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2024 NHL Awards – Opening Odds & Early Value for Hart, Norris & Vezina Trophy

Brady Trettenero

by Brady Trettenero in NHL Hockey

Updated Jun 27, 2023 · 8:44 PM PDT

Edmonton Oilers center Connor McDavid poses with NHL awards
Jun 26, 2023; Nashville, Tennessee, USA; Edmonton Oilers center Connor McDavid poses with the (left to right) Ted Lindsay Award, Maurice "Rocket" Richard Trophy, Art Ross Trophy and Hart Memorial Trophy during the 2023 NHL Awards at Bridgestone Arena. Mandatory Credit: Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports
  • Opening odds have been released for the 2024 NHL Awards
  • Connor McDavid has opened at plus-money to win another MVP award
  • See opening futures for the 2024 Hart, Vezina, and Norris Trophy in the story below

The hardware was just handed out for the 2022-23 NHL regular season, but oddsmakers are already offering odds for the 2024 NHL Awards. Bettors can wager on the Hart Trophy,  Vezina Trophy and Norris Trophy winners for 2023-24.

Edmonton Oilers phenom Connor McDavid has opened as the +100 favorite to win his fourth career MVP trophy in 2023-24. The Vezina Trophy odds don’t feature a clear favorite, while the Norris Trophy odds favor a stud defenseman who has already won the award once.

Let’s dive into the opening NHL Awards odds for 2024, and analyze the best early value.

2024 Hart Trophy Odds

Player (Team) Odds
Connor McDavid (Oilers) +100
Nathan MacKinnon (Avalanche) +900
Leon Draisaitl (Oilers) +1000
Matthew Tkachuk (Panthers) +1200
Kirill Kaprizov (Wild) +1600
David Pastrnak (Bruins) +1600
Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs) +1600
Jack Hughes (Devils) +1800
Tage Thompson (Sabres) +2500
Nikita Kucherov (Lightning) +2500
Jason Robertson (Stars) +3000
Cale Makar (Avalanche) +3000
Mikko Rantanen (Avalanche) +4000
Kyle Connor (Jets) +5000
Jack Eichel (Golden Knights) +5000
Ilya Sorokin (Islanders) +6000
Elias Pettersson (Canucks) +6000
Sidney Crosby (Penguins) +7500
Sebastian Aho (Hurricanes) +7500
Roope Hintz (Stars) +7500

Opening 2024 NHL Awards odds as of June 27, 2023, at DraftKings Sportsbook.

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McDavid Clear Favorite in Hart Odds

To nobody’s surprise, Edmonton Oilers center Connor Mcdavid is the early betting favorite to win the 2024 Hart Trophy. What might be surprising, however, is McDavid being listed at plus-money despite clearly being the best hockey player in the world.

McDavid was one vote away from winning the Hart Trophy unanimously for the second time in his NHL career. By the time the 2022-23 season had concluded, the Canadian superstar was sitting at -9000 odds at sportsbooks (90% implied probability).

McDavid has already won three Hart trophies at age 26, but none of those wins came in back-to-back years. There actually hasn’t been a back-to-back Hart winner in consecutive years since Alex Ovechkin in 2008 and 2009.

McDavid seems like a gift at plus-money in the early Hart odds, but you do have to consider the possibility of injury. His teammate Leon Drasiatil also seems destined for a monstrous 2023-24 regular season after dominating in the 2023 NHL Playoffs.

We can’t tell you not to bet on the best player in the world to win the Hart, but we’ll give you another player with even better value. Toronto Maple Leafs’ superstar Auston Matthews is sitting at +1600 after an underwhelming (by his standards) 2022-23 season with 40 goals and 45 assists.

Matthews was hampered by a hand injury in 2022-23 and is about to enter a contract year in Toronto. He nudged out Mcdavid in the Hart race just one year ago, and is certainly capable of doing it again in the prime of his career. His +1600 odds are simply too good to pass up.

