NFL Draft Odds – Betting Favorites for Each of the Top 16 Picks

• The NFL Draft takes place Thursday night in Pittsburgh, PA
• The odds for each of the top 16 picks are shifting rapidly on draft day
• See the top-five betting favorites for each of the first 16 picks in the NFL Draft

The 2026 NFL Draft is now just hours away. Scheduled to start at 8:00 pm ET on Thursday night at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA, the NFL Draft odds are seeing significant movement on the morning of draft day, as they’re wont to do.

This is the first year that prediction site Kalshi has offered a massive slate of NFL Draft odds, including markets on each of the first 16 picks (i.e. the first half of the first round). In the sections below, I have set out the current top 5 to 10 favorites at Kalshi, while noting where the Kalshi favorite diverges from Matt McEwan’s final NFL Mock Draft, which is based entirely on betting odds from online sportsbooks.

Jump to: #1 | #2 | #3 | #4 | #5 | #6 | #7 | #8 | #9 | #10 | #11 | #12 | #13 | #14 | #15 | #16

#1 Pick Odds & Betting Favorites (LV Raiders)

Prediction Markets

Final #1 Pick Odds

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Kalshi

Fernando Mendoza

99%

Arch Manning

1%

Garrett Nussmeier

1%

LaNorris Sellers

1%

Drew Allar

1%

Predict

Click “Predict” in any of the graphics on this page to claim SBD’s exclusive Kalshi promo code.

The Las Vegas Raiders are on the clock. If Fernando Mendoza isn’t the #1 pick, it will be the biggest draft-day surprise in NFL history.

#2 Pick Odds & Betting Favorites (NY Jets)

Prediction Markets

Final #2 Pick Odds

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Kalshi

David Bailey

54%

Arvell Reese

45%

Jeremiyah Love

2%

Fernando Mendoza

1%

Francis Mauigoa

1%

Predict

Both the Kalshi odds and sportsbook prices favor edge rusher David Bailey going #2 to the Jets, though fellow edge rusher Arvell Reese is a close second-favorite.

#3 Pick Odds & Betting Favorites (ARI Cardinals)

Prediction Markets

Final #3 Pick Odds

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Kalshi

Arvell Reese

35%

Jeremiyah Love

35%

David Bailey

22%

Sonny Styles

6%

Francis Mauigoa

4%

Predict

The odds to be the #3 picks are extremely tight. Kalshi traders give edge rusher Arvell Reese a slight edge over running back Jeremiyah Love.

The odds-based mock draft also has Reese third overall to the Cardinals.

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#4 Pick Odds & Betting Favorites (TEN Titans)

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Final #4 Picks Odds

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Kalshi

Jeremiyah Love

35%

Sonny Styles

33%

Arvell Reese

14%

David Bailey

8%

Carnell Tate

4%

Predict

The #4 pick odds are even closer than the #3 pick; as of 1:00 pm ET, running back Jeremiyah Love and linebacker Sonny Styles were in a dead-heat at Kalshi.

The odds-based mock draft has Love at #4.

#5 Pick Odds & Betting Favorites (NY Giants)

Prediction Markets

Final #5 Pick Odds

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Kalshi

Jordyn Tyson

24%

Caleb Downs

24%

Sonny Styles

22%

Jeremiyah Love

17%

Arvell Reese

9%

Francis Mauigoa

5%

Predict

The #5 pick is the first where the Kalshi prices and the odds-based mock draft differ. Kalshi traders have safety Caleb Downs as the modest chalk. Sportsbooks favor linebacker Sonny Styles.

#6 Pick Odds & Betting Favorites (CLE Browns)

Prediction Markets

Final #6 Pick Odds

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Kalshi

Spencer Fano

23%

Carnell Tate

19%

Francis Mauigoa

14%

Makai Lemon

12%

Jordyn Tyson

11%

Olaivavega Ioane

8%

Predict

The #6 pick odds are another hyper-tight market at Kalshi. OL Spencer Fano is trading at 22¢, just ahead of WR Carnell Tate.

The odds-based mock draft goes in a different direction with WR Jordyn Tyson at #6.

#7 Pick Odds & Betting Favorites (WSH Commanders)

Prediction Markets

Final #7 Pick Odds

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Kalshi

Carnell Tate

24%

Sonny Styles

23%

Jordyn Tyson

15%

Mansoor Delane

11%

Jeremiyah Love

10%

Caleb Downs

8%

Predict

There is a clear top-two in the #7 pick odds: WR Carnell Tate (26¢) and linebacker Sonny Styles (22¢).

Sportsbook lines lean to safety Caleb Downs at #7.

#8 Pick Odds & Betting Favorites (NO Saints)

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Final #8 Pick Odds

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Kalshi

Jeremiyah Love

37%

Jordyn Tyson

21%

Carnell Tate

17%

Caleb Downs

15%

Rueben Bain Jr.

13%

Mansoor Delane

13%

Kayden McDonald

13%

Francis Mauigoa

10%

Makai Lemon

8%

Ty Simpson

7%

Predict

WR Jordyn Tyson is the top pick to go #8 to the Saints at Kalshi, trading at 28¢ and trending up.

Sportsbooks also favor the Saints taking a WR but those odds lean to Carnell Tate.

