Expert Picks & Props to Target in Red Sox vs Orioles on Apr 24

• The Orioles are -125 moneyline favorites over the Red Sox tonight
• Boston has dropped three straight and five of six overall
• See my expert picks and props to target in the Red Sox vs Orioles matchup on April 24, below

Fresh off being swept by the rival Yankees, the Red Sox head to Baltimore tonight to open up a series with the Orioles. Online sportsbooks expect Boston’s struggles to continue, pegging Baltimore as -125 favorites in the MLB odds.

With the Red Sox handing the ball to Brayan Bello and the Orioles countering with Brandon Young, I am targeting a couple bets for the series opener. Bello faces a tough task cooling down a dangerous lineup anchored by elite bats like Gunnar Henderson and Pete Alonso, while the Red Sox look to manufacture base hits against an unblemished opposing arm.

First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm ET from Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD, with NESN and the Mid-Atlantic Sports Network handling regional broadcast duties.

Here are my expert picks and props to target in the Red Sox vs Orioles April 24th matchup, along with the latest betting odds.

Red Sox vs Orioles Expert Picks

• Baltimore Orioles Moneyline (-125 at Bet365)

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I’m betting Baltimore’s moneyline tonight, as Boston has looked nothing like a World Series odds contender. The Red Sox are sending Brayan Bello to the mound, and his early-season underlying metrics have been disastrous. Across 18.2 innings, Bello has pitched to a bloated 6.75 ERA and an alarming 1.93 WHIP. Opposing lineups are generating hard contact and base hits against him to the tune of a .312 batting average, and his control remains an issue with 5.79 walks per nine innings.

Brandon Young vs Brayan Bello

On the other side, the Orioles hand the ball to Brandon Young. Operating in a smaller sample size of only 5 innings, Young has been virtually unhittable, posting a spotless 0.00 ERA and a 0.80 WHIP while suffocating opposing hitters to a .125 batting average. The Orioles also boast the superior lineup, generating a .701 team OPS and 111 runs this season compared to the Red Sox’s sluggish .636 OPS and 92 runs.

Playing in the friendly confines of Camden Yards, the Orioles’ lineup generates 4.83 runs and 8.42 hits per contest. They are slugging 1.17 home runs per game at home compared to the Red Sox’s pedestrian 0.75 home runs per road game. Armed with a lineup that produces over a home run per game, the Orioles are primed to tee off on Bello, making the big Baltimore bats prime prop targets.

As for the trends, they’re also in favor of the home team. The Orioles are highly profitable as favorites, boasting a 7-4 record (63.6% win percentage) as the betting favorite. The Red Sox on the other hand, have failed to secure a single victory when priced as the underdog, posting an 0-5 record.

Red Sox vs Orioles Props to Target

• Brayan Bello Over 2.5 Earned Runs (-104 on DraftKings)

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Moving over to the MLB props market, where’ I’m betting over 2.5 earned runs for Bello. Carrying a 1-3 record across his first 18.2 innings, Bello has struggled mightily with his command within the strike zone. His 6.75 ERA is supported by alarming peripheral metrics, including a 4.93 FIP and a 5.77 xFIP. Bello has continuously put himself in trouble by issuing free passes, struggling to induce ground balls for double plays when he needs them most.

Red Sox vs Orioles Odds

Odds as of April 24. Claim the Bet365 promo code to bet on MLB tonight.

When breaking down the Red Sox vs Orioles odds, the MLB public betting data shows bettors are aligned with my Baltimore moneyline wager. 66.1% of the moneyline tickets and exactly 66.1% of the total handle are backing the Orioles. The conviction grows stronger on the runline, where an overwhelming 87.8% of the overall money is tied to the home side to cover the spread.