2024 NHL Awards – Opening Odds & Early Value for Hart, Norris & Vezina Trophy
- Opening odds have been released for the 2024 NHL Awards
- Connor McDavid has opened at plus-money to win another MVP award
- See opening futures for the 2024 Hart, Vezina, and Norris Trophy in the story below
The hardware was just handed out for the 2022-23 NHL regular season, but oddsmakers are already offering odds for the 2024 NHL Awards. Bettors can wager on the Hart Trophy, Vezina Trophy and Norris Trophy winners for 2023-24.
Edmonton Oilers phenom Connor McDavid has opened as the +100 favorite to win his fourth career MVP trophy in 2023-24. The Vezina Trophy odds don’t feature a clear favorite, while the Norris Trophy odds favor a stud defenseman who has already won the award once.
Let’s dive into the opening NHL Awards odds for 2024, and analyze the best early value.
2024 Hart Trophy Odds
| Player (Team) | Odds |
|---|---|
| Connor McDavid (Oilers) | +100 |
| Nathan MacKinnon (Avalanche) | +900 |
| Leon Draisaitl (Oilers) | +1000 |
| Matthew Tkachuk (Panthers) | +1200 |
| Kirill Kaprizov (Wild) | +1600 |
| David Pastrnak (Bruins) | +1600 |
| Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs) | +1600 |
| Jack Hughes (Devils) | +1800 |
| Tage Thompson (Sabres) | +2500 |
| Nikita Kucherov (Lightning) | +2500 |
| Jason Robertson (Stars) | +3000 |
| Cale Makar (Avalanche) | +3000 |
| Mikko Rantanen (Avalanche) | +4000 |
| Kyle Connor (Jets) | +5000 |
| Jack Eichel (Golden Knights) | +5000 |
| Ilya Sorokin (Islanders) | +6000 |
| Elias Pettersson (Canucks) | +6000 |
| Sidney Crosby (Penguins) | +7500 |
| Sebastian Aho (Hurricanes) | +7500 |
| Roope Hintz (Stars) | +7500 |
Opening 2024 NHL Awards odds as of June 27, 2023, at DraftKings Sportsbook.
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McDavid Clear Favorite in Hart Odds
To nobody’s surprise, Edmonton Oilers center Connor Mcdavid is the early betting favorite to win the 2024 Hart Trophy. What might be surprising, however, is McDavid being listed at plus-money despite clearly being the best hockey player in the world.
McDavid was one vote away from winning the Hart Trophy unanimously for the second time in his NHL career. By the time the 2022-23 season had concluded, the Canadian superstar was sitting at -9000 odds at sportsbooks (90% implied probability).
KING OF HARTS ♥️
McDavid has been awarded his third Hart Memorial Trophy. pic.twitter.com/DUnUcmknUQ
— Edmonton Oilers (@EdmontonOilers) June 27, 2023
McDavid has already won three Hart trophies at age 26, but none of those wins came in back-to-back years. There actually hasn’t been a back-to-back Hart winner in consecutive years since Alex Ovechkin in 2008 and 2009.
McDavid seems like a gift at plus-money in the early Hart odds, but you do have to consider the possibility of injury. His teammate Leon Drasiatil also seems destined for a monstrous 2023-24 regular season after dominating in the 2023 NHL Playoffs.
We can’t tell you not to bet on the best player in the world to win the Hart, but we’ll give you another player with even better value. Toronto Maple Leafs’ superstar Auston Matthews is sitting at +1600 after an underwhelming (by his standards) 2022-23 season with 40 goals and 45 assists.
Matthews was hampered by a hand injury in 2022-23 and is about to enter a contract year in Toronto. He nudged out Mcdavid in the Hart race just one year ago, and is certainly capable of doing it again in the prime of his career. His +1600 odds are simply too good to pass up.
- Best Early Value: Auston Matthews (+1600)
2024 Vezina Trophy Odds
| Player (Team) | Odds |
|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin (Islanders) | +400 |
| Juuse Saros (Predators) | +600 |
| Igor Shesterkin (Rangers) | +600 |
| Connor Hellebuyck (Jets) | +700 |
| Andrei Vasilevskiy (Lightning) | +800 |
| Jake Oettinger (Stars) | +1200 |
| Linus Ullmark (Bruins) | +1800 |
| Filip Gustavsson (Wild) | +2000 |
| Alexandar Georgiev (Avalanche) | +2500 |
| Thatcher Demko (Canucks) | +3000 |
| Jacob Markstrom (Flames) | +3000 |
| Jeremy Swayman (Bruins) | +3000 |
| Carter Hart (Flyers) | +3000 |
| Pyotr Kochetkov (Hurricanes) | +4000 |
| Sergei Bobrovsky (Panthers) | +4000 |
| Tristan Jarry (Penguins) | +5000 |
| Phillip Grubauer (Kraken) | +5000 |
| Logan Thomspon (Knights) | +5000 |
| Karel Vejmelka (Coyotes) | +5000 |
Sorokin Slight Favorite in Vezina Odds
The Vezina Trophy is one of the more difficult NHL awards to predict, and oddsmakers are protecting themselves by not naming a heavy early favorite. New York Islanders’ goalie Ilya Sorokin has opened with the best odds at +400 after finishing as one of the finalists in 2022-23.
