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Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal Both 3-1 Odds to Win Wimbledon Men’s Singles Ahead of Quarterfinals

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in Tennis

Updated Apr 8, 2020 · 11:31 AM PDT

Roger Federer serving
Roger Federer will take on Alex De Minaur in the Swiss Open final. Photo by Doha Stadium Plus Qatar (flickr) [CC License].
  • Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal are both listed at average odds of 3-1 across the latest Wimbledon Men’s Singles betting markets
  • Federer has won a record eight men’s singles titles, most recently in 2017
  • Nadal owns just two Wimbledon titles, the most recent coming in 2010

Roger Federer believes that it all comes down to experience. That’s the reason why he, at the age of 37 and Rafael Nadal, 33, are still able to dominate their often significantly younger and more athletic competition and remain kings of men’s tennis.

Along with Novak Djokovic, the Big Three as they are known, have won 14 of the last 16 men’s singles titles at Wimbledon.

2019 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Odds

Player 2019 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Odds
Novak Djokovic -150
Roger Federer +300
Rafael Nadal +300
David Goffin +4000
Roberto Bautista Agut +4000
Sam Querrey +4000
Kei Nishikori +5000
Guido Pella +8000

*Odds taken on 07/09/19.

At this point, it seems almost a certainty that one of this trio will make it 15 of 17 in next Sunday’s final, but which one?

Djokovic, the No. 1 seed, remains the favorite, with Nadal and Federer hot on his heels. Heading into Wednesday’s quarterfinals, they both average out at 3-1 across a number of leading sportsbooks in Wimbledon odds.

Djokovic was the last No. 1 seed to triumph when he captured the Wimbledon Men’s Singles title in 2015.

Federer Flying

Since dropping the opening set of his first-round match to Lloyd Harris, Federer has won 12 sets in a row.

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After he dispatched world No. 20 Matteo Berrettini 6-1, 6-2, 6-2 from the round of 16 in just 74 minutes, Berrettini jokingly asked Federer how much he owed him for the tennis lesson.

Nadal on a Roll

At the beginning of the tournament, world No. 2 Nadal expressed his displeasure when he was seeded third and world No. 3 Federer was given the two seed. Nadal appears to be using that as motivation as he takes apart the opposition at the All-England Lawn Tennis Club.

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He’s also dropped just one set along the way in reaching the quarterfinals of his eighth consecutive Grand Slam tournament. In the round of 16, Nadal crushed Portugal’s Joao Sousa 6-2, 6-2, 6-2 in an hour and 45 minutes.

Nadal has only lost 13 games during his last two matches. He’s not suffered a service break since the second round.

Collision Course

It seems inevitable that Nadal and Federer will win their quarterfinal matches. Federer faces No. 8 seed Kei Nishikori of Japan, while Nadal gets unseeded American Sam Querrey.

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A result for both of them leaves Federer and Nadal facing each other across court in Friday’s semifinals. It would be their first meeting at Wimbledon since the epic 2009 final, when Nadal won 6-4, 6-4, 6-7(5), 6-7(8), 9-7.

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All three of their previous meetings at Wimbledon came in the final. Federer won in 2006 and 2007. And Federer will win this time as well. Nadal simply isn’t the player he once was on grass. There’s a reason why he’s only won twice at Wimbledon, and not since 2010.

Federer gets to the final, but he doesn’t get the job done. Djokovic will beat the Swiss legend for the 2019 Wimbledon Men’s Singles title.

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