Upcoming Match-ups
  • Odds to make the 2023-24 NFL playoffs are available at all sportsbooks (as well as odds to miss the playoffs)
  • The odds to make the playoffs suggest two new teams will get into the postseason from the NFC and three new teams from the AFC
  • See each team’s 2024 NFL playoff odds below

The 2023 NFL regular season will conclude January 7, 2024 with the top seven teams from each conference moving onto the 2023-24 NFL Playoffs, which are set to begin January 13, 2024. We are tracking the odds for all 32 NFL teams to make and miss the playoffs from the time the odds open, right through to Week 18.

The graphs below were generated by averaging the odds from our most trusted sports betting apps and sites including Caesars Sportsbook, Barstool Sportsbook, BetMGM, DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook.


Odds to Make NFL Playoffs for AFC Teams

The current NFL playoff odds suggest six of the seven teams who made the postseason last year will return again this season. The lone team out is the Los Angeles Chargers. The new team in is the Cleveland Browns, who are given -125 odds to make the playoffs.

AFC Playoff Odds

Team Division Odds to Make NFL Playoffs Odds to Miss Playoffs
Kansas City Chiefs AFC West -20000 +2500
Baltimore Ravens AFC North -20000 +2500
Miami Dolphins AFC East -20000 +2500
Jacksonville Jaguars AFC South N/A N/A
Pittsburgh Steelers AFC North N/A N/A
Houston Texans AFC South N/A N/A
Indianapolis Colts AFC South N/A N/A
Denver Broncos AFC West N/A N/A
Cleveland Browns AFC North N/A N/A
Buffalo Bills AFC East N/A N/A
Los Angeles Chargers AFC West N/A N/A
Cincinnati Bengals AFC North N/A N/A
New York Jets AFC East N/A N/A
Tennessee Titans AFC South N/A N/A
Las Vegas Raiders AFC West +1800 -10000
New England Patriots AFC East N/A N/A

The Kansas City Chiefs are given the best odds to make the playoffs among AFC teams partially thanks to next to no competition within their division. Meanwhile the lowly New England Patriots are given the worst odds to make the playoffs – or the best odds to miss the playoffs, if you will. Most of the AFC playoff odds are unavailable right now due to uncertainties around how long Kenny Pickett and Trevor Lawrence, both left their respective games in Week 13, will be out for.

As the season progresses, and some teams are either eliminated from playoff contention or clinch a playoff berth, they will no longer be given odds to make or miss the NFL playoffs. You can see the playoff picture slowly unveil in our NFL playoff bracket.

Odds as of December 5 at DraftKings Sportsbook; get the best DraftKings Sportsbook promo before signing up

Here are some notes on the NFL playoff odds movement:

  • [November 28] After a crushing loss to the Eagles in Week 12, the Bills’ playoff odds have hit a season-worst +400, fading from +160 last week.
  • [November 21] The Bengals’ playoff odds plummeted from -135 to +550 after Joe Burrow was announced out for the season.
  • [November 15] The Browns playoff odds went from -320 to -190 after it was announced Deshaun Watson would be having season-ending surgery on his shoulder.
  • [October 31] For the first time since late September, the Bengals are favored to make the playoffs. This comes after their Week 8 win over the 49ers. Cincinnati’s odds to make the playoffs had gotten as long as +200 in early October and were +145 prior to Week 8. Joe Burrow and company saw their playoff odds improve to -150 following Week 8.
  • [September 12] The Cleveland Browns went from +115 odds to make the playoffs prior to Week 1, which means they were projected to miss, to -215 odds to make the playoffs after beating the Bengals in Week 1. These are the fourth-best odds among AFC teams. The Dolphins also saw significant movement, going from -110 to -225 after beating the Chargers in a thriller. The Jets, on the other hand, went from -130 odds to make the playoffs to +215 after they lost Aaron Rodgers for the season.
  • [May 1] After Lamar Jackson signed a new contract with the Ravens, the Bengals’ odds to make the playoffs slightly faded, making room for the Chiefs to take over as the team with the best playoff odds in the AFC.
  • [March 28] The Cincinnati Bengals opened with the best odds to make the playoffs in the AFC. They opened at -370 to get in, just slightly better than the Chiefs at -360. The opening NFL playoff odds say the Bengals and Chiefs will be joined by the Bills, Jaguars, Ravens, Jets, and Dolphins in the AFC side of the playoffs.

Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.

Odds to Make Playoffs for NFC Teams

The NFL playoff odds say only four of the seven teams who made the NFL playoffs last year in the NFC will be back again this coming postseason. The New York Giants, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and Minnesota Vikings are the four teams left out from last year’s playoffs. The New Orleans Saints, Atlanta Falcons, and Detroit Lions are among the top seven in terms of odds to make the playoffs among NFC teams and all missed the playoffs last year.

NFC Playoff Odds

Team Division Odds to Make NFL Playoffs Odds to Miss Playoffs
Philadelphia Eagles NFC East N/A N/A
San Francisco 49ers NFC West N/A N/A
Dallas Cowboys NFC East N/A N/A
Detroit Lions NFC North -20000 +2500
Green Bay Packers NFC North -230 +185
Atlanta Falcons NFC South -215 +175
Minnesota Vikings NFC North +120 -150
Los Angeles Rams NFC West +145 -185
Seattle Seahawks NFC West +200 -250
Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFC South +220 -280
New Orleans Saints NFC South +245 -320
Chicago Bears NFC North +2500 -20000
Washington Commanders NFC East N/A N/A
New York Giants NFC East N/A N/A
Carolina Panthers NFC South N/A N/A
Arizona Cardinals NFC West N/A N/A

The Philadelphia Eagles, who have clinched a playoff spot, and San Francisco 49ers, who are close to clinching, are no longer given odds to make or miss the playoffs. The Detroit Lions and Dallas Cowboys currently have the best odds to make the playoffs among NFC teams (with odds). Each are listed at -20000 odds to get into the 2024 NFL playoffs. The Carolina Panthers no longer have odds because they have been mathematically eliminated from playoff contention. We also do not have odds for Arizona, New York (Giants), and Washington because all are close to being eliminated.

San Francisco, Philadelphia, and Dallas do not have odds anymore for the opposite reason: they are all close to clinching playoff berths.

*Odds as of December 5.

Here are some notes on the NFL playoff odds movement:

  • [December 5] The Panthers have become the first team to be mathematically eliminated from making the playoffs, meaning they will no longer have odds.
  • [October 31] Just as the Vikings were starting to make their playoff push, it has been confirmed Kirk Cousins has torn his Achilles. Minnesota’s odds to make the playoffs had gotten as long as +450 in early October but had gotten as short as +148 prior to Week 8. Their playoff odds sit at +230 after the Cousins news.
  • [September 12] The Lions went from -165 odds to make the playoffs to extremely heavy -350 favorites to make the playoffs after beating the Chiefs in the season-opener. The Bears saw their odds plummet from +155 to +380 after an awful showing at home against the Packers.
  • [March 28] We saw NFL playoff odds open a good month before the 2023 NFL Draft. The opening odds said the following teams would get into the 2024 NFL playoffs: the 49ers, Eagles, Saints, Cowboys, Lions, Seahawks, and Vikings.

NFL Playoffs FAQ

How many teams make the NFL playoffs?

Fourteen teams - seven each from the NFC and AFC - qualify for the NFL playoffs. The top team in each conference gets a bye to the Divisional Round. The remaining six teams play one-game Wild Card matchups to fill the remaining three Divisional Round berths in each conference.

When do the NFL playoffs start?

This season's NFL playoffs start on January 13, 2024, and end with the Super Bowl on Feb. 11, 2024, at Allegiant Stadium in Paradise, Nevada.

How does OT work in the NFL playoffs?

The new NFL playoff overtime rules mandate that each team gets a chance to possess the ball. If the teams are still tied after each has had one OT possession, the OT period becomes sudden death (next points of any kind win).


Archived NFL Playoff Odds: 2022-23, 2021-22, 2020-21, 2019-20

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After working in TV, Matt turned his focus towards numbers, specifically odds. He has been with us since 2016 and serves as SBD's Editor-in-Chief, credited with creating our futures trackers, SBD's score predictor, SBD Sharp, and his own model for calculating NFL SOS, among other products.