Predictions, Best Bets & Injury Reports – Nuggets vs T-wolves (Game 4)

• The T-wolves are 1.5 point underdogs in Game 4 of their 1st Round series vs the Nuggets tonight
• Anthony Edwards (undisclosed) is off the injury report and will play
• Keep reading for my predictions and best bets, along with the latest injury reports for Nuggets vs T-wolves Game 4, below

Game 4 of the Nuggets vs T-wolves series goes down tonight in Minnesota, with the Timberwolves looking to take a 3-1 lead. Online sportsbooks are siding against them in the latest NBA odds, which I believe opens up value on Minnesota in the spread market.

Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 pm ET from the Target Center in Minneapolis, MN, with ABC providing the coverage nationwide, and TSN taking care of Canadian TV rights.

Keep reading for my predictions and best bets, along with the latest injury reports for Nuggets vs T-wolves Game 4.

Nuggets vs T-wolves Injury Report

The big news heading into tonight’s game is the status of T-wolves superstar Anthony Edwards. He was forced to leave Minnesota’s Game 3 victory early with an undisclosed injury, and there was concern he may miss Game 4. Fortunately for T-wolves backers, Edwards has been removed from the injury report altogether and will suit up.

The news isn’t quite so rosy out of the Denver camp, as Aaron Gordon is a game-time decision after sitting out the last contest. Without Gordon’s physical presence and rim-protection capabilities in Game 3, the Timberwolves relentlessly attacked the basket. If Gordon is unable to suit up again, Denver will be forced to rely on smaller rotations, placing a heavier physical burden on Nikola Jokić.

Predictions for Nuggets vs T-wolves Game 4

• Timberwolves +1.5 (-108 at DraftKings)

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My favorite bet in Game 4 is the T-wolves +1.5. The Nuggets are currently road favorites despite taking a double-digit loss in Game 3. While Denver has shown resilience lately—going 3-1 straight up following a loss over their last four games—they have fallen off a cliff when laying points. The Nuggets are a dismal 3-7 against the spread as a favorite over their last 10 games.

Conversely, Minnesota thrives when tested by elite competition. The T-wolves are an impressive 3-1 against the spread against opponents with a winning record over their last four games.

Minnesota is imposing its will in the paint so far this series. The T-wolves boast a 109.1 Offensive Rating, racking up 174 points in the paint compared to the Nuggets’ 116. The Timberwolves are vacuuming up 52.7% of all available rebounds, ranking 4th among postseason teams, while bullying Denver’s interior unit. Defensively, Minnesota is holding Denver to a remarkably poor 40.8% shooting mark, making the NBA Championship odds contender look very average.

Nuggets vs T-wolves Odds

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Best Bets for Nuggets vs T-wolves Game 4

• Nikola Jokić Over 29.5 Points (-118 at Bet365)

Moving over to the NBA props market, where I’m betting Jokic to clear 29.5 points. With Gordon battling a calf issue and the Nuggets staring down a potential 3-1 series deficit, Denver will have no choice but to lean on their franchise cornerstone. I expect the multi-time MVP to take on a massive offensive workload rather than deferring as a pure facilitator.

Jokic has fallen short of this line in all three games so far, but it’s been a lack of efficiency not volume that’s held him back. He’s averaging 22 field goal attempts per contest, but is shooting just 40% from the field and 20% from three. Given that he’s a career 56% shooter overall, and knocks down threes at a 36% clip, we can safely bank on positive regression coming his way.