#9 Pick Odds & Betting Favorites (KC Chiefs)

Prediction Markets

Final #9 Pick Odds

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Kalshi

Mansoor Delane

22%

Rueben Bain Jr.

21%

Monroe Freeling

15%

David Bailey

14%

Francis Mauigoa

12%

Spencer Fano

12%

Jordyn Tyson

9%

Caleb Downs

8%

Carnell Tate

5%

Makai Lemon

5%

Predict

The #9 pick prices at Kalshi slightly favor cornerback Mansoor Delane (21¢) over edge rusher Rueben Bain Jr (20¢).

The odds-based mock draft has KC going with OL Francis Mauigoa.

#10 Pick Odds & Betting Favorites (NY Giants)

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Final #10 Pick Odds

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Kalshi

Caleb Downs

22%

Jordyn Tyson

17%

Mansoor Delane

13%

Olaivavega Ioane

13%

Francis Mauigoa

11%

Jeremiyah Love

11%

Makai Lemon

10%

Carnell Tate

8%

Spencer Fano

6%

Sonny Styles

6%

Predict

Also the slight favorite to be the #5 pick, Caleb Downs is heavier chalk to go #10 to the Giants. Downs is trading at 22¢, well ahead of WR Jordyn Tyson at 17¢.

The odds-based mock draft has the Giants going with OL Spencer Fano. New York acquired this pick from the Bengals in exchange for edge rusher Dexter Lawrence.

#11 Pick Odds & Betting Favorites (MIA Dolphins)

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Final #11 Pick Odds

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Kalshi

Rueben Bain Jr.

25%

Mansoor Delane

15%

Jermod McCoy

13%

Spencer Fano

12%

Makai Lemon

11%

Kenyon Sadiq

10%

Caleb Banks

10%

Kadyn Proctor

9%

Francis Mauigoa

9%

Caleb Downs

8%

Predict

The #11 pick odds are currently a two-horse race between edge rusher Rueben Bain Jr (23¢) and OL Francis Mauigoa (22¢).

The odds-based mock draft has corner Mansoor Delane going 11th to the Dolphins.

#12 Pick Odds & Betting Favorites (DAL Cowboys)

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Final #12 Pick Odds

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Kalshi

Mansoor Delane

23%

Akheem Mesidor

17%

Keldric Faulk

16%

Kenyon Sadiq

15%

Caleb Downs

14%

Rueben Bain Jr.

14%

Jermod McCoy

11%

Dillon Thieneman

10%

Jordyn Tyson

9%

Monroe Freeling

8%

Predict

The #12 pick prices lean to Dallas taking Mansoor Delane, who’s trading at 21¢. Second-favorite Rueben Bain Jr is at 16¢.

The odds-based mock draft has Bain as the chalk.

#13 Pick Odds & Betting Favorites (LA Rams)

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Final #13 Pick Odds

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Kalshi

Makai Lemon

51%

Ty Simpson

33%

Olaivavega Ioane

17%

Omar Cooper Jr.

17%

Spencer Fano

16%

Kenyon Sadiq

16%

Monroe Freeling

16%

Dillon Thieneman

16%

Jordyn Tyson

15%

Francis Mauigoa

10%

Predict

There’s heavy consensus on the #13 pick: both Kalshi and the odds-based mock draft have the Rams taking WR Makai Lemon. The USC product is trading at a relatively short 36¢ at Kalshi.

#14 Pick Odds & Betting Favorites (BAL Ravens)

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Final #14 Pick Odds

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Kalshi

Olaivavega Ioane

35%

Dillon Thieneman

19%

Kenyon Sadiq

18%

Spencer Fano

16%

Denzel Boston

11%

Makai Lemon

10%

Rueben Bain Jr.

10%

Francis Mauigoa

10%

Peter Woods

9%

Monroe Freeling

9%

Predict

The #14 pick odds have a surprisingly heavy favorite for a position this far down the board. The Ravens are widely expected to draft OL Olaivavega Ioane. The odds-based mock draft also has the Penn State guard at #14 to Baltimore.

#15 Pick Odds & Betting Favorites (TB Buccaneers)

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Final #15 Pick Odds

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Kalshi

Akheem Mesidor

40%

R Mason Thomas

37%

Monroe Freeling

16%

Kenyon Sadiq

15%

Jermod McCoy

14%

Keldric Faulk

13%

Olaivavega Ioane

11%

Blake Miller

10%

Kadyn Proctor

10%

Malachi Lawrence

9%

Predict

Kalshi traders favor Miami edge rusher Akheem Mesidor going to the Buccaneers at #15. Sportsbooks have tight end Kenyon Sadiq at #15.

#16 Pick Odds & Betting Favorites (NY Jets)

Prediction Markets

Final #16 Pick Odds

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Kalshi

Sonny Styles

99%

Makai Lemon

16%

Omar Cooper Jr.

15%

Jermod McCoy

13%

Ty Simpson

13%

Olaivavega Ioane

13%

Caleb Downs

10%

Denzel Boston

10%

Avieon Terrell

10%

Kenyon Sadiq

10%

Predict

Indiana WR Omar Cooper Jr has become a massive favorite to go to the Jets with the #16 pick. New York acquired the #16 pick from the Colts.

The odds at sportsbooks give the edge to offensive lineman Kadyn Proctor.