Liberty vs Lynx Odds, Picks, Player Props & Injury Reports
By Sascha Paruk in WNBA
Published:
- The Liberty visit the Lynx on Wednesday in a rematch of last year’s WNBA final
- Minnesota has a four-game lead on New York for top spot in the league
- See the New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx odds, player props, and picks on July 30th
The top-two teams in the WNBA finally meet on Wednesday evening as the New York Liberty (17-8, 5-5 away, 11-13-1 ATS) visit the Minnesota Lynx (22-5, 14-1 home, 16-11 ATS) in a rematch of last year’s WNBA finals, which the Liberty won in five. New York vs Minnesota tips off at 7:00 pm CT/8:00 pm ET at the Target Center in Minneapolis.
The Lynx don’t just have the best win/loss record in the league this season; they also have the most ATS victories and a stunning 10-2 ATS record in their last 12 home games. With New York a pedestrian 5-5 straight-up on the road and missing Breanna Stewart (18.3 PPG, 6.5 RPG, 3.9 APG), sportsbooks give Minnesota a sizable edge in tonight’s Liberty vs Lynx odds.
Go to: Odds | Injuries | Props | Picks
New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx Odds
The Liberty/Lynx point spread is as high as 8.5 at Caesars, making it the best option for anyone looking to bet the underdog ATS. Lynx ATS bettors can get -7.5 (-114) at FanDuel. Bet365 has the longest odds on a straight-up Minnesota victory at -340. DraftKings has the longest odds on a New York upset at +295. Bettors can take advantage of a one-point variation in the game total: FanDuel has it as low as 166.0 (-108) while Caesars has it as high as 167.0 (-110).
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As they have been all season, New York and Minnesota remain the top-two favorites in the 2025 WNBA championship odds at +164 and +170, respectively. Third-favorite Phoenix is a distant +640, on average.
Minnesota suffered its first home loss of the year (in regular-season play), falling 90-86 to Atlanta on Sunday. (The Lynx also lost at home to Indiana in the final of the Commissioner’s Cup on July 1st.) The loss came despite an outrageously good performance from Napheesa Collier (23.5 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 3.5 APG), who had a game-high 32 points on 77.8% shooting with eight rebounds and seven assists.
Collier is currently a -800 favorite to win her first WNBA MVP award. Mercury forward Alyssa Thomas is a distant second at +600 and no other player is shorter than +3000.
NY vs MIN Injury Reports
In addition to Stewart, the Liberty will also be without forward Kennedy Burke (8.4 PPG, 2.3 RPG in 21.8 MPG) and center Nyara Sabally (5.9 PPG, 4.9 RPG in 19.4 MPG) who, together, comprise about 50% of the Liberty’s frontcourt rotation.
The only injury on the Minnesota side is lightly-used guard Karlie Samuelson (3.3 PPG, 1.3 RPG, 1.1 APG in 14.3 MPG), who is out for the season due to foot surgery.
NY Liberty vs MIN Lynx Player Props
Player props from bet365 on July 30. New users can claim the bet365 bonus code to get a bonus for tonight’s three-game WNBA slate.
Collier leads the point totals at 21.5 O/U, two more than New York point guard Sabrina Ionescu (19.3 PPG, 4.6 RPG, 5.8 APG) at 19.5 O/U.
New York center Jonquel Jones (13.8 PPG, 9.3 RPG, 2.3 APG) has the highest rebound total at 9.5, while a trio of player (Ionescu, Courtney Williams, and Natasha Cloud) have a game-high assist total of 6.5 O/U.
Liberty vs Lynx Picks & Predictions
The absence of Stewart, a tw-time WNBA MVP and the 2024 finals MVP, is certainly going to hurt. The Liberty looked a bit discombobulated without their veteran leader on Sunday, which was the first game Stewart has missed this season. But as the Fever have shown over the course of the year, playing without your superstar gets easier with time/experience.
The Liberty are still stacked with talent, and 8.5 is just too many points to give a team this good, even if they have been playing below their potential for much of the season. Minnesota’s two wins in last year’s WNBA finals came by a combined total of four points, and New York managed a massive 80-77 road win in Game 3, which gave the Liberty their first lead of the series.
In other words, they have plenty of experience and their share of success in front of this hostile Minnesota crowd.
I’m also betting the over on Ionescu’s point total of 19.5. She’s averaging just under that number (19.3 PPG) for the season as a whole, but her usage is inevitably going to go up with Stewart sidelined. (Stewart’s absence means that an average of 13.6 FGA are going to go to other New York players.)
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Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
