Upcoming Match-ups

Tennys Sandgren vs Roger Federer Australian Open Quarterfinals Odds & Pick

Hans Themistode

by Hans Themistode in Tennis

Updated Apr 13, 2020 · 9:12 AM PDT

Tennys Sandgren
Does Tennys Sandgren have any shot at an all-time great like Roger Federer? Photo by Khall1323 (Wiki Commons)
  • Has anyone been playing better than Tennys Sandgren so far? Probably not
  • Roger Federer is one of the favorites to win it all but he has been a bit vulnerable
  • Can Sandgren pull off yet another upset?

Even at the age of 38, it isn’t surprising to see Roger Federer in the quarterfinals at the Australian Open. His opponent standing across the net from him on the other hand, Tennys Sandgren, is the biggest shock of anyone left in the draw.

Sandgren has clearly been the story of the tournament with the amount of big-name opponents he has taken down on his path to the quarterfinals.

Yet, even with the great results he has achieved, the oddsmakers are fully expecting his fairytale level run to come to an end, but does he have another trick up his sleeve?

Roger Federer vs Tennys Sandgren Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
Roger Federer -7.5 (-130) -1100 O 32.5 (-120)
Tennys Sandgren +7.5 (EVEN) +700 U 32.5 (-110)

Odds taken Jan. 27

Tennys Sandgren Is Playing Like a Man Possessed

In the first round of the Australian Open, Sandgren made quick work of Marco Trungelliti. It was impressive but with a world ranking of 202, it wasn’t much of a surprise.

The run of Sandgren was supposed to start and end after the first round. With Matteo Berrettini awaiting him in the second round, the bags of Sandgren were all but packed. Berrettini was after all, the 8th ranked player in the world and was fresh off a phenomenal 2019 season.

Sandgren came out smoking hot winning the first two sets. But in dramatic fashion Berrettini came storming back to win the next two and looked as though he would win the third. Instead, Sandgren found a way to win the final set and advance.

Sandgren once again found himself as the underdog in his matchups against Sam Querrey in the third round and Fabio Fognini, world number 12, in the fourth round. Sandgren took them both out. Dropping just a single set.

To say that Sandgren has been amazing would be such an understatement but with Roger Federer waiting in the quarters, Sandgren will have to be at his absolute best. Though both players are veterans of the tour, this will be the first head-to-head match between the two.

Roger Federer Isn’t Slowing Down

With two straight set wins over Steve Johnson and Filip Krajinovic, no one was truly surprised. Both of those aforementioned players are great in their own right but they stood absolutely no chance against Federer. His third round matchup with John Millman, was a whole different ball game.

After looking like his run was coming to an end, Federer found a way to grind out a win and then moved on to a fourth round contest against Marton Fucsovics where he won in four sets.

Federer has looked dominant and vulnerable at times during his Australian Open run. With Sandgren playing at a ridiculously high level, Federer will need to clean up the mistakes he has made to get the job done.

How Federer and Sandgren Matchup

Unless your name is Rafael Nadal, Novak Djokovic, Pete Sampras or Rodney Laver, it just doesn’t seem fair to compare anyone to Roger Federer.

Federer vs Sandgren Stats

Roger Federer
Tennys Sandgren
3 Rankings 100
20 Grand Slam Titles 0
57-10 Overall Record 2019 30-24
37-10 Hardcourt Record 12-15
Sandgren has had a respectable career. Not many tennis players can lay claim to reaching the number 41 spot in the world, a career-high ranking for Sandgren last year in January. But he just doesn’t compare favorably to Federer in any way shape or form. It’s actually a bit laughable to even try.

With that being said however, Sandgren didn’t compare favorably to either Matteo Berrettini or Fabio Fognini, so maybe Sandgren will beat the odds yet again.

Best Bet

It’s hard to make a strong case for an upset here with the 100th ranked player in the world taking on an-time great in Federer who ranks third. Sandgren is also only 88-94 lifetime on hard courts. Federer hasn’t been invincible this tournament, having barely defeated John Millman and in dropping a set to Marton Fucsovics. Sandgren did just take down the 12th ranked Fognini 3-1, so he should be able to get some games off Roger, but ultimately I’m siding with a pretty straightforward Federer win.

Tennys Sandgren is underrated. He is a really good player, maybe even a great one but Roger Federer is arguably the greatest player of all-time. He should be able to coast through this match. With the moneyline offering little value, a 3-0 straight sets win returns some better value at -175.

Best Bet: Federer 3-0 (-175)

Author Image