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WTA Miami Open Quarterfinals Odds & Picks: Andreescu vs Sorribes Tormo & Sakkari vs Osaka

Stephanie Myles

by Stephanie Myles in Tennis

Updated Mar 30, 2021 · 6:03 PM PDT

Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu, of Canada, celebrates a point against Amanda Anisimova during the Miami Open tennis tournament, Sunday, March 28, 2021, in Miami Gardens, Fla. (AP Photo/Wilfredo Lee)
  • Players in the bottom half of the women’s singles will play their Miami Open quarterfinals Wednesday, March 31
  • Bianca Andreescu is battling some aches and pains, but still has come through two tough opponents
  • Can either Sara Sorribes Tormo or Maria Sakkari pull off the upset? We break it down

Naomi Osaka was the favorite to win the Miami Open on the women’s side before the tournament began.

Nothing that has happened since has done anything to change the likelihood of that outcome.

Bianca Andreescu vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total at DraftKings
[8] Bianca Andreescu (CAN) +3.5 (-143) -278 O 21.5 (-103)
Sara Sorribes Tormo (ESP) -3.5 (+112) +215 U 21.5 (+124)

Odds as of Mar 30

Despite Aches, Andreescu Keeps Winning

It was hard to judge Andreescu’s potential Miami form, given how little she had played since returning from a 15-month absence due to a host of factors – mostly a meniscus injury.

She played just two tournaments in Australia, losing in the second round of the Australian Open. And she hadn’t played since.

But despite her now eponymous niggles, the 20-year-old 2019 US Open champion has demonstrated that she hasn’t lost any of the fight.

A lower-back concern hampered her earlier in the tournament. And in a third-round win over No. 28 seed Amanda Anisimova, she came up with a groin strain.

She said later that she felt it on what likely will be the shot of the tournament – one reason she hit the miracle shot and just waited.

Whether the groin will remain an issue two days later is a wild card.

She gets another evening match; start time is 7 p.m.

Sorribes Tormo and the Canadians

If Sara Sorribes Tormo is having a breakout season, she has had to go through a lot of Canadians to do it in the last three weeks.

In fact, she has faced them in reverse ranking order.

The 25-year-old faced former Wimbledon finalist Genie Bouchard in the Guadalajara final and came away with her first career WTA title.

YouTube video

The next week in Monterrey, she lost a tight one to 18-year-old Leylah Fernandez in the semifinals.

And now, in Miami – in the biggest match of her career – she faces No. 1 Canadian Andreescu for the first time.

“I’m playing the best tennis of my life, this is for sure,” Sorribes Tormo said after her third top-30 victory of the tournament, over Ons Jabeur Monday night in the round of 16.

Bianca Andreescu vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Head-to-Head

Bianca Andreescu
VS
Sara Sorribes Tormo
20 (June 15, 2000) Age 24 (Oct. 7, 1996)
Mississauga, Canada Birthplace Castellón, Spain
5-7 Height 5-9
3 Career WTA Singles Titles 1
No. 4 (Oct. 20, 2019) Career High Ranking No. 57 (March 14, 2021)
No. 9 Current Ranking No. 58
$6,835,466 Career Prize Money $1,921,164
7-2 2021 Won/Loss record 15-4

Andreescu will face a stubborn customer Wednesday.

“I have seen her play. I know she gets to a lot of balls. She has a very heavy, spinny ball. She’s a crazy fighter. I want to go out there and fight even harder and hopefully, I can do good things,” Andreescu said

Best Bet: Andreescu in two sets (+100)

Maria Sakkari vs Naomi Osaka Prediction

Unlike the first matchup, Osaka and Maria Sakkari actually have enough history against each other to draw a few conclusions as to the outcome of their match on Wednesday.

Maria Sakkari vs Naomi Osaka Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total at DraftKings
 [23] Maria Sakkari (GRE) -4.5 (+100) +300 O 20.5 (-106)
[2] Naomi Osaka (JPN) +4.5 (-127) -400 U 20.5 (-120)

Osaka Remains a Heavy Favorite

Despite the fact that she has never had a straightforward match against the 25-year-old from Greece, there is so much confidence in Osaka’s ability to win these days that she remains a strong favorite.

Of course, the fact that she is undefeated in 2021 helps.

Maria Sakkari vs Naomi Osaka Head-to-Head

Maria Sakkari
VS
Naomi Osaka
25 (July 25, 1995) Age 23 (Oct. 15, 1997)
Athens, Greece Birthplace Osaka, Japan
5-8 Height 5-11
1 Career WTA Singles Titles 7
No. 20 (Feb. 24, 2020) Career High Ranking No. 1 (Jan. 27, 2019)
No. 25 Current Ranking No. 2
$3,682,796 Career Prize Money $19,674,032
11-5 2021 Won/Loss Record 12-0
1 Head-to-Head 3

Sakkari on a Roll in Miami

Sakkari has plateaued a bit since reaching the top 20 back in February 2020.

It’s hard to know her ceiling; she usually beats the players she should beat and loses to those she “should” lose to.

YouTube video

But she has been impressive in Miami, notably in her 6-4, 2-6, 7-6 (6) win over the rising Jessica Pegula in the round of 16.

Sakkari vs Osaka Previous Matches

Year Tournament Score Winner
2020 Brisbane (R32) 6-2, 6-7 (4), 6-3 Osaka
2019 Birmingham (R32) 6-1, 4-6, 6-3 Osaka
2018 Cincinnati 6-3, 7-6 (3) Sakkari
2018 Indian Wells (R16) 6-1, 5-7, 6-1 Osaka

Osaka hasn’t really been tested in Miami so far.

And few think she will go down before the final.

But Sakkari could be a legitimate test even if in the end, the Japanese star should prevail.

Best Bet: Osaka in three sets (+310)


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