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WTA Guadalajara Open Odds & First Round Picks

Stephanie Myles

by Stephanie Myles in Tennis

Oct 17, 2022 · 1:19 AM PDT

Canadian Genie Bouchard got a last-minute main draw wild card in Guadalajara, but she's at +15000 to win the tournament (Photo: Stephanie Myles/OpenCourt.ca)
  • No. 1 Iga Swiatek and No. 2 Ons Jabeur are passing on the Guadalajara Open to prepare for the WTA Finals
  • For the rest, with so many still in the race, the WTA 1000 will be a sprint for the pot of gold.
  • Scroll down for best bets, analysis and predictions

The absence of the top two players in the world, along with a few other withdrawals, means that the odds for winning the Guadalajara Open are sky-high.

WTA Guadalajara Open First-Round Odds

Matchup Odds
Zhu Lin (CHN) vs. Alizé Cornet (FRA) +245 / -320
Victoria Azarenka (BLR) vs. Zhang Shuai (CHN) -225 / +180
Liudmila Samsonova (RUS) vs. Kaia Kanepi (EST) -295 / +225
Bianca Andreescu (CAN) vs. Jil Teichmann (SUI) -400 / +295
Marta Kostyuk (UKR) vs. Aliaksandra Sasnovich (BLR) -115 / -105
Bernarda Pera (USA) vs. [16] Petra Kvitova (CZE) +180 / -240
Ekaterina Alexandrova (RUS) vs. Camila Osorio (COL) -360 / -+255
[10] Belinda Bencic (SUI) vs. Leylah Annie Fernandez (CAN) -155 / +120
Ajla Tomljanovic (AUS) vs. [WC] Fernanda Contreras Gomez (MEX) -750 / +450
Magda Linette (POL) vs. Madison Keys (USA) +225 / -330
Beatriz Haddad Maia (BRA) vs. Katerina Siniakova (CZE) -130 / +100
Marie Bouzkova (CZE) vs. Tereza Martincova (CZE) -275 /+205
Elena Rybakina (KAZ) vs. Karolina Pliskova (CZE) -235 / +175
Shelby Rogers (USA) vs. Martina Trevisan (ITA) -310 / +225
Anna Kalinskaya (RUS) vs. Barbora Krejcikova (CZE) +260 / -370

Odds as of Oct. 16 at DraftKings Get the DraftKings Sportsbook promo code.

 

 

There isn’t a single player, even No. 1 seed Paula Badosa, who is at better than +1000.

So, basically, it’s a tournament full of long shots – many of whom are still in the running for the race to the eight singles spots at the WTA year-end finals in Fort Worth, Texas in early November.

Aryna Sabalenka is at the top of the list, at +1100. No. 1 seed Badosa is at +1600.

Americans Coco Gauff (+1200) and Jessica Pegula (+1400) are near the top of the list. But they will have to hustle to Guadalajara from their double-header Sunday in San Diego when they played both their doubles semifinal and final. And won the tournament.

Heat, Humidity and Altitude in Guadalajara Major Challenges

The weather conditions in Guadalajara are significantly different from what was an unseasonably cool and rainy week in San Diego.

As well, they are changing tennis balls again – from the Australian Open Dunlop ATP balls, to the Wilson US Open high altitude balls. This is a significant change. And usually, when the players come to Guadalajara, they have trouble adjusting and keeping the ball in the court. If they don’t do it in a hurry, they risk being eliminated from the tournament in a hurry.

It doesn’t really feel like it when you’re walking around. But the altitude in Guadalajara is 5,138 feet. But when you’re trying to recover from the grueling point, you’ll definitely feel it.

Best Bet: Barbora Krejcikova to win the tournament (+1200)

Best Longshot: Bianca Andreescu (+2000)

Rybakina vs Pliskova Pick

One’s the most recent Wimbledon champion who shouldn’t be unseeded but for the fact that those points didn’t count. The other is a former No. 1.

So there they are, two top-shelf (and similar) players stuck playing each other in the first round.

Rybakina arrived in San Diego from Ostrava last week and promptly pulled out of the tournament due to an unspecified illness.

She was out looking cheery on the practice court the next day, though. So it couldn’t have been too bad. And she had an opportunity to both adjust to the time change from the Czech Republic, and get to Guadalajara nice and early to adjust to those unique conditions.

The two met once, more than 2 1/2 years ago, when Pliskova was ranked No. 3 and Rybakina was on a tear to start 2020.

The Kazakh won that one. And you’d expect her to win this one as well.

Prediction: Rybakina over 12.5 Games Won (+120)

Azarenka vs Zhang Pick

This match of 30-somethings (both are 33) comes as Azarenka has played little in recent months, and Zhang is in slightly better form.

But the head-to-head is at 3-0 for the Belarussian. And none of the matches have even been close.

This might be different, though.

Prediction: Zhang in Three Sets (+475)

Pera vs Kvitova Pick

Kvitova took a wild card into her home-country event in Ostrava two weeks ago. And there she met Bernarda Pera for the first time, in the first round.

It went three sets, with Kvitova prevailing. But the conditions in Guadalajara might well mean the ball flies on Kvitova, who has never played any of the WTA tournaments at altitude in her career. And the steady Pera (a fellow lefty) might well be there to make it tough on her.

Prediction: Over 2.5 Sets (+155)

 

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