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Paula Badosa vs Victoria Azarenka Odds & Prediction – Indian Wells Women’s Singles Finals

Hayley Graham

by Hayley Graham in Tennis

Oct 16, 2021 · 10:06 AM PDT

Victoria Azarenka celebrating after winning a tennis match.
CORRECTS OPPONENT TO JELENA OSTAPENKO, INSTEAD OF ONS JABEUR - Victoria Azarenka, of Belarus, celebrates after winning a game over Jelena Ostapenko, of Latvia, at the BNP Paribas Open tennis tournament Friday, Oct. 15, 2021, in Indian Wells, Calif. (AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill)
  • Paula Badosa and Victoria Azarenka will face each other in the final of the Indian Wells women’s singles on Sunday, October 17th
  • This will be the first meeting between the two players
  • Continue below for match odds, preview, and our best bet analysis

The final has been set in Indian Wells for women’s singles play, and 21st seed Paula Badosa will take on 27th seed Victoria Azarenka. Time is still TBD.

Azarenka heads into the match as the slight favorite to win it all, but Badosa herself is coming off a strong upset win over 12th seed Ons Jabeur.

Where’s the best bet heading into this final match? Take a look below for a breakdown of how each player made it to this point, and our best bet prediction.

Paula Badosa vs Victoria Azarenka Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
[21] Paula Badosa +1.5 (-290) -110 TBD
[27] Victoria Azarenka -1.5 (+140) -140 TBD

Odds as of October 15th at DraftKings.

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Badosa’s First WTA 1000 Final

23-year old Badosa captured her 40th win of the season as she defeated Ons Jabeur 6-3, 6-3, to earn her spot in the final of the BNP Paradis Open.

Badosa managed 15 winners and 22 unforced errors, with seven of those coming from double faults. Her opponent, Jabeur had a flashier game with 24 winners, but managed 35 unforced errors. The matched seemed to ultimately come down to the difference in unforced errors and break point opportunities.

She’ll now look towards Azarenka, who is a two-time champion and former World. No 1.

Azarenka Returns to Indian Wells Final

32-year old Azarenka booked herself a ticket to the final of the BNP Paribas Open, and looks to become the first three-time women’s singles champion. The former World No. 1 went onto defeat her semifinal opponent Jelena Ostapenko 3-6, 6-3, 7-5 in just under two and a half hours.

Azarenka had to dig deep to piece together a comeback win, as Ostapenko had a 6-3, 2-0 lead. Despite having more breakpoints, Ostapenko was only able to convert four of 13, while Azarenka managed five for eight.

Badosa will look to be a tough opponent for Azarenka, as she has upset more than her fair share of players this tournament.

Head-to-Head

Badosa and Azarenka have never played each other before, so we don’t have much to go off of there, with their current head-to-head record sitting at 0-0.

Paula Badosa vs Victoria Azarenka Head-to-Head Stats

Paula Badosa
VS
Victoria Azarenka
27 WTA Standing 32
23 Age 32
1 Career Titles 21
266/148 Career W/L 547/212
1 YTD Titles 0
35/15 YTD W/L 23/8
0 Head-to-Head Wins 0

Best Bet

Both Badosa and Azarenka have a similar style of play in the sense that they’re both aggressive on the baseline, and rely heavily on their strong forehand and backhand.

Serving will be a big indication as to where this match might go. Both players have a strong serve, but as we saw with Badosa, double faults can cause issues.

As mentioned, Badosa has upset her fairshare of players this tournament, which includes Cori Gauff, Barbora Krejcikova, Angelique Kerber, and of course Jabeur. Azarenka hasn’t been as challenged, but has gone on to defeat the likes of Petra Kvitova, Jessica Pegula, and Ostapenko.

Given Azarenka’s experience at this tournament, she may have the slight edge here. Not only does she has the experience here, but she has found success. But this will be a tough match, and wouldn’t be surprised if Badosa steals a set.

Best Bet: Azarenka 2-1 (+275)

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