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  • Get the most recent odds for all 32 teams to make the 2021-22 NFL Playoffs
  • See how each team’s odds change throughout the 2021 NFL season
  • Get the best odds to make and miss the playoffs for each team

The 2021 NFL regular season concludes January 9, 2022 with the top seven teams from each conference moving onto the 2021-22 NFL Playoffs, which are set to begin January 15, 2022. We’ll be tracking the odds for all 32 teams to make and miss the playoffs from the time the odds open, right through to Week 18, which has been confirmed for this season.

The graphs below were generated by averaging the odds from our most trusted sportsbooks.

AFC / NFC

Odds to Make NFL Playoffs for AFC Teams

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AFC Playoff Odds

Team Odds to Make NFL Playoffs Odds to Miss Playoffs
Tennessee Titans -5000 +1200
Kansas City Chiefs -850 +540
Buffalo Bills -650 +450
New England Patriots -600 +410
Baltimore Ravens -500 +340
Los Angeles Chargers -260 +200
Indianapolis Colts -138 +110
Cincinnati Bengals -116 -106
Cleveland Browns +146 -188
Pittsburgh Steelers +270 -410
Denver Broncos +390 -550
Las Vegas Raiders +540 -950
Miami Dolphins +2500 -7000
Houston Texans +50000 N/A
New York Jets +100000 N/A
Jacksonville Jaguars +100000 N/A

*Odds as of November 23

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Here are some notes on the NFL playoff odds movement:

  • [November 23] The Bills, who had the best odds to make the AFC playoffs entering Week 11, saw their playoff odds fade from -4000 to -650 after they were humiliated by the Colts at home. The loss allowed the Patriots to takeover the top seed in the AFC East. The Colts also went from being favored to miss the playoffs to now favored to make them after the win.
  • [November 17] After an impressive win over the Browns in Week 10, the Patriots are heavily favored to make the playoffs, possessing the fifth-best odds among AFC teams.
  • [November 2] Even after losing to the Jets in Week 8, the Bengals are still favored to make the NFL playoffs. The Browns’ playoff odds faded significantly, however, thanks to being upset by the Steelers.
  • [October 26] There was major odds movement in the AFC playoff odds after Week 7. Cincinnati’s huge upset of the Ravens resulted in their odds to make the playoffs going from an average of +185 to -182. The Raiders also saw big movement, going from average odds of +124 to make the playoffs to -121. Meanwhile, Kansas City is still favored to make the playoffs despite dropping to 3-4 for the season.
  • [October 19] The Titans now have the third-best odds to make the playoffs among AFC teams after upsetting the Bills in Week 6. The Browns are still heavily favored to make the playoffs after losing to the Browns, and also losing Kareem Hunt to injury.
  • [October 12] The Chiefs are still heavily favored to make the playoffs after losing their third game of the season, but have seen their odds fade to -360. Their NFL playoff odds were as short as -1100 earlier in the year. The Broncos are now favored to miss the playoffs after losing their second straight.
  • [October 5] Despite losing to the Jets in Week 4, the Titans’ odds to make the playoffs only faded from an average of -465 to -275. The Broncos also saw their playoff odds take a hit, going from -189 to -110 after losing to the Ravens. The Chargers saw the biggest improvement, as their odds went from +105 to -205 with a win over the Raiders.
  • [September 28] Though they’re still heavily favored to make the NFL playoffs, the Chiefs saw their odds fade from an average of -800 to -420 after falling to 1-2 on the season. The Bills now have the best odds to make the playoffs among AFC teams.
  • [September 21] In a matter of two weeks, the Colts’ odds to make the playoffs have gone from an average of -110 to +172 thanks to their 0-2 start. The Dolphins’ odds also plummeted from -167 to +135 after they were shutout by the Bills in Week 2. The Raiders’ odds to make the playoffs went from +300 to +105 after improving to 2-0 with a win over the Steelers in Week 2.
  • [September 16] The Colts saw their odds to make the playoffs plummet after a very discouraging performance in Week 1. Indianapolis was -110 to get in prior to Sunday, but are now +112. The Bills and Ravens also saw their odds worsen after both were upset in Week 1, but they are still favored to get in. The chase for the final few spots really tightened as Denver, Tennessee (thanks to Indianapolis’ loss), and Miami now have better odds to make the playoffs than miss.
  • [September 3] The Colts’ odds to make the playoffs have taken a big hit, dropping from an average of -188 to -110, largely due to the health concerns of Carson Wentz and their offensive line.
  • [June 7] After the Titans acquired Julio Jones from the Falcons, their odds to make the NFL playoffs went from an average of -132 to -152. As a result, Indianapolis saw their NFL playoff odds worsen from -196 to -188.
  • [May 3] With rumors of Denver being Aaron Rodgers’ preferred destination, the Broncos’ odds to make the playoffs have jumped from +285 to an average of +157. Houston’s playoff odds continue to fade as Deshaun Watson’s situation remains undecided. The Texans’ odds have gone from +550 to +635.
  • [March 30] Based off the opening odds to make the 2021-22 NFL playoffs, the following teams will make it from the AFC: Kansas City, Baltimore, Buffalo, Indianapolis, Cleveland, Tennessee, and then one of Miami, New England, or Pittsburgh.

Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.

Odds to Make Playoffs for NFC Teams

NFC Playoff Odds

Team Odds to Make NFL Playoffs Odds to Miss Playoffs
Arizona Cardinals -20000 +5000
Green Bay Packers -10000 +1600
Dallas Cowboys -5000 +2500
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3500 +1550
Los Angeles Rams -1450 +870
Minnesota Vikings -110 -110
San Francisco 49ers +100 -122
New Orleans Saints +138 -172
Philadelphia Eagles +138 -172
Washington Football Team +750 -1450
Carolina Panthers +790 -1450
Seattle Seahawks +1000 -3500
Atlanta Falcons +1260 -2500
New York Giants +1280 -2500
Chicago Bears +5000 -20000
Detroit Lions +100000 N/A

*Odds as of November 23

Here are some notes on the NFL playoff odds movement:

  • [November 23] The Saints went from being favored to make the playoffs to now favored to miss them after a bad Week 11 loss to the Eagles. Even after beating Green Bay, Minnesota is still given identical -110 odds to make and miss the playoffs.
  • [November 17] The Panthers saw their odds to make the playoffs improve from +1030 to +330 after a big win over the Cardinals in Cam Newton’s return to the team. Minnesota also saw their odds improve after beating the Chargers. The Vikings’ playoff odds went from +260 to +149.
  • [November 2] The Saints became heavy favorites to make the NFL playoffs after upsetting the Bucs in Week 8. The Vikings’ odds to make the playoffs didn’t fade much after losing to the Dak Prescott-less Cowboys.
  • [October 26] After an ugly loss to the Colts in Week 7, the 49ers’ odds to make the playoffs have plummeted from an average of +114 to +245. Minnesota now has the seventh-best odds to make the playoffs among NFC teams.
  • [October 19] The Panthers’ odds to make the playoffs have plummeted over the last three weeks, and are now listed as long as +380.
  • [October 12] The Seahawks’ odds to make the NFL playoffs have plummeted from an average of -152 to +278 after Russell Wilson badly sprained his finger against the Rams in Week 5. Sportsbooks obviously do not have any faith in Geno Smith keeping the team together while Wilson is sidelined for a handful of weeks.
  • [October 5] The Cardinals saw the most dramatic shift after Week 4, with their playoff odds improving from an average of -138 to -405 thanks to a convincing win over the Rams. The Saints are no longer favored to make the playoffs after losing to the Giants, and the 49ers saw their odds worsen from -228 to -130 after losing to the Seahawks.
  • [September 28] The Saints are favored to make the playoffs again after beating the Patriots in Week 3. The Seahawks’ average odds still favor them to make the playoffs as well, in spite of being upset by the Vikings. San Francisco also saw their odds fade, dropping from -370 to -228 thanks to their heartbreaking loss to the Packers.
  • [September 21] The Saints are favored to miss the playoffs again after losing to the Panthers in Week 2. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are now favored to make the playoffs after starting the season 2-0.
  • [September 16] The Packers’ odds to make the playoffs took a small hit after being upset by the Saints in Week 1. Green Bay’s odds were -315 prior to the season but have since moved to -228. The Saints odds improved significantly, though, going from +110 to -162.
  • [September 3] With the Bears standing firm on starting Andy Dalton, mixed with Aaron Rodgers returning to the Packers, Chicago’s odds to make the playoffs have worsened from an average of +171 to +213. The San Francisco 49ers, on the other hand, have seen their playoff odds improve from -180 to -215.
  • [June 7] The Falcons’ odds to make the NFL playoffs fell from an average of +211 to +225 after trading away star wide receiver Julio Jones.
  • [May 3] Uncertainty around Aaron Rodgers’ future has resulted in the Green Bay Packers’ odds to make the playoffs being pulled off the board for now. The Chicago Bears’ odds improved from an average of +220 to +157 after moving up in the draft for Justin Fields.
  • [March 30] Based off the opening NFL playoff odds, the following teams are expected to make the 2022 NFL playoffs from the NFC: Green Bay, Tampa Bay, Los Angeles (Rams), Dallas, San Francisco, New Orleans, and Seattle.

Archived NFL Playoff Odds: 2020-21, 2019-20

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After working in TV, Matt turned his focus towards numbers, specifically odds. He has been with us since 2016 and serves as SBD's Editor-in-Chief, credited with creating our futures trackers, SBD's score predictor, SBD Sharp, and his own model for calculating NFL SOS, among other products.