  • Best Early Value: Auston Matthews (+1600)

2024 Vezina Trophy Odds

Player (Team) Odds
Ilya Sorokin (Islanders) +400
Juuse Saros (Predators) +600
Igor Shesterkin (Rangers) +600
Connor Hellebuyck (Jets) +700
Andrei Vasilevskiy (Lightning) +800
Jake Oettinger (Stars) +1200
Linus Ullmark (Bruins) +1800
Filip Gustavsson (Wild) +2000
Alexandar Georgiev (Avalanche) +2500
Thatcher Demko (Canucks) +3000
Jacob Markstrom (Flames) +3000
Jeremy Swayman (Bruins) +3000
Carter Hart (Flyers) +3000
Pyotr Kochetkov (Hurricanes) +4000
Sergei Bobrovsky (Panthers) +4000
Tristan Jarry (Penguins) +5000
Phillip Grubauer (Kraken) +5000
Logan Thomspon (Knights) +5000
Karel Vejmelka (Coyotes) +5000

Sorokin Slight Favorite in Vezina Odds 

The Vezina Trophy is one of the more difficult NHL awards to predict, and oddsmakers are protecting themselves by not naming a heavy early favorite. New York Islanders’ goalie Ilya Sorokin has opened with the best odds at +400 after finishing as one of the finalists in 2022-23.

Sorokin is potentially the most talented goalie in the NHL, and it’s only a matter of time before he captures his first Vezina. His stellar .924 save percentage in his first 136 NHL appearances has us optimistic that time will come sooner rather than later.

It’s also hard to see Boston Bruins’ goalie Linus Ullmark repeating his remarkable breakout season performance (.938 SV%, 1.89 GAA) that led to him winning the 2023 trophy. Oddsmakers have a similar view, as they are listing the Swesih netminder as a +1800 longshot to repeat as the Vezina winner.

There are a few goaltenders to keep an eye on who could be on the move this summer. Connor Hellebuyck (Jets) and Carter Hart (Flyers) have both been the speculation of many trade rumors recently, and a trade could rejuvenate either goalie and potentially bolster their Vezina value.

We like Sorokin as our early 2024 Vezina prediction, but we’re going to give you a sprinkle bet in the form of Boston’s Jeremy Swayman. The Bruins could ship out Ullmark to create some cap space, and Swayman was outstanding in a backup role last year (.920 SV%). Wouldn’t back-to-back Vezina winners from the same team be something?

  • Best Early Value: Ilya Sorokin (+400); Sprinkle: Jeremy Swayman (+3000)

 

2024 Norris Trophy Odds

Player (Team) Odds
Cale Makar (Avalanche) +175
Adam Fox (Rangers) +500
Rasmus Dahlin (Sabres) +800
Charlie McAvoy (Bruins) +1200
Miro Heiskanen (Stars) +1200
Quinn Hughes (Canucks) +1600
Roman Josi (Predators) +2500
Dougie Hamilton (Devils) +2500
Erik Karlsson (Sharks) +3000
Victor Hedman (Lightning) +3000
Josh Morrissey (Jets) +3000
Jakob Chychrun (Senators) +3000
Moritz Seider (Red Wings) +4000
Devon Toews (Avalanche) +5000
Brent Burns (Hurricanes) +5000
Brandon Montour (Panthers) +5000
Owen Power (Sabres) +5000
Luke Hughes (Devils) +6000
Evan Bouchard (Oilers) +6000
Alex Pietrangelo (Knights) +7500

Makar Back on Top in Norris Odds

The Norris odds might feature some of the most intriguing prices in the opening 2024 NHL Awards futures. For starters, oddsmakers have no confidence that 2023 winner Erik Karlsson will even be in the conversation next season. Karlsson’s +3000 longshot price gives him just a 3% implied win probability.

There hasn’t been a repeat Norris Trophy winner since Niklas Lidstrom in 2008, and a 33-year-old Erik Karlsson doesn’t seem like a great bet to buck that trend. The odds are favoring 24-year-old Colorado Avalanche defenseman Cale Makar to capture his second career Norris trophy in 2023-2024.

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Makar somehow managed to be a Norris finalist in 2022-23 despite missing 21 games due to injury. Although Makar and Colorado lost to the Seattle Kraken in Round 1 of the NHL Playoffs, oddsmakers clearly like this Avs team heading into 2023-24. The Avs have opened as the favorites in the Stanley Cup odds, after all.

Makar is the best d-man in the game right now, but his +175 odds are a steep price to pay this far out. Injuries are a bit of a concern too with Makar, as the stud rearguard has yet to play 80 games in an NHL season. He’s the most logical choice on paper, but is there better value on the board?

Buffalo’s Rasmus Dahlin is a great early value at +800 following a breakout 73-point campaign in 2022-23. The Sabres are one of the NHL’s rising teams, and the arrival of star rookie goalie Devon Levi should improve Dahlin’s plus-minus and bolster the d-man’s appeal to potential voters.

  • Best Early Value: Rasmus Dahlin (+800)
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