Zverev vs Alcaraz Predictions, Picks & Odds for August 16

• Carlos Alcaraz is a -230 favorite against Alexander Zverev in semifinal action at the Cincinnati Open
• Zverev has won five of the last seven head-to-head meetings on hard courts
• See my Zverev vs Alcaraz predictions and picks below

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Something’s gotta give at the Cincinnati Open semifinal Saturday, as #3 seed Alexander Zverev of Germany takes on Spain’s Carlos Alcarez, the 2-seed.

Zverev has ripped off 16 wins in his last 18 matches in Cincy, while Alcarez has reeled off 15 straight wins in ATP Masters 1000 events.

The German has the advantage in head-to-head play, but Zverev might not be in peak condition for this one, a reason he’s the betting ‘dog when this one gets underway at 6 pm ET from P&G Center Court, with the Tennis Channel providing the broadcast coverage.

Alexander Zverev vs Carlos Alcaraz Odds

The Spaniard checks in as a -230 favorite on the moneyline, with a Zverev upset priced at +188 odds. Alcaraz is a slight 2.5-game favorite on the spread, while the scoring line is at 22.5 for this best-of 3 semi.

Odds as of Aug 16 at FanDuel. Check out SBD’s FanDuel Sportsbook review to see the available sign-up bonuses.

Zverev vs Alcaraz Picks & Prediction

• Over 22.5 Games (-115)

Zverez crushed American Ben Shelton 6-2, 6-2 in the quarterfinal in a cool hour and 17 minutes. He punished Shelton’s second serve, winning 15 of 19 points, while winning a cool 81% of his first serve points, getting broken just once.

However, Zverev’s health is a concern, as he called for a doctor at 2-1 in the second set, as he appeared to be struggling with his breathing.

Running up that hill 💪@AlexZverev remains perfect against Ben Shelton with a 6-2 6-2 triumph. #CincyTennis pic.twitter.com/kjbkS9XutN

— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) August 16, 2025

Weather could play a factor Saturday, as temperatures are expected to a balmy 33 degrees with 42% humidity when the match begins. The books seem to agree, as they have Zverev as the clear underdog, despite having won five of the last seven hard-court matches with Alcaraz.

Zverev vs Alcaraz H2H Results

* tournament final

Alcaraz got to the semis with a 3-set win over #9 Andrey Rublev, in a match where his focus appeared to dip when he dropped the second set.

It’s the 10th time this year he’s dropped the second set after winning the first in a best-of-three-set match, and fortunately, he’s been hardly stung, coming away with nine victories.

Because of Zverev’s recent run of hard-court success vs Alcaraz, it’s unlikely the Spaniard is looking ahead to a potential final against No. 1 ranked Jannik Sinner. It would mark the fourth straight final between tennis’ current best men’s players.

Zverev and Alcaraz have played each other tough, and assuming Zverev’s health holds up, there’s the potential for another tight matchup, which would favor betting the total.

These two have topped 22.5 games in three of their last four 3-set matches. If Alcaraz’s focus wanes, that opens the door for a 3-setter, and an easy betting win.