2023-24 NFL Divisional Odds Tracker

• Look back to the odds to win each NFL division in the 2023-24 season
• Only four of the eight teams who opened as the favorites to win their respective divisions actually went on to do so
• Looking for the latest NFL Divisional odds?

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We tracked the odds to win all eight divisions for the 2023-24 NFL season. See how the NFL Divisional odds changed throughout the regular season.

AFC East Odds

The Bills won six of their final seven games to come back and win the AFC East.

Here are some notes on the AFC East odds movement:

• [January 8] With a win in Miami during Week 18, the Buffalo Bills clinched the AFC East title.
• [January 1, 2024] After the Dolphins were embarrassed by the Ravens in Week 17, the Bills have reclaimed the title of favorites to win the AFC East. The Bills head to Miami to take on the Dolphins in Week 18, where the winner will take the division.
• [October 9] The Bills’ Week 5 loss to the Jaguars has sent Miami back atop the odds to win the AFC East.
• [October 1] After beating the Dolphins 48-20 in Week 4, the Bills have moved into a tie with Miami for the best odds to win the AFC East.
• [September 25] For the first time this season, a team is listed as an odds-on favorite—meaning their odds are better than even money—to win the AFC East: the Miami Dolphins.
• [September 18] Miami and Buffalo have separated themselves from the Jets and Patriots in the AFC East divisional odds after Week 2. Miami and Buffalo are both near even money, while the Jets and Pats are long shots now.
• [September 12] The Dolphins have taken over as the favorites in the AFC East divisional odds after an impressive win over the Chargers in Week 1. Meanwhile, the Bills lost to the Aaron Rodgers-less Jets on Monday Night Football.
• [April 25] In spite of the Jets trading for Aaron Rodgers, the Bills remained the favorites to win the AFC East.
• [March 9] The Bills opened as +100 favorites to win the AFC East, with the New York Jets having the second-best odds at +263.

AFC North Odds

The Ravens won the AFC North, and also clinched the AFC’s #1 seed, with their Week 17 win over the Dolphins.

Here are some notes on the AFC North odds movement:

• [January 1, 2024] The Baltimore Ravens wrapped up the AFC North with a dominant win over the Dolphins in Week 17. We will not see odds to win this division any longer.
• [November 17] Another AFC North QB has been lost for the season, this time Joe Burrow, who suffered a wrist injury in Week 11 – or maybe earlier. The Bengals had the second-best odds to win the division entering their TNF matchup with the Ravens but have now plummeted to +4500, by far the worst odds. Baltimore has become a very heavy -300 favorite as a result. The Ravens were only -190 after their Week 11 win.
• [November 15] The Browns have announced that Deshaun Watson will undergo season-ending surgery on his shoulder. Prior to this announcement, Cleveland had the second-best odds to win the AFC North, but they have fallen to the bottom of the board after the news broke. Baltimore has turned back into an odds-on favorite with -115 odds and Cincinnati has the second-best odds again.
• [November 12] The Ravens remained the favorites to win the AFC North after losing to the Browns in Week 10. Baltimore’s odds did worsen from -130 to +115, though. Cincinnati went from the second-best odds to the worst odds after losing to the Texans.
• [October 31] After the Bengals beat the 49ers in Week 8, Cincinnati moved from the worst odds to win the AFC North to the second-best odds.
• [October 9] In spite of losing to the Steelers in Week 5, the Ravens remain the favorites to win the AFC North, but they are no longer odds-on favorites.
• [September 19] Not only did the Ravens beat the Bengals, moving Cincinnati to 0-2, in Week 2, but the Browns lost to the Steelers, and Cleveland lost Nick Chubb for the season after a gruesome knee injury suffered on MNF. The Ravens moved to even-money (+100) to win the AFC North, while the Browns faded from +200 to +330. Cincinnati is still hanging around at +475.
• [September 11] After an ugly Week 1 performance, the Bengals are no longer the favorites to win the AFC North. The Ravens and Browns are listed as the favorites with +200 odds.
• [April 25] The Ravens odds to win the division faded slightly when it looked as if Lamar Jackson may not return, but quickly improved from +280 to +240 after Jackson agreed to an extension to remain in Baltimore.
• [March 9] The Bengals opened as the favorites to win the AFC North with +133 odds. The Ravens have the next best odds at +225.

AFC South Odds

Though the Jaguars were the favorites to win the AFC South all season long, they choked in the final week of the regular season, losing to the Titans. Jacksonville’s stunning loss allowed the Houston Texans to claim the division.

