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St. Petersburg Open Odds & Predictions

Dave F.

by Dave F. in Tennis

Oct 11, 2020 · 11:48 AM PDT

Daniil Medvedev is the top seed in the St. Petersburg Open. Photo by Speed Media/Icon Sportswire
  • The St. Petersburg Open begins Monday in Russia
  • This is the first indoor event following the clay court season
  • Where is the best betting value when looking through the St. Petersburg Open draw? Read below for our picks

Normally, the St. Petersburg Open takes place shortly after the US Open in September. This year the event was shifted to October because COVID-19 postponed the French Open and Roland Garros pulled rank and took the early fall dates.

It is a little bit quirky that players will go from outdoor hard courts in New York, to an abbreviated clay court season, and now back to hard courts, indoors in Russia. That said, a solid field has been assembled, and there are plenty of good betting opportunities.

Let’s look at the odds and see what value we can find in this year’s St. Petersburg Open.

Odds to win 2020 St. Petersburg Open

Player Odds
Daniil Medvedev +260
Andrey Rublev +700
Milos Raonic +750
Denis Shapovalov +750
Karen Khachanov +850
Jannik Sinner +1200
Stan Wawrinka +1400
Borna Coric +2000
Reilly Opelka +2200
Taylor Fritz +4000

All odds as of Oct. 11

The Favorites

Top seed Daniil Medvedev was born in Moscow but now lives in Monaco. He is the fifth-ranked player in the world and won this event last year.

Medvedev was eliminated in the first round at the French Open, but clay courts have never been his strength. He reached the semifinal at the U.S. Open. Last year he was the Russian Cup Player of the Year.

Ranked number 10 in the world, Denis Shapovalov is the second seed. He was born in Israel but grew up in Canada. He speaks Russian because his parents grew up there. In fact, his mom was on the Russian National tennis team. Shapovalov reached the quarterfinals of the U.S. Open and won one match at the French Open.

The 21-year-old has won one professional tournament, the 2019 Stockholm Open. He lost in last year’s Paris Masters final to Novak Djokovic.

After reaching the quarterfinals at the U.S. Open and French Open, Andrey Rublev is seeded third in St. Petersburg.

Rublev is playing great. Between the two majors he won the Hamburg European Open. He has three ATP victories this year.

Contenders

Fourth-seeded Karen Khachanov was born in Moscow and now resides in Dubai. Though he is not having a great season, he won a couple of matches at the U.S. Open and reached the fourth round in Paris.

Khachanov has won four tournaments in his career. He is currently ranked 16th, but has reached as high as number eight.

Veteran Stan Wawrinka is the fifth seed. The 17th-ranked player in the world has won three grand slam titles and reached as high as number three in the world in early 2014.

Wawrinka has not played a lot this year because of COVID-19. He won two matches at the French Open. He has 16 career titles but none since 2017.

Milos Raonic is an interesting option. The 29-year-old withdrew from the French Open to concentrate on the hard courts where he excels.

Once ranked as high as third in the world, Raonic has eight career titles and reached the Wimbledon Final in 2016.

Longshot

Young American Taylor Fritz is coming off career best efforts, reaching the third round at the US Open and French Open.

Fritz won his first tournament last year in the Eastbourne International. He dropped the Mexican Open Final to Rafael Nadal in February.

The Pick

Medvedev is the most likely winner because he has a pretty easy route to the semifinals, and probably should reach the title match. That said, Rublev is playing the best in this field right and his price is very much worthy of a small investment.

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