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Odds Shorten to 33-1 for Elise Mertens to Win Women’s Singles at Australian Open After Second Round

Hayley Graham

by Hayley Graham in Tennis

Updated Mar 22, 2021 · 3:47 PM PDT

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Photo by Marc Schulz, Wikimedia.
  • Elise Mertens’ odds to win the Australian Open have shortened to +3300
  •  Mertens’ odds to win the 3rd quarter have also shortened to +700
  • Serena Williams is still the favorite to win the tournament at +300

The 2020 Australian Open is well underway in Melbourne, with some of the best tennis players in the world competing. After a couple of rounds, many odds have changed including Elise Mertens’. Her Australian Open odds have changed multiple times since the beginning of the tournament. She was listed at +4700 coming into the Aussie Open, was +6067 after the first round, and has now shortened to +3300.

2020 Australian Open Women’s Singles Odds

Player Odds
Serena Williams +300
Naomi Osaka +600
Ashleigh Barty +650
Karolina Pliskova +700
Simona Halep +850
Petra Kvitova +1600
Madison Keys +1800
Elina Svitolina +2000
Belinda Bencic +2500
Elise Mertens +3300
Angelique Kerber +4000
Cori Gauff +4000
Garbine Muguruza +4000
Kiki Bertens +4000
Sofia Kenin +4000

Odds taken Jan 23,. 

Elise Mertens

World No. 17, Elise Mertens is still fighting her way through the 2020 Aussie Open, competing in both the singles and the doubles tournament. In the first and second round of the singles tournament, she’s dominated her way through. She beat her first opponent, Danka Kovinic 6-2, 6-0, and her second opponent, Heather Watson, 6-3, 6-0.

YouTube video

In her first round match, she was able to convert five out of six breakpoints, and win 30 service points. She held her opponent to only 11 receiving points won, and never allowed her to win two or more games in a row.

YouTube video

In Mertens’ second round match against Heather Watson, she was able to dominate again. The two faced each other once again, after seeing each other just a week prior at the Hobart quarterfinals where Watson won. Mertens was able to take advantage of the lack of energy and intensity Watson had, converting six out of eight breakpoints, and serving up four aces.

Aussie Open Women’s Singles 3rd Quarter Odds

Player Odds
Simona Halep +120
Belinda Bencic +500
Elise Mertens +700
Donna Vekic +750
Yulia Putintseva +1000

Odds taken Jan 23, 2020

Elise Mertens’ odds to win the 3rd Quarter have also shortened to +700. She’s in the quarter with Belinda Bencic and 2018 Australian finalist, Simona Halep. Halep hasn’t had quite the dominating first and second round matches that Elise Mertens has, but her odds are significantly shorter than Mertens in the 3rd Quarter and to win the Open.

Best Bet

It seems that as Mertens continues to win, her odds will reflect that. But everyone in the tournament is still playing incredible tennis. The top two favorites to win the tournament, Serena Williams and Naomi Osaka have yet to drop a set. As the rounds go on, it will be interesting to see if Mertens hangs on. But right now, she’s not the best bet to win the Aussie Open outright.

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