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  • Nick Bosa won the 2022-23 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award
  • At one point of the season, Bosa’s NFL DPOY odds were as long as +1250
  • Looking for current NFL DPOY odds?

We tracked the 2022-23 NFL DPOY odds from when they opened right through to the award being handed out at the NFL Honors. We averaged the odds from multiple sportsbooks and tracked the movement below, aiming to remove the influence of money and providing you with each defender’s true odds of winning the award during the 2022-23 NFL season.

San Francisco’s Nick Bosa won 2022-23 NFL Defensive Player of the Year, but he was not the favorite for very long. See how his odds changed, as well as other top contenders like Micah Parsons, Myles Garrett, and TJ Watt.

2022 NFL DPOY Odds for Top Contenders

Three players opened in a tier of their own: Myles Garrett, arguably the best athlete in the league; TJ Watt, the previous year’s NFL DPOY; and Micah Parsons, the previous year’s NFL DROY. TJ Watt fell off after tearing his pec in Week 1, though.

Myles Garrett was listed as the favorite after Week 1. Parsons was the favorite after Week 2 and held that title until the conclusion of Week 15. Nick Bosa took over after Week 15 wrapped up. NFL DPOY odds closed when Week 17 kicked off and did not reopen when the games finished that week. All other player awards were live for another week, which suggested sportsbooks felt Nick Bosa had it in the bag.

Closing Odds to Win 2022 NFL DPOY

Player Pos Team Odds to win 2022 NFL DPOY
Nick Bosa EDGE SF -1200
Micah Parsons LB DAL +650
Maxx Crosby EDGE LV +10000
Myles Garrett EDGE CLE +15000
Chris Jones DT KC +10000
Matthew Judon EDGE NE +15000
Haason Reddick EDGE PHI +13000
Talanoa Hufanga S SF +15000

*Odds as of December 27 

Nick Bosa was awarded the 2022-23 NFL DPOY at the NFL Honors. When odds closed, Bosa was an extremely heavy favorite at -1200 odds. Bosa’s implied probability, based off his odds, to win the award was 92.3% at this point.

His odds were as long as +1250 in late November, though, as Micah Parsons was the heavy favorite at that moment.

Here are some notes on the NFL DPOY odds movement:

  • [December 19] Micah Parsons’ Cowboys gave up 40 points to the Jaguars in a disappointing Week 15 collapse. Parsons did record a sack, which was his first in three weeks, but it was not enough to hold off Nick Bosa. The 49ers’ pass-rusher has taken over as the new favorite to win NFL DPOY, as his odds improved from +175 to -125 in the last week.
  • [December 12] Despite not logging a sack for the first time since Week 5, Nick Bosa continues to close the gap between him and Micah Parsons in NFL DPOY odds. Parsons is just -280 after Week 14, while Bosa shortened to +175.
  • [December 5] Nick Bosa was an absolute game-wrecker in San Francisco’s Week 13 win over the Dolphins. Bosa recorded three sacks and one forced fumble. As of this moment, Bosa now has at least one sack in all but one game he has played this season. The result on the NFL DPOY odds was Bosa moving from +1100 to +250, while Parsons went from -1200 to -450.
  • [November 28] Another two-sack performance on Thanksgiving Day has seen Micah Parsons become an overwhelming favorite to win NFL DPOY. His odds improved from -550 to -1200.
  • [November 1] Myles Garrett’s odds went from +1300 to +850 after a monster game against the Bengals in Week 8, where Garrett recorded 1.5 sacks, a tipped pass that resulted in an interception, and was generally in Joe Burrow’s face all night.
  • [October 24] After recording another sack in Week 7, Micah Parsons has now become the odds-on favorite to win the NFL DPOY award. His odds improved from +100 to -125.
  • [October 10] Micah Parsons is now listed at even money (+100) to win the NFL DPOY award, following a Week 5 performance that saw him rack up two sacks and a forced fumble.
  • [October 4] Packers pass-rusher Rashan Gary has seen his NFL DPOY odds improve from +2500 to +900, the third-best odds on the board, after recording another two sacks in Week 4. Gary has now recorded at least one sack in each of the first four games of the season.
  • [September 27] After Week 3, Micah Parsons has shortened to +250 odds, ahead of Myles Garrett at +550. Garrett suffered non-life-threatening injuries in a one-car accident on Monday, when he flipped his Porsche after practice. His status for Week 4 is uncertain.
  • [September 19] Micah Parsons and Myles Garrett are now listed as the co-favorites to win NFL DPOY. Parsons added another two sacks in Week 2, while Garrett got one against the Jets. Both players are given +450 odds to win the award. Aaron Donald has fallen off from +700 to +1400.
  • [September 12] With two sacks in Week 1, Myles Garrett has taken over as the favorite to win NFL Defensive Player of the Year. His odds improved from +750 to +550. TJ Watt’s torn pec sees his odds fade from +700 to +3000. Micah Parsons also had two sacks in Week 1, and saw his odds improve from +1000 to +700.
  • [September 7] Aaron Donald has seen his average NFL DPOY odds fade to +850 as some sportsbooks are listing him as long as +900. Nick Bosa is seeing his odds improve, going from +1450 to +1250, closing the gap between him and the top four contenders. Rashan Gary has seen the most movement ahead of kickoff, though, as he opened at +7750 and is now getting +3000 odds.
  • [April 6] Aaron Donald and TJ Watt have overtaken Myles Garrett atop the NFL DPOY odds, as the two are listed as the co-favorites to win the award at +700 odds.
  • [March 25] Myles Garrett has opened as the favorite to win the 2022-23 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award. The reigning DPOY, TJ Watt, has opened at +700 odds, just behind Garrett at +650. Micah Parsons, who was given +20000 odds to win last year’s award heading into Week 1 but saw himself listed as the co-favorite in late-December, has opened this year at +1000 odds.

Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.

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After working in TV, Matt turned his focus towards numbers, specifically odds. He has been with us since 2016 and serves as SBD's Editor-in-Chief, credited with creating our futures trackers, SBD's score predictor, SBD Sharp, and his own model for calculating NFL SOS, among other products.