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Seattle Storm vs Las Vegas Aces Odds & Picks – WNBA Playoffs Semifinals Game 1

Mitchell Hansen

by Mitchell Hansen in WNBA

Aug 27, 2022 · 8:02 PM PDT

Kelsey Plum and Riquna Williams give each other five
Jul 26, 2022; Chicago, IL, USA; Las Vegas Aces guard Kelsey Plum (10) and Las Vegas Aces guard Riquna Williams (2) high five against the Chicago Sky during the second half of the Commissioners Cup-Championships at Wintrust Arena. Mandatory Credit: Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports
  • The fourth-seed Seattle Storm visit the top-seeded Las Vegas Aces in Game 1 of the semifinal round of the WNBA Playoffs at 4pm ET on Sunday, August 28th
  • Seattle and Las Vegas begin a best-of-five series for a trip to the WNBA Finals on the line
  • See below for the latest Storm vs Aces picks, odds analysis and best bet

The WNBA Playoffs are officially down to the final four teams as the semifinal round commences on Sunday, August 28th between teams fighting for a chance to advance to the WNBA Finals.

To kick off action in the semifinals, the Seattle Storm and Las Vegas Aces will begin a battle in the best-of-five series with Game 1 in Las Vegas. The game will be aired nationally on ESPN.

Seattle, the fourth-seed in the postseason, are coming off of defeating the Washington Mystics in the first round. Las Vegas, the top-seed in the playoffs, swept the Phoenix Mercury in the opening round best-of-three series.

Storm vs Aces Game 1 Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Seattle Storm +5.5 (-110) +185 Over 170.5 (-110)
Las Vegas Aces -5.5 (-110) -225 Under 170.5 (-110)

Odds as of Aug. 27th from Caesars Sportsbook. Use this Caesars Sportsbook promo code to bet on the WNBA


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Entering the game, the Aces are listed as 5.5-point favorites over the Storm.

Aces Riding High Off Sweep

Las Vegas is coming off of breezing through the first round of the playoffs, ending the best-of-three series early with a sweep of the eighth-seeded Mercury. The Aces took both games in that series with relative ease, winning both games by an average of 26.5 points.

Las Vegas is a team that has been viewed as one of the favorites, if not the top favorite, to win the league title entering the postseason. The Aces are the top team in the 2022 WNBA Championship odds at -105, while the Storm are the lowest remaining team with odds of +500.

The Aces rely heavily on their starting lineup, and that group has shined the entire season and once again in the postseason while featuring one of the top offensive squads in the WNBA. Las Vegas will look to continue that trend in the semifinals while squaring off against a tough defensive team, with Seattle ranking third in the league in defensive rating during the regular season.

Storm Betting Outlook

Seattle takes on the semifinal round after sweeping Washington in the opening round, although that series was closer and more back-and-forth than what the end result ended up being. Still, the Storm are a team that could be viewed as an underdog as the lowest remaining seed left in the playoffs.

Seattle has shown the ability to step up to any task, and it did just that over the first two games of the postseason thus far against Washington. The veteran-filled Storm have a unique balance of offensive firepower and defensive prominence that could give the Aces fits as a new series begins in the semifinals.

Don’t be surprised to see Seattle surprise some early on in the series and make things closer than some may initially think against the top-seeded and title favorite Las Vegas with a trip to the championship series on the line.

Storm vs Aces Head-to-Head

1 Wins 3
85.8 Points Per Game 90.3
42.5% Field Goal Percentage 46.5%
40.5% Three-Point Percentage 35.4%
35.5 Rebounds 38.3
21.0 Assists 22.8
14.0 Turnovers 13.3
-4.5 +/- +4.5

What to Watch For

In a series that will feature seven former No. 1 overall draft picks, the battle between Las Vegas and Seattle could be the more entertaining of the two series taking place in the semifinals. Both teams are eager to take advantage of this opportunity, with the Aces trying to capitalize on a stellar season to this point to finally crack the championship code and the Storm attempting to put together one final run at a title with a veteran-filled roster that could look much different next season.

One of the biggest things to watch for throughout the series will be which team will be able to take a stand and hold the opposition in check defensively. Both Seattle and Las Vegas feature talented offenses that can put up points in a hurry, so it will be about which team can limit the other in key points in the game to come away in victory.

The Storm hold a slight edge over the Aces on the defensive end, but Las Vegas has been the best offensive squad all season which could impact the series right out of the gate. Whichever team can ultimately come up with stops at key points in each game will do just enough to advance in the postseason.

Storm vs Aces Picks

Las Vegas enters Game 1 as decent favorites over Seattle, holding a 5.5-point spread entering Sunday’s contest. Part of the reason is the Aces performance at home this year, holding a record of 13-5 in Las Vegas during the regular season. The Storm, on the other hand, were just 9-9 on the road this summer as they attempt to take one or two games away from home.

To begin the series, expect a close battle between two talented squads, but we will likely see the Aces continue their solid play of late carry into Sunday’s Game 1. In the end, Las Vegas will take a 1-0 series lead to inch closer to a WNBA Finals birth.

For the best bet of the game, go with the over on the total of 170.5 points listed for a combined score. In four games this season, these two teams averaged a combined 176.1 points, and that type of showing could occur once again Sunday.

  • The Pick: Over 170.5 (-110)
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