2025-26 NFL Division Odds Tracker: Perennial Favorites Fall as Pats, Panthers & Broncos Stun

• Look back at the 2025-26 NFL season to see how odds to win each division evolved
• See which teams were the favorites to win each NFL division & who ended up winning each
• Were you looking for the NFL division odds for the current year?

I tracked the odds to win each NFL division throughout the 2025-26 NFL season. Many divisions saw their early-season favorites fall, some of which fell to teams who were seen as major underdogs at opening. You can see how the odds changed over the course of the season below, as well as who went on to win each division.

AFC – East / North / South / West
NFC – East / North / South / West

2025-26 AFC East Odds

The New England Patriots won the AFC East after Buffalo lost to the Eagles in Week 17. New England took over as the favorites after Week 10, thanks to their win over the Buccaneers, paired with the Bills getting crushed by the lowly Dolphins, which marked the first time the Bills were not the favorite this season. They did not look back since, even after the Bills beat them in Week 15.

Here are some notes on the 2025-26 AFC East odds movement:

• [November 10] The Patriots overtook the Bills as the favorites to win the AFC East after Week 10, where the Bills were upset by the lowly Dolphins.
• [September 9] After every AFC East team, other than the Bills, lost in Week 1, Buffalo’s odds to win the division improved to as short as -833.
• [May 20] Shortly after the NFL Draft wrapped up, the Patriots, who were widely seen as one of the biggest winners of the draft, saw their AFC East odds continue to improve, surpassing the Dolphins for the second-best in the division.
• [March 4] The Bills opened as the heavy favorites to win the AFC East. The Bills were given -250 odds at opening, and the Dolphins had the second-best at +475. To the surprise of some, the Jets opened with (significantly) worse odds than the Patriots.

2025-26 AFC North Odds

The Baltimore Ravens were the favorites to win the AFC North entering Week 18, after the Steelers blew their chance to clinch the division by losing to the Browns in Week 17. This allowed for a Week 18 showdown between the Steelers and Ravens for the division. However, the odds were wrong here, as Pittsburgh won the game and the AFC North.

Here are some notes on the 2025-26 AFC North odds movement:

• [December 30] After the Steelers were upset by the Browns in Week 17, and the Ravens beat the Packers, Pittsburgh blew their opportunity to seal the division title. Sportsbooks moved the Ravens to the favorites in their Week 18 matchup for the division.
• [December 9] The Steelers beat the Ravens in Week 14, which led to them taking back over as the favorites to win the AFC North.
• [October 28] A dominant Ravens win in Week 8, without Lamar Jackson, paired with a Steelers loss to the Packers resulted in the Ravens taking back over as the favorites to win the AFC North.
• [October 14] Following Week 6, the Ravens were no longer the favorites to win the AFC North for the first time this season. Their 1-5 record at the time allowed the Steelers to take over as the division favorites.
• [September 16] Joe Burrow’s turf toe injury, which was expected to keep him out for about three months, saw Cincinnati’s AFC North odds plummet from consensus odds of +255 to +679.
• [September 9] The Ravens remained odds-on favorites to win the division despite losing a heartbreaker to Bills in Week 1. Sportsbooks obviously did not feel Cincinnati or Pittsburgh’s Week 1 wins were very impressive.
• [March 12] The Steelers acquired DK Metcalf through a trade with Seattle, and their odds to win the AFC North shortened from +700 to +550 following the move.
• [March 4] The Ravens opened as the heavy favorites to win the AFC North in 2025-26. Cincinnati opened with the second-best odds at +190.

2025-26 AFC South Odds

The Jaguars became the favorites to win the AFC South after Week 14, and remained the favorites from then on. Jacksonville clinched the division with a win over the Titans in Week 18.

The Colts were as heavy as -490 favorites to win the AFC South back in November, but Daniel Jones attempting to play through injury did not go well, and then Indianapolis’ season started spiraling quickly after Jones’ season was ended in Week 14. Philip Rivers was unable to save their season.

Here are some notes on the 2025-26 AFC South odds movement:

• [December 9] Week 14 not only saw the Colts get crushed by the Jaguars, but they also lost Daniel Jones for the rest of the season. Jacksonville took over as the new favorite to win the AFC South after this.
• [September 16] Houston’s 0-2 start to the season opened the door for the Colts to become the new favorites to win the AFC South.
• [September 9] In spite of losing in Week 1, the Texans remained the favorites to win the AFC South. Though, their odds faded from +100 to an average of +169, while both the Jaguars and Colts saw their odds improve after wins.
• [March 4] The Texans opened as the favorites to win the AFC South, getting +100 odds. The Jaguars opened with the second-best odds to win the division, just slightly better odds than the Colts.

2025-26 AFC West Odds

The Denver Broncos clinched the AFC West title with a win over the Chiefs paired with a Chargers loss in Week 17. They took over as the new favorites following Week 9, and really extended their lead in the standings, as well as the odds, by beating the Chiefs in Week 11.

Kansas City was eliminated from playoff contention after a Week 14 loss to the Chargers, which also saw them lose Patrick Mahomes for the rest of the season.

