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Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Odds & Picks – WNBA June 21

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in WNBA

Updated Jun 21, 2023 · 6:42 AM PDT

Las Vegas Aces favored by 18 points over Phoenix Mercury
Jun 4, 2023; Indianapolis, Indiana, USA; Las Vegas Aces forward Candace Parker (3) and forward A'ja Wilson (22) celebrates the win against the Indiana Fever at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Mandatory Credit: Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Las Vegas Aces are 18-point road favorites over the Phoenix Mercury in their WNBA game on Wednesday, June 21
  • Las Vegas (10-1) is first overall in the WNBA standings, while Phoenix (2-8) is in last place
  • The Aces are 5-0 straight up and 4-1 against the spread in the last five games against the Mercury

It’s first vs worst in the WNBA as the last-place Phoenix Mercury (2-8, 2-8 ATS) play host to the first overall Las Vegas Aces (10-1, 6-5 ATS). Las Vegas has won five games in a row straight up over the Mercury. The Aces are also 4-1 against the spread in that five-game span. While the Aces are riding a three-game winning streak, the Mercury have lost three in a row. With the Aces listed as massive moneyline favorites in the Aces vs Mercury odds, should you look to the spread or total in tonight’s game?

Aces vs Mercury Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Las Vegas Aces -8000 -18 (-110) O 164.5 (-110)
Phoenix Mercury +2000 +18 (-110) U 164.5 (-110)

The oddsmakers are seeing the Aces coming up aces again in this game. Las Vegas is an overwhelming 18-point road favorite. The Aces are 11-1 SU in their past 12 games.

Las Vegas is 5-1 on the road. Phoenix is 1-3 at home. Odds as of June 21 at DraftKings Sportsbook.

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How to Watch Aces vs Mercury

Tip-off for this game is set for 3:30 pm ET on Wednesday, June 21 at the Footprint Center. The game is available for viewing on NBA TV as well as WNBA League Pass.

Aces vs Mercury Betting Trends

The WNBA public betting splits are showing that the people are with the experts on the spread, but curiously against the smart money when it comes to the moneyline. In spread splits, Las Vegas is drawing 92% of handle and 69% of bets. The Mercury are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games.

Strangely, the favored Aces are only garnering 9% of handle and 38% of bets at -8000 in the moneyline splits. Las Vegas is 6-1 SU in the club’s past seven road games. On the total of 164.5 points, there is also division. The under is drawing 59% of handle, while the over it getting the backing of 52% of bets. The total has gone over in five of the last six road games played by Las Vegas.

Las Vegas is the -125 chalk in the WNBA Championship odds. DraftKings is also offering a WNBA champion prop. Take the Aces or the New York Liberty to win the WNBA title at odds of -475. Or you can play the field at a betting line of +380.

Phoenix is set at +10000 to win the WNBA championship. The Mercury are also +380 to make the WNBA playoffs. Phoenix is -475 to miss the playoffs.

Las Vegas On a Roll

Since suffering their first loss of the season at the hands of the Connecticut Sun, the Aces seem to be taking the setback personally. They’ve rallied to win three in a row since that defeat. Each outcome was decisive, with the Aces winning by 30+ points.

They are averaging 94 points per game over this three-game run, and shooting better than 50% from the floor. Four Las Vegas starters are scoring at a double-digit per game rate – Chelsea Gray (13.8 points per game), Jackie Young (20.8), A’ja Wilson (18.5) and Kelsey Plum (15.9).

Mercury Isn’t Rising to the Occasion

The Mercury are losing and hurting. Phoenix has played the last two games minus leading scorer and rebounder Brittney Griner (hip) and key assist distributor Diana Taurasi (hamstring).

Both are listed as day-to-day. Forward Michaela Onyenwere (8.6 ppg) is also day-to-day with a facial injury.

Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Stats

Aces
VS
Mercury
10 Wins 2
91.9 Points Per Game 77.3
49.7% Field Goal Percentage 44.0%
36.3% Three-Point Percentage 32.6%
35.7 Rebounds 29.7
21.4 Assists 20.2
12.6 Turnovers 17.7
+15.8 +/- -9.2

Phoenix is the WNBA’s second-worst defensive club. The Mercury are allowing 86.5 points per game.

Las Vegas vs Phoenix Prediction

Las Vegas swept Phoenix in the first round of last year’s playoffs en route to capturing the WNBA title. Averaging 91.9 points per game, the Aces are the only WNBA team scoring at a 90-point clip this season.

Las Vegas is 1-4 ATS in the club’s past five road games. However, the Aces are 4-0 SU against the West, including 2-0 on the road. And they are 5-1 ATS when facing Western opposition. Bet Vegas on the spread in the Aces vs Mercury odds.

Aces vs Mercury Picks: Las Vegas Aces -18 (-110)

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