Valkyries vs Aces Odds, Picks, Player Props & Injury Reports (Aug. 3)

By Sascha Paruk in WNBA
Published:

- The Golden State Valkyries and Las Vegas Aces meet in a game with big playoff implications on Sunday
- The Valkyries and Aces occupy the seventh and eighth playoff spots, with the Mystics and Sparks both within striking distance
- See the Valkyries vs Aces odds, picks, predictions, and player props on
The Golden State Valkyries (14-13, 6-9 away, 17-10 ATS) and Las Vegas Aces (14-14, 7-5 home, 11-17 ATS) meet at Michelob ULTRA Arena in San Francisco on Sunday afternoon. The Valkyries and Aces will tip off at 3:00 pm PT/6:00 pm ET and the winner will, at least for the time being, own the #7 seed in the WNBA playoff race. The Valkyries currently lead the Aces by half a game in the standings with the Mystics half a game behind Vegas and the Sparks another half game in the rearview.
Though fledgling Golden State has been overperforming compared to expectations almost all season – and enters Sunday on a three-game win streak – the Aces are massive favorites against the shorthanded Valkyries on Sunday.
Jump to: Odds | Injuries | Player Props | Picks
Golden State Valkyries vs Las Vegas Aces Odds
The vast majority of books have the Valkyries/Aces spread at Las Vegas -8.0, but BetMGM has it a half-point lower at -7.5 (-115), making it the best option for Aces ATS bettors. Valkyries ATS bettors can get +8.0 (-110) at bet365. On the moneyline, Golden State is +270 at Caesars, FanDuel, and DraftKings. The Aces are a market-best -333 at BetMGM. The best number for over bettors is 156.5 (-110) at both BetMGM and FanDuel. The best number for under bettors is 157.0 (-110) at bet365, Caesars, or DraftKings. Odds as of 11:46 am ET, August 3rd. Check out SBD’s guide to US online casinos if you’re interested in learning about iGaming.
Las Vegas and Golden State split their two previous meetings this season, with the Valkyries running away with a 95-68 win at home on June 7th, and the Aces eking out a 104-102 win at home on July 12th.
The Aces are currently the sixth-favorite (+2225) in the WNBA title odds, a steep decline from their season-opening price of +320. But that’s still leagues ahead of the eighth-favorite Valkyries at +11750.
Las Vegas was completely embarrassed last night at home against league-leading Minnesota, getting run off the court in a 111-58 rout. The Lynx more than doubled-up on the Aces in rebounds (45-22) while shooting an absurd 63% from three (17-of-27) and holding Vegas to just 34.3% from the floor.
Golden State earned a 73-66 win at Chicago last time out on Friday, their third straight road W. After starting their current five-game road trip with a brutal 95-64 loss at league-worst Connecticut, the Valkyries bounced back with aplomb during wins at Atlanta (77-75) and Washington (68-67) before Friday’s win in Chicago.
GSV vs LVA Injury Reports
The Valkyries are in rough shape, injury-wise, but that’s nothing new for the expansion franchise. Leading scorer Kayla Thornton was lost for the season in late July, while second-leading scorer Tiffany Hayes is officially questionable with a leg injury.
Golden State boasts one of the most-balanced rosters you’ll ever see in any league. Fourteen different players are averaging between 4.9 and 14.0 PPG on the season, though three of those players have been limited to five or fewer games.
The Aces are basically fully healthy. Cheyenne Parker-Tyus is away from the team due to the birth of her second child just before the start of the regular season. The former Sky and Dream forward has yet to play a game for her new team, and is unlikely to do so before next season.
Valkyries vs Aces Player Props
Player props from bet365 on August 3rd. Lock in the bet365 bonus code for tonight’s Valkyries/Aces game.
Reigning MVP A’ja Wilson (21.5 PPG, 9.0 RPG, 3.4 APG) has a game-high point total of 22.5 O/U. She was held to just 10 points last night, but poured in 34 the game prior (a decisive 89-74 win at Los Angeles).
With Thornton out and Hayes questionable, Janelle Salaun (10.1 PPG, 4.8 RPG, 1.1 APG) has the highest point total on the Golden State side at just 12.5 O/U. The 23-year-old rookie has 16 points and nine rebounds in Chicago on Friday, a game that Hayes sat out.
Veronica Burton (10.3 PPG, 4.3 RPG, 5.3 APG), who is listed with an 11.5 O/U point total, had a game-high 18 points and seven assists in Friday’s win.
GS Valkyries vs LV Aces Picks & Predictions
- Burton 15+ points (+200) at DraftKings
- Valkyries +8.0 (-110) at bet365
This is a game between the best ATS team in the WNBA (Golden State, 17-10 ATS) and the worst (Vegas, 10-17 ATS). The Aces have been far too inconsistent this season for me to back as massive favorites. While Vegas has generally been better at home (7-5 SU) than on the road (6-9 SU), last night’s game was beyond concerning. Not only did they look like the second-best team on the floor by a wide margin, they also looked like they didn’t particularly care that they were getting embarrassed on their home court. The only good thing that came out of last night’s game is that the result was decided early, so head coach Becky Hammon was able to give her starters a decent amount of rest.
A’ja Wilson remains a top-three player in the world, but her supporting cast has been underperforming all season. Yes, the Valkyries are dealing with significant injuries, but that’s nothing new for Natalie Nakase’s team. Depth is their biggest strength. They already played the Aces close in the first game in Vegas this season (and absolutely wiped them off the court when they met in the Bay Area). I firmly expect the Valkyries to keep it close in a game that should have a playoff feel to it.
I’m also betting Veronica Burton to climb the ladder and hit 15+ points at +200 odds. She’s hit that number in exactly four of her last 12 games (33.3%), which is the exact implied probability of +200 odds. Burton is coming off one of her best games of the season and, even if Hayes is on the court, she’s likely to be less than 100%, putting the onus on Burton to look for her own shot instead of just distributing.
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Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.