Here are some notes on the 2025-26 AFC West odds movement:

• [November 4] A Chiefs loss to the Bills in Week 9 saw them get bumped in the odds by the Denver Broncos, who took over as the favorites.
• [October 14] Kansas City reclaimed the best odds to win the division following an inspiring Week 6 win over the Lions, as well as the Chargers continuing to struggle.
• [September 16] The Chargers took over as the AFC West favorites after the Chiefs lost in Week 2, marking an 0-2 start for the reigning AFC West champs.
• [September 9] Though the Chiefs lost to the Chargers in Week 1, and the Broncos and Raiders also won, Kansas City remained the favorites to win the AFC West. However, their average odds went from -116 prior to kickoff to +177 afterwards.
• [August 15] The Chargers had the second-best odds to win the AFC West all offseason up to this point, when the Broncos surpassed them for second on the board. It seems money was the reason for this movement.
• [March 4] The Chiefs once again opened with the best odds to win the AFC West. However, their opening odds (-125) were notably longer than they have been in previous seasons. Sportsbooks obviously felt the Chargers and Broncos would provide some legitimate competition to the Chiefs in the AFC West.

2025-26 NFC East Odds

The Philadelphia Eagles have won the NFC East. They were the favorites all season and wrapped up the division title following a Week 16 win over the Commanders.

Here are some notes on the 2025-26 NFC East odds movement:

• [March 4] The Eagles opened as the odds-on favorites to win the NFC East with -150 odds. Washington opened with the second-best odds at +225 with the Cowboys being a distant +600.

2025-26 NFC North Odds

The Bears won the NFC North. Chicago’s win over the Packers in Week 16 moved them to the best odds to win the division, and they sealed the division title when the Packers lost to the Ravens in Week 17.

Here are some notes on the 2025-26 NFC North odds movement:

• [December 23] An incredible comeback win over the Packers in Week 16, which needed overtime to decide a winner, saw the Bears take over as the favorites to win the NFC North for the first time.
• [November 25] Green Bay’s win over the Vikings in Week 12, which gave them another win in the division, was the reason they took back over as the favorites to win the division.
• [November 11] After the Packers lost to the Eagles in Week 10, the Lions took over as the favorites to win the division.
• [August 29] The acquisition of Micah Parsons resulted in a change in the favorite in the NFC North. Green Bay’s odds improved from +259 to as short as +165 after landing Parsons, while Detroit’s odds went from +145 to +200.
• [July 22] Minnesota’s odds to win the NFC North reached an average of +324 after being as long as +462 in March. The improved odds are simply the result of money coming in as the public warms up to JJ McCarthy.
• [March 12] After the Vikings lost Sam Darnold to free agency, they saw their odds worsen slightly from +450 to +462, putting them at the bottom of the divisional odds. Chicago, who added some notable offensive linemen during free agency, saw their odds improve from +550 to +400.
• [March 4] The Lions opened as the favorites to win the NFC North with +125 odds. The Bears, who opened with the worst odds, were still given +550 odds, signaling what is expected to be a very competitive division.

2025-26 NFC South Odds

The Panthers were the favorites to win the NFC South with -395 consensus odds. Tampa Bay was seen as the favorite entering Week 17, but they were upset by the Dolphins, and the Falcons managed to upset the Rams. This meant the Bucs not only needed to beat the Panthers in Week 18, which they did, but also needed the Saints to beat the Falcons, which did not happen, in order to win the NFC South.

Carolina went on to win the division thanks to the Falcons beating the Saints in Week 18.

Here are some notes on the 2025-26 NFC South odds movement:

• [December 30] The Bucs lost their title of favorites to win the NFC South ahead of the final week of the regular season, thanks to their loss to the Dolphins in Week 17, which put them in a situation to need help in Week 18 to win the division.
• [June 26] Tampa Bay, who had been floating around even-money to win the NFC South prior to this point, turned into an odds-on favorite. This is the result of New Orleans’ odds continuing to worsen with their QB situation looking shaky at best.
• [March 4] The Buccaneers opened as the favorites to win the NFC South at +115 odds. The Falcons were not far off at +225 odds.

2025-26 NFC West Odds

The Seattle Seahawks were the favorites to win the NFC West with -119 consensus odds entering Week 18. LA had been the favorite for most of the season, but the Seahawks took over as the favorites for the first time after a thrilling overtime win over the Rams in Week 16.

The 49ers had a chance to beat the Seahawks in Week 18 and win the division, but they failed to do so. Seattle won the division in the final week of the regular season.

Here are some notes on the 2025-26 NFC West odds movement:

• [December 23] The Seahawks beat the Rams in Week 16 to take a one-game lead in the NFC West standings, and also took over as the new favorites following the win.
• [October 14] The 49ers loss to the similarly shorthanded Bucs in Week 6 saw them give up the title of favorite, allowing the Rams to reclaim the top spot in the division at the time.
• [October 7] After upsetting the Rams on TNF as major underdogs in Week 5, San Francisco took over as the favorite to win the NFC West.
• [September 30] After the 49ers were upset by the Jaguars at home in Week 4, and the Rams recorded a win over a good Colts team, LA became the new favorites to win the NFC West.
• [August 15] While their odds have worsened slightly from opening, the 49ers entered the season as the favorites to win the division in spite of all their injury concerns at wide receiver.
• [March 12] The combo of trading DK Metcalf and replacing Geno Smith with Sam Darnold resulted in the Seahawks divisional odds slipping from +500 to +700. The Rams, on the other hand, improved from +280 to +195 after re-signing Matthew Stafford and adding Davante Adams to replace Cooper Kupp.
• [March 4] The 49ers opened at even-odds (+100) to win the NFC West, in spite of missing the playoffs last season. The Rams, who won the division last year, opened with the second-best odds at +280.