2024 US Presidential Election Odds – Trump Defeats Harris

• This page tracked the odds to win the 2024 presidential election
• Donald Trump won in a landslide over Kamala Harris
• Looking for the current US presidential election odds?

This page tracked the odds to win the 2024 US presidential election, which Republican Donald Trump won handily over Democrat Kamala Harris (301 to 226 with Arizona’s 11 votes still pending).

Use the graph below to see how the odds for each candidate changed over time.

2024 US Presidential Odds

Kamala Harris is currently the favorite to win the 2024 election and become the 47th President of the United States. She is  favored over former President Donald Trump by a slim margin.

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2024 Election Odds

Odds as of 10:46 pm ET, November 5, at DraftKings. 

Trump is currently a -275 favorite to win at DraftKings at 9:15 pm ET on Tuesday night. Harris has faded to a +220 underdog to retain the White House for the Democrats.

Timeline of Presidential Odds Movement

• November 5, 2024: Trump is a -160 favorite on average early on election day with Harris a +143 underdog.
• November 3, 2024: On average, Donald Trump is a slight -131 favorite less than 48 hours from election day. Harris is a slight +115 underdog.
• September 11, 2024: Harris had faded to plus-money in recent weeks but a strong debate performance put her back in the driver’s seat at -125 with Trump now an even-money underdog.
• August 21, 2024: The 2024 presidential election odds continue to move in Kamala Harris’ direction. The current VEEP is now -125 on average to win while Donald Trump has faded to +103.
• August 11, 2024: Kamala Harris’ ascent to the top of the board is complete, at least for the time being. Over the last few weeks, Harris’ odds have improved from +800 all the way to -123 on average, making her the odds-on favorite to win the 2024 presidential election, slightly ahead of Donald Trump at +100.
• August 6, 2024: Kamala Harris named Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her running mate and her odds to win the 2024 election improved to an average of +105, just behind Trump at -129.
• July 25, 2024: With Harris all but assured the Democratic nomination, she is closing in on Trump in the 2024 election odds. Harris is now +150 while Trump has faded to -188.
• July 14, 2024: Former President Donald Trump was struck in the ear but survived an assassination attempt in Pennsylvania last night. His odds dramatically improved after the incident, now sitting at -278 to win.
• July 3, 2024: With rumors swirling of Biden potentially stepping down, or at least being pushed to by some in the party, Kamala Harris has seen her odds to win the Presidential election improve from +2000 to +500, while Biden has faded from +160 to +650. It is the first time since 2021 that Biden did not have the best odds among Democrats to win the election. Gavin Newsom, who saw significant movement after the debate, has moved back to +1200 after being as short as +500.
• June 27, 2024: Though Trump didn’t really do anything to “win” the debate, he was much more attentive and better spoken than Joe Biden, whose performance can be summarized as nothing short of a disaster. The result was Trump moving from -150 odds to win the 2024 election to -175, and Gavin Newsom has emerged as a contender going from +2000 odds to +550.
• January 22, 2024: After crushing the field in the Iowa caucuses, GOP frontrunner Donald Trump has surpassed Joe Biden in the 2024 election odds.
• August 16, 2023: While Biden (+160) and Trump (+213) remain the top-two betting favorites in the 2024 election odds, Vivek Ramaswamy (+1100) and Gavin Newsom (+1300) have both overtaken Ron DeSantis (+1350), who has faded all the way from third to fifth.
• April 2, 2023: Biden is a tepid +195 betting favorite 19 months from election day. Amid his New York indictment, Trump’s odds have actually improved to +275, overtaking DeSantis (+360) for second-favorite.
• January 26, 2023: DeSantis has become the outright favorite at +200, while Biden has improved to +300 and Trump has faded to +425.
• August 2, 2022: Trump is back on top at +247, while DeSantis remains at +300 and Biden has faded to +600.
• July 3, 2022: Ron DeSantis has taken over from Trump (+333) and Biden (+525) as the outright favorite, but at tepid +300 odds.
• Mar. 20, 2022: Trump is still favored (+288) and Biden has faded again to +463.
• Dec. 20, 2021: Trump’s status as the 2024 favorite is holding. He improved from +300 to +235. Biden faded slightly from +375 to +338, while Harris faded significantly from +500 to +800.
• Nov. 1, 2021: Donald Trump is the new favorite to win the White House in 2024. This is the first time this election cycle that a Republican has been considered the front-runner in the betting market.
• Sep. 20, 2021: The only change among the top-three saw Trump shorten from +483 to +467.
• Sep. 1, 2021: The Biden administration’s hasty exit from Afghanistan has impacted the odds negatively for the President. Biden faded from +375 to +383. But Vice-President Harris improved from +400 to +383. Trump also improved (+575 to +483).
• Aug. 2, 2021: The top-two Republicans, Trump and DeSantis, both shortened (to +575 and +950, respectively) while President Biden stayed at +375 and Vice-President Harris faded to +400. All in all, good signs for the GOP.
• June 25, 2021: Donald Trump is back at +600, on average, after falling as far as +1567 early in 2021. He is the third-favorite and remains the top Republican on the board, followed by DeSantis (+1067).
• May 14, 2021: Harris (+367) has inched back in front of Biden (+375), while Trump (+617) got shorter and continues to be the favorite among the Republicans.
• May 7, 2021:  DeSantis’ odds shortened again, this time from +1483 to +1217. He remains the fourth-favorite behind Biden (+375), Harris (+375), and Trump Sr. (+650).
• Apr. 13, 2021: Joe Biden’s odds shortened from +388 to +331, despite the fact that his dog Major just bit a member of the White House security personnel.
• Mar. 24, 2021: Ron DeSantis continues his ascent up the odds, improving from +2567 to +1833 over the past three weeks.
• Mar. 1, 2021: Donald Trump’s odds improved from +900 to +683 after his CPAC speech, in which he hinted at a 2024 presidential run.
• Feb. 17, 2021: Impeachment trial in the rearview mirror, Trump improved from +1567 to +900, largely motivated by the fact that he was not banned from holding public office.
• Feb. 9, 2021: Somebody somewhere bet a decent sum of money on Amazon chairman Jeff Bezos. His odds moved from +25000 to +2000.
• Jan. 27, 2021: The past week has not produced any meaningful changes in the odds. Donald Trump Jr moved from 25th-favorite to 23rd-favorite at +4667.
• Jan. 22, 2021: The My PIllow Guy (Mike Lindell) is on the board at +15000. The end can’t be far off now.
• Jan. 14, 2021: With his second impeachment finalized, Trump’s odds took a steep drop from +867 to +1567. He’s now behind two member of his own party: Mike Pence (+1200) and Nikki Haley (+1333).
• Jan. 7, 2021: Donald Trump’s odds to win a second term in 2024 have faded from +667 to +867 after his supporters stormed the Capitol.
• Dec. 23, 2020: For the first time since the 2020 election ended, incumbent Joe Biden is favored to win reelection in 2024. At +400, he sits narrowly ahead of Vice-President Kamala Harris (+413).
• Dec. 10, 2020: The reelection odds for president elect Joe Biden improved from +663 to +413 over the past week as early money is backing the incumbent.
• Dec. 4, 2020: Rumors that outgoing President Donald Trump is planning a run in 2024 has led to his odds shortening from +1500 to +867.
• Nov. 27, 2020: Before he has even been sworn in as the 46th president, Joe Biden’s odds to win reelection are already getting worse. He opened at +675 but is a +850 second-favorite as of today.
• Nov. 8, 2020: Joe Biden opened as the +675 second-favorite to win the 2024 election, trailing his Vice President, Kamala Harris (+425).