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  • This year’s newly-promoted teams include Norwich, Watford and Brentford. Will any of them survive the drop?
  • Norwich, Watford and Burnley are among the favorites to go down, and after Matchday 38, Burnley was confirmed as the final team to be relegated
  • Looking for current EPL relegation odds?

We’ve been tracking the English Premier League relegation odds for all 20 EPL teams since they became available. The graphs below are generated by averaging the odds from multiple sources and will be updated throughout the 2021/22 season.

EPL Relegation Odds for Championship Candidates

2022 English Premier League Relegation Odds

Team Odds
Norwich -25000
Watford -10000
Burnley -250
Everton +250
Leeds +900
Newcastle +10000
Btentford +25000
Aston Villa +25000
Crystal Palace +50000
Southampton +75000
Brighton +200000

Odds as April 19

More notes on major line movements:

  • [4/19/22] Time is running out for the likes of Norwich and Watford to save themselves, while it looks like either Burnley or Watford will be the third team to go down to the Championship this year. Burnley is favored at -250, while Everton is in plus-odds at +250
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Excludes MA.

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  • [2/22/22] Finally hitting a strong run of form, Newcastle now is expected to avoid relegation at +400 odds
  • [11/29/21] Sitting in 11th place in the table, Crystal Palace is now seen as a longshot to be relegated, with odds of +1200, much longer than the +225 they were at earlier in the season
  • [9/30/21] From +275 odds in early August, Newcastle are now second-favorites to be relegated with odds of +100 after a 0-3-3 start to the season
  • [8/11/21] All three promoted sides are favored to be relegated to start the season with Norwich and Watford at -110 and Brentford at +100 odds

After the three promoted teams, it’s Crystal Palace who finished last season at just 12-8-18 (WDL) and 44 points who are expected to suffer relegation.

Recently Relegated Teams and Points

Year Teams Points
2020-21 Fulham, West Brom, Sheffield United 28, 26, 23
2019-20 Bournemouth, Watford, Norwich City 34, 34, 21
2018-19 Cardiff, Fulham, Huddersfield 34, 26, 16
2017-18 Swansea, Stoke, West Brom 33, 33, 31
2016-17 Hull, Middlesbrough, Sunderland 34, 28, 24
2015-16 Newcastle, Norwich, Aston Villa 37, 34, 17
2014-15 Hull, Burnley, QPR 35, 33, 30
2013-14 Norwich, Fulham, Cardiff 33, 32, 30
2012-13 Wigan, Reading, QPR 36, 28, 25
2011-12 Bolton, Blackburn, Wolverhampton 36, 31, 25
2010-11 Birmingham, Blackpool, West Ham 39, 39, 33
2009-10 Burnley, Hull, Portsmouth 30, 30, 19

Last year in the Championship it was Norwich who claimed the title with 97 points, followed by Watford with 91. Those teams earned automatic promotion. While Brentford finished with 87 points in third and needed to earn promotion through the Promotion Playoff. This will be their first time playing in the Premier League since 1947.


Archived EPL Relegation Odds: 2020/21, 2019/20