Here are some notes on the AFC South odds movement:

• [January 8] The Texans beat the Colts in a Week 18 thriller and ended up winning the AFC South thanks to the Jaguars being upset by the Titans.
• [December 18] Week 15 saw the Jaguars lose to the Ravens on Sunday Night Football and both the Colts and Texans come out of the weekend with wins. At the moment, there is a three-way tie for the division lead between the teams aforementioned. Jacksonville’s odds to win the division faded from -500 to -130 after Week 15. The Colts and Texans are listed at +275 and +300 odds, respectively.
• [December 5] Jacksonville not only lost as 10-point favorites to the Bengals in Week 13, but Trevor Lawrence also left the game with an ankle injury. As a result, Jacksonville has gone from -1000 favorites to win the AFC South to -240.
• [November 26] The Jaguars moved from -250 favorites to win the AFC South to -1000 odds after beating the Texans in Week 12.
• [November 12] The Texans’ odds to win the division went from +550 to +275 after beating the red hot Bengals in Week 10. They still have the second-best odds behind the Jaguars, but the gap closed significantly after Jacksonville was crushed by the 49ers.
• [October 9] Two straight wins in London, with the second coming over the Bills, has moved the Jags back to odds-on favorites to win the AFC South.
• [September 25] Jacksonville is no longer odds-on favorites to win the AFC South, but they are still the favorites at +125 odds after being upset by the Texans in Week 3.
• [September 18] The Jaguars remain odds-on favorites to win the AFC South after losing to the Chiefs in Week 2.
• [July 24] Tennessee has signed WR DeAndre Hopkins and their NFL divisional odds improved from an average of +403 to +330.
• [March 9] The Jaguars have opened as odds-on favorites to win the AFC South with -143 odds. The Titans have the next best odds at +290 but they face a lot of uncertainties heading into the offseason.

AFC West Odds

The Kansas City Chiefs once again won the AFC West, though it did take a little longer to lock up than expected.

Here are some notes on the AFC West odds movement:

• [January 1, 2024] The Kansas City Chiefs have won the AFC West after beating the Bengals in Week 17.
• [December 10] The Broncos moved within a game of the Chiefs in the AFC West after Week 14. However, Kansas City is still seen as extremely heavy -1600 favorites to take the division.
• [September 1] The Raiders AFC West odds have been steadily plummeting all summer as bettors have continued to warm up to the Chargers and even a bounce back season in Denver. Las Vegas odds were once +800 but now some sportsbooks list them longer than +1600.
• [March 9] Yet again, the Chiefs opened as the favorites to win the AFC West. One year after many felt the rest of the division caught up, the Chiefs are the reigning Super Bowl champs and now favored to win their division again.

NFC East Odds

The Dallas Cowboys locked up the NFC East in the final week of the season.

Here are some notes on the NFC East odds movement:

• [January 8] The Cowboys clinched the NFC East title with a win over the Commanders in Week 18.
• [January 1, 2024] Philadelphia suffered an awful loss to the Cardinals in Week 17, which has now put the NFC East in Dallas’ hands. The Cowboys emerged as heavy -900 favorites to win the division after Week 17.
• [December 19] The Eagles remain the odds-on favorites to win the NFC East after being upset by the Seahawks in Week 15. However, Philadelphia’s divisional odds did fade from -500 to -250.
• [December 11] Despite losing to the Cowboys in Week 14, which resulted in Dallas moving into first place in the division, the Eagles remain odds-on favorites to win the NFC East. Philadelphia’s odds only faded from -483 to -280. They remain favored thanks to their lighter final four games, while Dallas has some tough opponents down the stretch.
• [December 5] The Eagles were embarrassed by the 49ers in Week 13, losing 42-19 at home. Dallas’ win over the Seahawks moved them within one game of Philadelphia with the two scheduled to play each other in Week 14. The Eagles’ divisional odds have faded from -1100 to -475 as they head into Dallas as 3.5-point underdogs.
• [November 6] After beating the Cowboys in Week 9 and expanding their lead in the division, the Eagles have moved to very heavy -550 favorites to win the NFC East. Dallas’ odds faded from +178 to +370.
• [October 9] Philadelphia has moved to even heavier favorites to win the NFC East following a Week 5 that saw them beat the Rams, while the Cowboys were embarrassed on national television by the 49ers. The Eagles’ odds went from -160 to -240.
• [September 26] The Eagles moved back to odds-on favorites to win the NFC East after Week 4. Philadelphia beat the Buccaneers by two scores while the Cowboys were upset by the lowly Cardinals. Dallas went from +105 to +155 and the Eagles improved from +100 to -155.
• [September 18] The Cowboys continue to tighten the gap between them and the Eagles after another convincing win in Week 2, this time over the Jets. Dallas is given +105 odds to win the NFC East, while the Eagles are +100 as the favorites. Philadelphia had been odds-on favorites prior to Week 2.
• [September 12] There was already a pretty strong divide between the top two teams in the NFC East, the Eagles and Cowboys, and the other two, the Giants and Commanders. But New York had been in the middle prior to Week 1. The Giants’ odds faded from +800 to +2000 after looking terrible against the Cowboys on Sunday Night Football of Week 1.
• [May 1] After the conclusion of the NFL Draft, the Eagles went from +120 favorites to win the NFC East to -120 odds-on favorites. Dallas’ odds did not fade much, but both the Giants and Commanders saw their divisional odds fall.
• [March 9] After representing the NFC in the Super Bowl last year, the Philadelphia Eagles have opened as the favorites to win the NFC East. The Eagles’ odds opened at +113 with the Cowboys close behind at +183.