Sorokin is potentially the most talented goalie in the NHL, and it’s only a matter of time before he captures his first Vezina. His stellar .924 save percentage in his first 136 NHL appearances has us optimistic that time will come sooner rather than later.
" I am proud to be here. I am going to enjoy the moment!"
Hear from Ilya Sorokin ahead of tomorrow night's #NHLAwards. ⬇️ pic.twitter.com/hjw87BJR1R
— New York Islanders (@NYIslanders) June 25, 2023
It’s also hard to see Boston Bruins’ goalie Linus Ullmark repeating his remarkable breakout season performance (.938 SV%, 1.89 GAA) that led to him winning the 2023 trophy. Oddsmakers have a similar view, as they are listing the Swesih netminder as a +1800 longshot to repeat as the Vezina winner.
There are a few goaltenders to keep an eye on who could be on the move this summer. Connor Hellebuyck (Jets) and Carter Hart (Flyers) have both been the speculation of many trade rumors recently, and a trade could rejuvenate either goalie and potentially bolster their Vezina value.
We like Sorokin as our early 2024 Vezina prediction, but we’re going to give you a sprinkle bet in the form of Boston’s Jeremy Swayman. The Bruins could ship out Ullmark to create some cap space, and Swayman was outstanding in a backup role last year (.920 SV%). Wouldn’t back-to-back Vezina winners from the same team be something?
- Best Early Value: Ilya Sorokin (+400); Sprinkle: Jeremy Swayman (+3000)
2024 Norris Trophy Odds
| Player (Team) | Odds |
|---|---|
| Cale Makar (Avalanche) | +175 |
| Adam Fox (Rangers) | +500 |
| Rasmus Dahlin (Sabres) | +800 |
| Charlie McAvoy (Bruins) | +1200 |
| Miro Heiskanen (Stars) | +1200 |
| Quinn Hughes (Canucks) | +1600 |
| Roman Josi (Predators) | +2500 |
| Dougie Hamilton (Devils) | +2500 |
| Erik Karlsson (Sharks) | +3000 |
| Victor Hedman (Lightning) | +3000 |
| Josh Morrissey (Jets) | +3000 |
| Jakob Chychrun (Senators) | +3000 |
| Moritz Seider (Red Wings) | +4000 |
| Devon Toews (Avalanche) | +5000 |
| Brent Burns (Hurricanes) | +5000 |
| Brandon Montour (Panthers) | +5000 |
| Owen Power (Sabres) | +5000 |
| Luke Hughes (Devils) | +6000 |
| Evan Bouchard (Oilers) | +6000 |
| Alex Pietrangelo (Knights) | +7500 |
Makar Back on Top in Norris Odds
The Norris odds might feature some of the most intriguing prices in the opening 2024 NHL Awards futures. For starters, oddsmakers have no confidence that 2023 winner Erik Karlsson will even be in the conversation next season. Karlsson’s +3000 longshot price gives him just a 3% implied win probability.
There hasn’t been a repeat Norris Trophy winner since Niklas Lidstrom in 2008, and a 33-year-old Erik Karlsson doesn’t seem like a great bet to buck that trend. The odds are favoring 24-year-old Colorado Avalanche defenseman Cale Makar to capture his second career Norris trophy in 2023-2024.
Makar somehow managed to be a Norris finalist in 2022-23 despite missing 21 games due to injury. Although Makar and Colorado lost to the Seattle Kraken in Round 1 of the NHL Playoffs, oddsmakers clearly like this Avs team heading into 2023-24. The Avs have opened as the favorites in the Stanley Cup odds, after all.
Makar is the best d-man in the game right now, but his +175 odds are a steep price to pay this far out. Injuries are a bit of a concern too with Makar, as the stud rearguard has yet to play 80 games in an NHL season. He’s the most logical choice on paper, but is there better value on the board?
Buffalo’s Rasmus Dahlin is a great early value at +800 following a breakout 73-point campaign in 2022-23. The Sabres are one of the NHL’s rising teams, and the arrival of star rookie goalie Devon Levi should improve Dahlin’s plus-minus and bolster the d-man’s appeal to potential voters.
- Best Early Value: Rasmus Dahlin (+800)
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Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.
