 34.5 (-112) |
Odds as of July 4 at Barstool Sportsbook. Get this Barstool promo code before betting on Wimbledon
Novak Djokovic has 20 Grand Slam titles, six of them at Wimbledon.
And he’s won the last three Wimbledons that were held. No wonder he was the pre-event favorite on the best tennis betting sites.
For Sinner, it’s a third career major quarterfinal, after he reached the final eight last January in Australia as well as in 2020, at the postponed fall version of the French Open.
Notably, he has reached at least the round of 16 at six of his last eight majors. Which is good consistency, but a long way from Djokovic territory.
Sinner Wins Battle of Young Guns
Even without much tennis, and a sleeve on a wonky elbow, Carlos Alcaraz still looked to get through.
Before the tournament began, only Djokovic had better odds than Alcaraz to win their quarter of the draw; Sinner was down at +2800.

But Alcaraz, who is both precocious and prodigious, had a day when he very much looked his tender age.
And Sinner showed a little more experience – even though, until this year, he had never even won a match at Wimbledon.
Djokovic vs Sinner Head-to-Head
35 (May 22, 1987) | Age | 20 (Aug. 16, 2001) |
Belgrade, Serbia | Birthplace | San Candido, Italy |
6-2 | Height | 6-2 |
87 | Career ATP Singles Titles | 5 |
No. 1 (July 4, 2011) | Career High Ranking | No. 9 (Nov. 1, 2021) |
No. 3 | Current Ranking | No. 13 |
$156,541,453 | Career Prize Money | $5,287,174 |
20-5 | 2022 Won/Loss record | 31-8 |
1 | Career Head to Head | 0 |
Djokovic Sees off Rising Grass Star
Djokovic had a potentially big challenge himself, in the breakout player of this year’s grass-court season: wild card Tim Van Rijthoven of the Netherlands.
Van Rijthoven, 25, was outside the top 200 when the deadline for Wimbledon qualifying came and went. Who knows if he gets out of Roehampton, especially with a best-of-five final round.
But because his shock win at ‘s-Hertogenbosch pushed him close to the top 100 (and inside the main draw rankings cutoff), Wimbledon did the right thing and gave him a wild card.
He made them look good with wins over Federico Delbonis, Reilly Opelka and Nikoloz Basilashvili.

But Djokovic is a different level.
Van Rijfthoven managed a set – the second set. But Djokovic quickly righted the ship in a 6-2, 4-6, 6-1, 6-2 victory that didn’t take a ton out of him.
Djokovic vs Sinner Match History
Year | Tournament | Surface | Score | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | Monte Carlo (R32) | Outdoor Clay | 6-4, 6-2 | Djokovic |
Djokovic in Good Form, not Great Form
The former world No. 1, looking to make it four Wimbledons in a row, has had a few hiccups along the way.
He dropped a set to Soonwoo Kwon of Korea in the first round, rolled through Thanasi Kokkinakis and Miomor Kecmanovic, and had another little bobble vs Van Rijthoven.
Generally speaking, though, he’s playing well enough to get to the final (at least). Especially considering who has survived in the other part of the top half of the draw.
Like father like son! Novak Djokovic's son follows in his footsteps with perfect forehand https://t.co/d1xrqsKSTK
— Republic (@republic) July 1, 2022
The match against Sinner might be his toughest until the final. But even as Monday night wore on, Sinner’s odds were getting longer.
Which doesn’t mean Djokovic will roll in straight sets. It would be a huge statement if he did, but Sinner is good.
Best Bet: Djokovic in Four Sets (+270), and over 36.5 Games (+125)
Get this BetRivers bonus for Wimbledon. Bet $25 on any match and get a $10 live free bet!
- BETMGM SPORTSBOOK
USE CODE SBD1500 & GET $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS
- BET365 SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $150 IN BONUS BETS WITH CODE DIME365
- FANATICS SPORTSBOOK
BET & GET UP TO $1,000 IN BONUS BETS!
- DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $200 IN BONUS BETS INSTANTLY!
- FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $250 IF YOUR BET WINS
- CAESARS SPORTSBOOK
USE CODE SBD2DYW & BET $1 TO DOUBLE THE WINNINGS ON YOUR FIRST 10 BETS!
Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, IL, KS, KY, MD, MI, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, WY); (800) 327-5050 or gamblinghelplinema.org (MA); (877) 8-HOPENY (NY); 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ); (888) 789-7777 (CT); 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA); 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN); mdgamblinghelp.org (MD); morethanagame.nc.gov (NC); 1800gambler.net (WV)

Sports Writer
Stephanie gets the straight dope from the tennis insiders. On court, she has represented her country internationally. A BA in journalism led to years on the MLB beat and a decade covering tennis globally. She's written for Postmedia, the Guardian, the New York Times and also publishes OpenCourt.ca.