Guardians vs Angels Predictions & Props to Bet (May 13)

• The Guardians are -156 moneyline favorites versus the Angels this afternoon
• Cleveland starter Parker Messick is 4-1, with a 2.30 ERA and 0.98 WHIP so far this season
• Keep reading for my Guardians vs Angels predictions and props to bet for the May 13 matchup

The Cleveland Guardians (22-21) continue their series against the Los Angeles Angels (16-26) this afternoon, following a narrow 3-2 victory yesterday. First pitch from Progressive Field is scheduled for 1:10 PM ET, with regional TV coverage available through MLB.TV

Coming off their one-run triumph, the home team enters this matchup as the clear favorite in the MLB odds. Cleveland is currently listed as a -156 moneyline favorite, in a game with a 7-run total, and I think there’s value to be had in both of those markets.

Keep reading for my favorite Guardians vs Angels predictions and props to bet for the May 13th matchup, below.

Guardians vs Angels Predictions

• Guardians Moneyline (-156 at BetMGM)
• Under 7 Runs (-110 at Bet365)

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My favorite bet is the Guardians moneyline, largely driven by a substantial edge on the mound. Given the closely matched overall offensive profiles in the MLB starting lineups, I’m also betting the under. Cleveland has generated 183 runs with a .228 batting average, while Los Angeles has tallied 181 runs on a .233 average. This ability to suppress scoring on both sides should dictate a tightly contested, lower-scoring affair.

Parker Messick vs Reid Detmers Stats

Guardians starter Parker Messick comes into this game with a significant edge. The southpaw has been brilliant, compiling a 4-1 record with a sparkling 2.30 ERA and a sub-1.00 WHIP, making him worthy of consideration as a longshot in the Cy Young odds. Opposing hitters are managing a meager .208 batting average against him. His elite command is evidenced by a highly efficient 2.11 walks per nine innings. Messick also provides length, averaging nearly six innings per start.

On the other side, LA starter Reid Detmers carries an inflated 4.33 ERA into this matchup. However, a deeper dive suggests he has pitched much better than his baseline numbers indicate. Detmers boasts a 3.09 FIP, implying he has been on the wrong side of defensive misfortune. Where Detmers has struggled is with his command, issuing 3.09 free passes per nine innings. If the Angels hope to pull off the road upset, Detmers must limit his walks early.

Guardians vs Angels Stats

The season long numbers suggest an offensive mismatch in favor of the visiting Angels. On the road, the Halos rank inside the top ten in batting average (.247) and runs scored per game (4.80). They launch 1.48 home runs per game away from Angel Stadium, good for third in the majors. However, those numbers have largely been accumulated against arms far less talented than Messick’s, and I’m confident he can silence their bats in a low-scoring game this afternoon.

Guardians vs Angels Odds

Odds as of May 13. Claim the BetMGM promo code to bet on MLB tonight.

Guardians vs Angels Props to Bet

• Parker Messick Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-103 at Caesars)

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Moving over to the MLB props market, where I’m backing Parker Messick Over 6.5 Strikeouts. Messick averages an elite 9.77 strikeouts per nine innings. Furthermore, the Angels lineup is highly susceptible to the punchout, having racked up 419 total strikeouts this season.

Per the MLB batter vs pitcher stats, Messick has virtually no history against the Halos, however he’s racked up 7 or more K’s in three of his last five outings, and has allowed fewer than 2 earned runs in all but two of his eight starts.