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  • Who are the top contenders for the 2019 NHL Hart Trophy?
  • Look at odds for individual players in addition league-wide trends from past years
  • Track and visualize how odds fluctuate throughout the 2018-19 NHL campaign

The Professional Hockey Writers’ Association has awarded the Hart Memorial Trophy to the league’s most valuable player since 1926, a whopping 16 years before the original six era officially began. With 31 teams in the NHL since the Vegas Golden Knights burst onto the scene in 2017 and league parity at an all-time high, the Hart Trophy race has never been more exciting.

We’ll be tracking all the odds available at online sportsbooks all year, providing you with coverage on how notable players’ odds to win the Hart fluctuate throughout the season.

Taylor Hall won the Hart Trophy in 2018 for his heroic performance that willed the New Jersey Devils into a playoff position after a five-year absence, reclaiming his place among hockey’s elite after several consecutive disappointing and injury-riddled seasons.

Hall capturing the Hart was a nearly unprecedented surprise to both hockey media and fans alike, as he wasn’t even on the board when bookmakers opened Hart Trophy odds at the beginning of the 2017-2018 NHL campaign. Will there be another astonishing upset for the Hart Trophy in 2019?

2019 NHL Hart Trophy Favorites

NHL Hart Trophy Top 5 Contenders

Player BetOnline Odds (Mar. 1, 2019)
Nikita Kucherov (Tampa Bay Lightning) -500
Patrick Kane (Chicago Blackhawks) +300
Connor McDavid (Edmonton Oilers) +500
Nathan MacKinnon (Colorado Avalanche) +2000
Johnny Gaudreau (Calgary Flames) +2000

2019 Hart Trophy Winner: Implied Probability

Nikita Kucherov is the prohibitive favorite with about 20 games remaining. He has the scoring title all but sewn up and his Lightning are on pace for the most points in the regular season since the juggernaut Detroit Red Wings of 2005-06.

The only person with a chance to steal the award, realistically, is Patrick Kane. He’s been the hottest player in the league over the last six weeks, and if he can lead the Blackhawks to an unlikely playoff berth, there could be a solid narrative behind the diminutive sniper. 

NHL Hart Trophy Trends to Consider

  • There are no goaltenders or defensemen with available odds, and no non-forward has won the Hart in the last 15 years with the sole exception of Carey Price in 2014-2015. A forward will almost assuredly win the Hart this year.
  • It’s almost impossible for players to win the Hart Trophy if their teams don’t make the playoffs. It hasn’t happened since Mario Lemieux won the trophy in 1988 and only four times in this history of the league. McDavid’s chances of winning suggest that this year may prove to be an exception to this trend.
  • The player who wins the Hart will likely lead the league in either goals, points, or both. The only two post-lockout exceptions to this rule are Taylor Hall in 2018 and Carey Price in 2015.
  • Hockey writers not only focus on larger market teams when they cast their votes, but they tend to vote for players in the Eastern Conference (the majority of hockey media leaves on the East Coast, and apparently they all have early bedtimes).  In the post-lockout era, 9 out of 13 Hart Trophy winners have played in the East.

2019 Hart Trophy Odds for Players on Canadian Teams

With 7 players out of the 35 represented on the board, Canadian teams are home to a lot of top-flight talent this season. While McDavid remains the league-wide favorite, Johnny Gaudreau isn’t a bad bet at +1000.

2019 Hart Trophy Odds for Previous Winners

We might sound like a broken record at this point, but we really can’t overemphasize that there’s a reason Connor McDavid is at the top of so many lists, and why he gets such fanfare. He’s scary good.

2019 Hart Trophy Odds for Eastern Conference Players

Three out of the top five contenders for the Hart Trophy play in the Eastern Conference. If McDavid misses any significant time to injury, it’s a safe bet that the winner hail from an Eastern team.

2019 Hart Trophy Odds for Western Conference Players

There are 18 skaters in the West on the board for the Hart Trophy vs. 16 in the East, but many of them are major long shots. For example, we’d put the chances of either 35-year old Ilya Kovalchuk, declining Joe Pavelski, and Dallas’ third-best forward in Alexander Radulov at about as close to 0% as humanly possible.

 Last 10 Hart Trophy Winners

Year Player Goals Assists Points Age
2017-2018 Taylor Hall (New Jersey Devils) 39 54 93 26
2016-2017 Connor McDavid (Edmonton Oilers) 30 70 100 20
2015-2016 Patrick Kane (Chicago Blackhawks) 46 60 106 27
2014-2015 Cary Price (Montreal Canadiens) N/A (1.96 GAA) N/A (.933 SV%) N/A (44 W) 27
2013-2014 Sidney Crosby (Pittsburgh Penguins) 36 68 104 26
2012-2013 Alex Ovechkin (Washinton Capitals) 32 24 56 27
2011-2012 Evgeni Malkin (Pittsburgh Penguins) 50 59 109 25
2010-2011 Corey Perry (Anaheim Ducks) 50 48 98 25
2009-2010 Henrik Sedin (Vancouver Canucks) 29 83 112 29
2008-2009 Alexander Ovechkin (Washington Capitals) 56 54 110 23

The median age of Hart Trophy winners in the last 10 years is 28. The youngest winner over the last 10 years is Connor McDavid, who was only 20 when he won the Hart in 2016.

 Players with Multiple Hart Trophies

Player Hart Trophies Years
Wayne Gretzky 9 1980, 1981, 1982, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987, 1989
Gordie Howe 6 1952, 1953, 1957, 1958, 1960, 1963
Eddie Shore 4 1933, 1935, 1936, 1938
Bobby Clarke 3 1973, 1975, 1976
Mario Lemieux 3 1988, 1993, 1996
Howie Morenz 3 1928, 1931, 1932
Bobby Orr 3 1970, 1971, 1972
Alexander Ovechkin 3 2007, 2008, 2013
Sidney Crosby 2 2007, 2014
Dominik Hasek 2 1997, 1998
Phil Esposito 2 1969, 1974
Mark Messier 2 1990, 1992