2028 US Presidential Election Odds Tracker – Vance Favored Over Obama, Newsom, DeSantis

• See the early odds to win the 2028 Presidential election 
• Vice President JD Vance is the favorite to win the White House in 2028, followed by Gavin Newsom
• Use the graphs below to see how the 2028 presidential odds have changed over time

The next US Presidential Election will take place on Tuesday, Nov. 7th, 2028. Barring amendments to term limits, Donald Trump will not be eligible to run. At the outset, sportsbooks see 2028 as a wide-open race, with no single candidate shorter than +300. The graphs and tables, below, show the odds for all the 2028 presidential election favorites and longshots.

2028 US Presidential Odds

Top 10 11-25 Longshots Group 1 Longshots Group 2

Vice President JD Vance, a.k.a. the former junior senator from Ohio, has opened as the favorite to win the 2028 US presidential election. California Governor Gavin Newsom is now second, while former First Lady Michelle Obama is third, despite never having held – or even sought – public office.

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2028 Presidential Election Favorites

Odds as of Feb 24, 2025, at DraftKings. 

Timeline of Presidential Odds Movement

• February 24, 2025: Amid a fractious first couple months as Vice President, JD Vance remains the +250 favorite to win the 2028 US Presidential Election. Gavin Newsom is now the second-favorite at +750.
• November 6, 2024: soon-to-be Vice President JD Vance has opened at +300 (25% implied win probability) followed by Michelle Obama at +500 (16.67%) and Gavin Newsom at +550 (15.38%).

Winning Party Odds

Nov. 6, 2024: bet365 has opened the GOP as the -150 favorite to retain the White House in 2028.

Odds as of Nov. 6, 2024, at bet365.

Archived presidential election odds

• 2024
• 2020