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US Open Odds & Picks – Women’s Singles Round of 16

Stephanie Myles

by Stephanie Myles in Tennis

Sep 3, 2022 · 11:03 PM PDT

Coco Gauff
Sept 2, 2022; Flushing, NY, USA; Coco Gauff of the USA hits to Madison Keys of the USA on day five of the 2022 U.S. Open tennis tournament at USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center. Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports
  • Only four of the top 16 seeds remain as the fourth round begins for the women at the US Open
  • Four matches will be played Sunday, Sept. 4; the other four are scheduled for Labour Day.
  • Read on as we break down the most intriguing ones, and make predictions.

The US Open women’s singles draw is down to the last 16, with many of the expected faces not in the house.

Iga Swiatek remains a strong favorite, with Liudmila Samsonova coming from way behind to move up to second place in the tournament odds.

US Open Women’s Round of 16 Odds

Matchups Odds
Zhang Shuai (CHN) vs  [12] Coco Gauff (USA) +260 / -340
   [17] Caroline Garcia (FRA) vs [29] Alison Riske-Amritraj (USA) -450 / +330
[5] Ons Jabeur (TUN) vs [18] Veronika Kudermetova (RUS) -110 / -110
      Liudmila Samsonova (RUS) vs Ajla Tomljanovic (AUS) -225 / +180
[21] Petra Kvitova (CZE) vs. [8] Jessica Pegula (USA) +105 /-125
[19] Danielle Collins (USA) vs [6] Aryna Sabalenka (BLR)
[26] Victoria Azarenka (BLR) vs. [22] Karolina Pliskova (CZE)
 [1] Iga Swiatek (POL) vs. Jule Niemeier (GER)

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US Open Day 7 Matches to Watch

Garcia vs Riske-Amritraj Pick

Can anyone stop the surging Caroline Garcia in the bottom half of the women’s singles draw?

Her potential quarter-final opponent would be No. 12 seed Coco Gauff. But even at this point, you wouldn’t play down Garcia’s chances of getting through that one.

Which makes this round of 16 match against American Alison Riske-Amritraj slightly more than a formality, but one that the Frenchwoman should get through.

Garcia vs Riske-Amitraj Match History

Year Tournament Surface Score Winner
2022 Nottingham R16 Grass 6-4, 7-5 Riske
2018 Miami (R64) Outdoor Hard 6-3, 6-1 Riske
2012 Wimbledon (QR1) Grass 6-2, 6-4 Riske

Riske-Amritraj has had her best moments on grass. But her forehand technique means she often hits the ball late (and awkwardly). And Garcia’s current relentless attacking will have her scrambling, especially on that side.

This is the first time Garcia has gotten past the third round in 11 tries;  she played her first one in 2011.

Meanwhile, Riske holds a 3-0 career head-to-head against Garcia, it’s notable that two of those meetings (one eons ago, in the qualifying at Wimbledon in 2012)) were on grass, and the other on a fairly quick hard court in Miami.

This is a different Garcia and not Riske’s best surface. But she should at least be competitive.

Prediction: Riske-Amritraj and +4.5 Games (+125)

Kvitova vs Pegula Pick

The US Open is statistically Petra Kvitova’s worst major. She’s made the quarterfinals just twice in 14 trips, most recently in 2017. The humidity and the conditions don’t agree with her.

But the 32-year-old has had a renaissance of sorts this summer. And she defeated Ons Jabeur, Ajla Tomljanovic and Madison Keys on her way to the Cincinnati final two weeks ago.

Kvitova has played Jessica Pegula twice on hard courts: in Doha in 2021, and at the US Open two years ago. Both times, she defeated her in straight sets. Yet the Czech is the slight underdog in this one.

This is Pegula’s first trip past the third round at her “home” Slam.

Kvitova had a walkover in the second round. But she barely survived an epic throwback (to the mid-aughts) match with fellow Grand Slam champion Garbiñe Muguruza.

She survived that one, 12-10 in the deciding tiebreak. But she’ll have two days to recover, as she and Pegula will meet on Labour Day Monday.

Prediction: Over 22.5 Games (+105)

Jabeur vs Kudermetova Pick

Jabeur, more known for maximizing her craftiness on natural surfaces, has had her most consistent Slam performances at the US Open.

The Tunisian has made at least the third round in the last four years.

The odds on this match against Veronika Kudermetova are dead even, despite the fact that the two have played three times and Kudermetova has won all three in straight sets.

Notably, Kudermetova beat Jabeur last month in San Jose The other two meetings came in 2019 when Jabeur wasn’t what she is now.

But Kudermetova wasn’t what she is now, either.

The 25-year-old Russian has been knocking on the door for a while.

Already, the fact that she got out of the first round in New York – something she failed to do in three previous visits – is a milestone.

She’s been far more emphatic in victory this week than Jabeur has, and it feels like it’s upset time.

Prediction:  Kudermetova in Three Sets (+340)


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