Upcoming Match-ups
  • Get the most recent odds for all 32 teams to make the 2022-23 NFL Playoffs
  • Many early favorites to make the NFL Playoffs have disappointed through the first two weeks of the season
  • See how each team’s NFL playoff odds change throughout the 2022 NFL season

The 2022 NFL regular season concludes January 8, 2023 with the top seven teams from each conference moving onto the 2022-23 NFL Playoffs, which are set to begin January 14, 2023. We’ll be tracking the odds for all 32 NFL teams to make and miss the playoffs from the time the odds open, right through to Week 18.

The graphs below were generated by averaging the odds from our most trusted sports betting apps and sites including Caesars Sportsbook, Barstool Sportsbook, BetMGM, DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook.

AFC / NFC

Odds to Make NFL Playoffs for AFC Teams

The Bills currently have the best odds among AFC teams to make the playoffs, while the Texans are given the worst odds to be a playoff team in the AFC. The current odds to make and miss the 2022-23 NFL playoffs for all AFC teams are below.

AFC Playoff Odds

Team Division Odds to Make NFL Playoffs Odds to Miss Playoffs
Buffalo Bills AFC East -3500 +1350
Kansas City Chiefs AFC West -700 +500
Baltimore Ravens AFC North -225 +185
Miami Dolphins AFC East -210 +175
Los Angeles Chargers AFC West -205 +170
Indianapolis Colts AFC South +118 -140
Denver Broncos AFC West +118 -140
Tennessee Titans AFC South +130 -155
Cincinnati Bengals AFC North +148 -175
New England Patriots AFC East +175 -210
Cleveland Browns AFC North +185 -225
Las Vegas Raiders AFC West +275 -350
Jacksonville Jaguars AFC South +300 -385
Pittsburgh Steelers AFC North +320 -420
New York Jets AFC East +800 -1400
Houston Texans AFC South +950 -1700

Odds as of September 20 at Caesars Sportsbook; get the best Caesars Sportsbook promo before signing up

As the season progresses, and some teams are either eliminated from playoff contention or clinch a playoff berth, they will no longer be given odds to make or miss the NFL playoffs. You can see the playoff picture slowly unveil in our NFL playoff bracket.

Here are some notes on the NFL playoff odds movement:

  • [September 20] The Broncos, Titans, Bengals, and Colts were seen as heavy favorites to make the playoffs before the season started, but are all now given better odds to miss the playoffs after very disappointing starts to the season. The Dolphins are heading in the right direction, though, and are now -175 to get in.
  • [September 7] The Browns, who were once -150 favorites to make the NFL playoffs, are now listed at +178 odds. This puts them behind the Raiders, Dolphins, and Patriots on the odds board.
  • [July 27] With Deshaun Watson potentially being served a suspension, the Cleveland Browns’ playoff odds have been taken off the board.
  • [April 11] The Browns have opened with -150 odds to make the 2022-23 NFL playoffs. They have better odds than Cincinnati, Baltimore, and Tennessee.
  • [March 28] Odds to make the NFL playoffs have opened, as well as odds to miss the NFL playoffs. The following teams from the AFC opened as the favorites to make the playoffs: Buffalo, Kansas City, Indianapolis, Denver, Los Angeles (Chargers), Cincinnati, and Baltimore. The Browns did not have odds at opening.

Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.

Odds to Make Playoffs for NFC Teams

The NFC team with the best odds to make the 2022-23 NFL playoffs is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with -625 odds. That’s in large part thanks to three-time NFL MVP quarterback Tom Brady announcing his return to the Bucs during the offseason. Surprisingly, the Lions do not have the worst odds among NFC teams to make the postseason, as the Falcons sit at the bottom of the odds board with +750 odds.

NFC Playoff Odds

Team Division Odds to Make NFL Playoffs Odds to Miss Playoffs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFC South -1600 +900
Philadelphia Eagles NFC East -400 +310
Green Bay Packers NFC North -267 +215
Minnesota Vikings NFC North -235 +192
Los Angeles Rams NFC West -228 +285
San Francisco 49ers NFC West -190 +158
New Orleans Saints NFC South +118 -140
New York Giants NFC East +118 -140
Dallas Cowboys NFC East +170 +205
Washington Commanders NFC East +170 -205
Arizona Cardinals NFC West +196 -240
Detroit Lions NFC North +320 -420
Chicago Bears NFC North +400 -550
Carolina Panthers NFC South +600 -900
Seattle Seahawks NFC West +600 -900
Atlanta Falcons NFC South N/A N/A

*Odds as of September 20.

Here are some notes on the NFL playoff odds movement:

  • [September 20] The Cowboys’ odds to make the playoffs have recovered after Cooper Rush led them to a surprise win over the Bengals. Dallas is back to +130 after fading to +240 following their Week 1 loss to the Bucs and Dak Prescott’s hand injury. The Giants, despite being 2-0, are still given better odds to miss the playoffs.
  • [July 27] The Eagles’ odds to make the playoffs have been steadily improving since they acquired AJ Brown from the Titans on Day 1 of the NFL Draft. Philadelphia now has the sixth-best odds to make the playoffs in the NFC.
  • [March 28] Odds to make the NFL playoffs in the NFC have opened. The following teams from the NFC are favored to make the playoffs: Tampa Bay, Green Bay, Dallas, Los Angeles (Rams), San Francisco, and Arizona. The team with the seventh-best odds is Minnesota.

 

NFL Playoffs FAQ

How many teams make the NFL playoffs?

Fourteen teams - seven each from the NFC and AFC - qualify. The top team in each conference gets a bye to the Divisional Round. The remaining six teams play one-game Wild Card matchups to fill the remaining three Divisional Round berths in each conference.

When do the NFL playoffs start?

This season's NFL playoffs start on Jan. 14, 2023, and end with the Super Bowl on Feb. 12, 2023, in Glendale, Arizona.

How does OT work in the NFL playoffs?

The new NFL playoff overtime rules mandate that each team gets a chance to possess the ball. If the teams are still tied after each has had one OT possession, the OT period becomes sudden death (next points of any kind win).

 


Archived NFL Playoff Odds: 2021-22, 2020-21, 2019-20

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After working in TV, Matt turned his focus towards numbers, specifically odds. He has been with us since 2016 and serves as SBD's Editor-in-Chief, credited with creating our futures trackers, SBD's score predictor, SBD Sharp, and his own model for calculating NFL SOS, among other products.