US Open Women’s Singles Odds & Picks – Day 4 (Sept 1)

• The US Open women’s singles second round wraps up Thursday, Sept. 1
• World No. 1 and top seed Iga Swiatek goes up against 2017 US Open champion Sloane Stephens

• With most of the odds fairly close, we break down some matchups and look for betting value

The Serena Williams drama, of course, is in the bottom half of the draw.

But as the women’s singles wraps up the second round, the best player in the world is the strongest favorite amongst all 16 matches scheduled for Thursday, Sept. 1.

US Open Women’s Second-Round Odds

Odds as of Aug. 31 at Caesars Sportsbook. Use this Caesars Sportsbook promo code to bet on the US Open”.

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US Open Day 4 Matches to Watch

Swiatek vs Stephens Pick

It’s a classic “everything to lose” vs. “everything to gain” matchup between a world No. 1 who has never done well at the US Open, and a veteran American playing at home who has won it.

So it’s a bit surprising that the odds are so heavily in Iga Swiatek’s favour, because Sloane Stephens is capable of beating anyone on any given day.

They’ve only met once. And it came two weeks ago in Cincinnati in the third round.

And while Swiatek won it, it was close (6-4, 7-5). So there’s no reason to think that their match on Thursday won’t be the same, perhaps even with a different outcome.

Stephens has a whole lot more experience at the US Open in general, more experience winning – and more experience in cavernous Arthur Ashe Stadium.

Prediction: Stephens and the Moneyline (+400)

Pliskova vs Bouzkova Pick

There suddenly seem to be a lot of Czechs in every draw – from about three different generations, including some up-and-coming teenagers who qualified this year for the US Open.

Pliskova, who is 30 and Bouzkova, 24 have met twice.

The younger Czech won in Madrid this spring. But this was shortly after Pliskova began her season very late because of an arm issue, and on a surface that Bouzkova likes better.

Their other meeting was more than 3 1/2 years ago in Brisbane when Pliskova was ranked No. 8 and Bouzkova, No. 139 and a qualifier.

Bouzkova sits at a career-high No. 41 this week, although after qualifying in Cincinnati she withdrew before her second-round match against American Alison Riske with what was listed as a “right trunk injury”.

These types of things typically might not cause a withdrawal, were it not two weeks before a major.

Prediction: Both Players to Win a Set (+145)

Cirstea vs Bencic Pick

The odds are reasonably close on this one, despite the disparity in rankings and accomplishment.

That’s because the 32-year-old Romanian is 2-0 against Bencic, who is 25.

The most recent victory came just two weeks ago, a 6-2, 6-7, (3), 6-4 win in the opening round in Cincinnati.

Cirstea also won at the start of 2021, in a warmup tournament for the Australian Open during the peak of the pandemic restrictions.

To take nothing away from Cirstea, Bencic arrived from a quarterfinal effort in the Toronto heat looking a little weary. Especially after a tough three-setter, in vain, against eventual finalist Beatriz Haddad Maia.

And she couldn’t quite get over the finish line in her first match.

But a Grand Slam is a different story, generally.

Cirstea has played 58 Grand Slam main draws, missing only a series of four from the 2015 French Open through the 2016 Australian Open but making every single other major. Only once, back in 2009, has she made a quarterfinal. Only four times – including that quarterfinal – has she ever made the second week.

That’s a Slam struggle that looms large, at crunch time.

Prediction: Bencic in Three Sets (+305)