Upcoming Match-ups
  • Odds to make the 2023-24 NFL playoffs were available at all sportsbooks (as well as odds to miss the playoffs) the entire regular season
  • The 14-team NFL playoff bracket is now set
  • See each team’s 2024 NFL playoff odds below; jump to our NFL odds for playoff game betting lines

The 2023 NFL regular season concluded January 7, 2024 with the top seven teams from each conference moving onto the 2023-24 NFL Playoffs, which are set to begin January 13, 2024. We tracked the odds for all 32 NFL teams to make and miss the playoffs from the time the odds open, right through to Week 18.

The graphs below were generated by averaging the odds from our most trusted sports betting apps and sites including Caesars Sportsbook, Barstool Sportsbook, BetMGM, DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook.

AFC / NFC

Odds to Make NFL Playoffs for AFC Teams

The current NFL playoff odds suggest five of the seven teams who made the postseason last year will return again this season. The teams out from last year are the Los Angeles Chargers and Cincinnati Bengals. The Browns will be a new face, as they have clinched a playoff berth, and one of Indianapolis or Houston will likely be the other newcomer. It is also possible we see either Jacksonville and/or Buffalo miss, potentially allowing two of the Colts, Texans, and Steelers to get in.

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AFC Playoff Odds

Team Division Odds to Make NFL Playoffs Odds to Miss Playoffs
Kansas City Chiefs AFC West N/A N/A
Baltimore Ravens AFC North N/A N/A
Miami Dolphins AFC East N/A N/A
Cleveland Browns AFC North N/A N/A
Buffalo Bills AFC East -700 +450
Jacksonville Jaguars AFC South -300 +220
Indianapolis Colts AFC South -130 +105
Houston Texans AFC South +100 -125
Pittsburgh Steelers AFC North +130 -160
Cincinnati Bengals AFC North N/A N/A
Denver Broncos AFC West N/A N/A
Las Vegas Raiders AFC West N/A N/A
New York Jets AFC East N/A N/A
Los Angeles Chargers AFC West N/A N/A
Tennessee Titans AFC South N/A N/A
New England Patriots AFC East N/A N/A

Though it looked bad for the Bills a few weeks ago, they are now heavily favored to get into the playoffs. The Jaguars are favored to win the AFC South, leaving the Colts as slight favorites over the Texans to get the last wild card spot. The Steelers need some help, but can still get in.

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You can see the latest playoff picture in our NFL playoff bracket.

Odds as of January 2 at DraftKings Sportsbook & FanDuel Sportsbook; get the best FanDuel Sportsbook promo before signing up

Here are some notes on the NFL playoff odds movement:

  • [November 28] After a crushing loss to the Eagles in Week 12, the Bills’ playoff odds have hit a season-worst +400, fading from +160 last week.
  • [November 21] The Bengals’ playoff odds plummeted from -135 to +550 after Joe Burrow was announced out for the season.
  • [November 15] The Browns playoff odds went from -320 to -190 after it was announced Deshaun Watson would be having season-ending surgery on his shoulder.
  • [October 31] For the first time since late September, the Bengals are favored to make the playoffs. This comes after their Week 8 win over the 49ers. Cincinnati’s odds to make the playoffs had gotten as long as +200 in early October and were +145 prior to Week 8. Joe Burrow and company saw their playoff odds improve to -150 following Week 8.
  • [September 12] The Cleveland Browns went from +115 odds to make the playoffs prior to Week 1, which means they were projected to miss, to -215 odds to make the playoffs after beating the Bengals in Week 1. These are the fourth-best odds among AFC teams. The Dolphins also saw significant movement, going from -110 to -225 after beating the Chargers in a thriller. The Jets, on the other hand, went from -130 odds to make the playoffs to +215 after they lost Aaron Rodgers for the season.
  • [May 1] After Lamar Jackson signed a new contract with the Ravens, the Bengals’ odds to make the playoffs slightly faded, making room for the Chiefs to take over as the team with the best playoff odds in the AFC.
  • [March 28] The Cincinnati Bengals opened with the best odds to make the playoffs in the AFC. They opened at -370 to get in, just slightly better than the Chiefs at -360. The opening NFL playoff odds say the Bengals and Chiefs will be joined by the Bills, Jaguars, Ravens, Jets, and Dolphins in the AFC side of the playoffs.

Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.

Odds to Make Playoffs for NFC Teams

The NFL playoff odds say four of the seven teams who made the NFL playoffs last year in the NFC will be back again this coming postseason. The New York Giants, Seattle Seahawks, and Minnesota Vikings are the three teams left out from last year’s playoffs. The Detroit Lions and LA Rams missed the playoffs last year, but have locked up a spot this year. The odds favor Green Bay as the third newcomer.

NFC Playoff Odds

Team Division Odds to Make NFL Playoffs Odds to Miss Playoffs
Philadelphia Eagles NFC East N/A N/A
San Francisco 49ers NFC West N/A N/A
Dallas Cowboys NFC East N/A N/A
Detroit Lions NFC North N/A N/A
Los Angeles Rams NFC West N/A N/A
Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFC South -250 +200
Green Bay Packers NFC North -190 +150
New Orleans Saints NFC South +250 -320
Seattle Seahawks NFC West +300 -400
Atlanta Falcons NFC South +700 -1200
Minnesota Vikings NFC North +2500 -20000
Chicago Bears NFC North N/A N/A
Washington Commanders NFC East N/A N/A
New York Giants NFC East N/A N/A
Carolina Panthers NFC South N/A N/A
Arizona Cardinals NFC West N/A N/A

The NFC playoff picture only has two spots remaining: the winner of the NFC South and the final wild card spot. The Buccaneers are favored to take the NFC South, but New Orleans and Atlanta both still have a shot. Green Bay is given the best odds to get the final wild card spot, but Seattle, New Orleans, and Minnesota all still have a chance.

*Odds as of January 2.

Here are some notes on the NFL playoff odds movement:

  • [December 5] The Panthers have become the first team to be mathematically eliminated from making the playoffs, meaning they will no longer have odds.
  • [October 31] Just as the Vikings were starting to make their playoff push, it has been confirmed Kirk Cousins has torn his Achilles. Minnesota’s odds to make the playoffs had gotten as long as +450 in early October but had gotten as short as +148 prior to Week 8. Their playoff odds sit at +230 after the Cousins news.
  • [September 12] The Lions went from -165 odds to make the playoffs to extremely heavy -350 favorites to make the playoffs after beating the Chiefs in the season-opener. The Bears saw their odds plummet from +155 to +380 after an awful showing at home against the Packers.
  • [March 28] We saw NFL playoff odds open a good month before the 2023 NFL Draft. The opening odds said the following teams would get into the 2024 NFL playoffs: the 49ers, Eagles, Saints, Cowboys, Lions, Seahawks, and Vikings.

NFL Playoffs FAQ

How many teams make the NFL playoffs?

Fourteen teams - seven each from the NFC and AFC - qualify for the NFL playoffs. The top team in each conference gets a bye to the Divisional Round. The remaining six teams play one-game Wild Card matchups to fill the remaining three Divisional Round berths in each conference.

When do the NFL playoffs start?

This season's NFL playoffs start on January 13, 2024, and end with the Super Bowl on Feb. 11, 2024, at Allegiant Stadium in Paradise, Nevada.

How does OT work in the NFL playoffs?

The new NFL playoff overtime rules mandate that each team gets a chance to possess the ball. If the teams are still tied after each has had one OT possession, the OT period becomes sudden death (next points of any kind win).

 


Archived NFL Playoff Odds: 2022-23, 2021-22, 2020-21, 2019-20

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After working in TV, Matt turned his focus towards numbers, specifically odds. He has been with us since 2016 and serves as SBD's Editor-in-Chief, credited with creating our futures trackers, SBD's score predictor, SBD Sharp, and his own model for calculating NFL SOS, among other products.