NFC North Odds

The Detroit Lions have won the NFC North after beating the Vikings in Week 16.

Here are some notes on the NFC North odds movement:

• [December 25] The Detroit Lions have clinched the NFC North title with a win over the Vikings in Week 16.
• [December 18] Minnesota losing to the Bengals in Week 15, along with the Lions beating the Broncos, has all-but locked up the NFC North for Detroit. Their odds are now as short as -20000.
• [October 31] Minnesota’s odds to win the division faded from +510 to +1250 after it was confirmed Kirk Cousins tore his Achilles in Week 8. The Vikings still had the second-best odds to win the division at this time, though.
• [October 10] Green Bay’s Week 5 loss to the Raiders has made the Lions very heavy favorites to win the NFC North with -475 odds. The Packers still have the second-best odds at +600.
• [September 28] Detroit went into Green Bay and beat the Packers on Thursday Night Football of Week 4. The result was the Lions’ odds to win the division improving from -105 to -205, while the Packers faded from +155 to +330.
• [September 11] The Lions upset the Chiefs in Week 1 and the Vikings lost to the Buccaneers. As a result, Detroit went from being +140 favorites to -130 odds-on favorites to win the division.
• [September 1] Heading into the 2023-24 NFL season, sportsbooks are very split on whether the Packers or Bears have the worst odds to win the NFC North. DraftKings says the Packers, but most others have the Bears.
• [May 1] After trading Aaron Rodgers to the Jets and a not-so-sexy NFL Draft, the Packers have seen their divisional odds fade from +330 to +500, the worst odds in the NFC North.
• [March 9] The Lions have opened as the favorites to win the NFC North after finishing the 2022-23 season on a high note. Detroit opened at +148 odds with Minnesota behind them at +275. Due to a lot of uncertainty around Aaron Rodgers’ future with the Packers, Green Bay opened at +325 odds.

NFC South Odds

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the NFC South in the final week of the regular season.

Here are some notes on the NFC South odds movement:

• [January 8] Tampa Bay’s 9-0 win over the Panthers in Week 18 was enough to lock up the division title.
• [December 18] Atlanta’s Week 15 loss to the lowly Panthers resulted in their divisional odds fading from +175, which were the best odds to win the NFC South entering the weekend, to +750. Tampa Bay has taken over as the favorite with -135 odds.
• [December 10] Even though the Buccaneers beat the Falcons in Week 14, moving into first place in the NFC South as a result, Atlanta remains the slight favorite to win the division. The Falcons are no longer odds-on favorites, though.
• [November 26] Atlanta beat New Orleans in Week 12 and took over as the favorites to win the NFC South.
• [November 6] The Saints have reclaimed the best odds to win the NFC South after beating the Bears in Week 9, accompanied by the Falcons being upset by the Vikings in Taylor Heinicke’s first start of the season.
• [October 23] After beating the Buccaneers in Week 7, accompanied by a Saints loss, the Falcons have become the favorites to win the NFC South.
• [October 9] New Orleans is back to being the favorite to win the NFC South after Week 5. The Bucs were on bye and the Saints demolished the Patriots.
• [October 1] The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have taken over as the favorites to win the NFC South following a Week 4 win over the Saints.
• [September 1] As we near kickoff for the NFL season, the Saints continue inching closer to even odds to win the division. The Saints’ easy schedule has been a major talking point in the last month. New Orleans is now as short as +105 to win the NFC South.
• [March 9] With Tom Brady retiring earlier in the offseason, the Buccaneers did not open as the favorites to win the NFC South. Instead, it was the New Orleans Saints at +128 odds followed by the Panthers at +255.

NFC West Odds

The San Francisco 49ers won the NFC West in 2023-24. It was their third division title in the last five years.

The San Francisco 49ers clinched the NFC West title following their Week 15 win over the Cardinals.

Here are some notes on the NFC West odds movement:

• [December 17] The 49ers have officially clinched the NFC West title, becoming the first team to clinch their respective division this season.
• [October 29] After Week 8, the 49ers no longer led the NFC West standings. However, they do remain the favorites when it comes to the NFL divisional odds. San Francisco still has -235 odds to win the NFC West, while Seattle has improved to +200 after Week 8.
• [September 11] The 49ers have moved from -190 favorites to win the division to extremely heavy -500 favorites after their dominant Week 1 performance against the Steelers.
• [March 21] Seattle has officially taken over the second-best odds to win the NFC West, going from an average of +438 to +255, while the Rams faded from +355 to +513.
• [March 12] San Francisco’s divisional odds improved to -190 after the Rams traded Jalen Ramsey to the Dolphins. LA still has the second-best odds to win the division, but are now +425, only slightly better than the Seahawks at +475.
• [March 9] The 49ers have opened as odds-on favorites to win the NFC West. San Francisco is given -160 odds to repeat as division champs. The LA Rams are given the next-best odds at +290, though they might be selling off some of their more expensive pieces this offseason.