2022 CFP National Championship Odds Tracker
By Sascha Paruk
Updated:
- The Georgia Bulldogs captured the 2021-22 College Football Playoff national championship
- The Bulldogs avenged an earlier loss to Alabama in the title game
- See how the odds for all the contenders shifted during the season
Breaking a 41-year drought, the 2021-22 Georgia Bulldogs brought home the school’s first national championship since 1980.
The Bulldogs announced their defense-first domination by beating Clemson 9-3 in their first game of the year and wound up finishing 14-1, culminated with a 33-18 title-game victory over SEC-rival Alabama.
The graphs and tables below show how the CFP national championship odds moved during the season.
National Championship Favorites
2022 CFP National Championship Odds
Team | Odds |
---|---|
Georgia | -145 |
Alabama | +125 |
Michigan | N/A |
Cincinnati | N/A |
Odds as of Jan. 3, 2021.
Odds Movement Timeline
- Jan. 3: Georgia has opened as a -145 favorite over Alabama in the title game after stomping #3 Michigan in the semifinals, 34-11.
- Dec. 19: Two weeks of pre-game betting have shown that bettors have more confidence in Alabama (which improved from +128 to +120) than Georgia (which faded from +128 to +135).
- Dec. 5: With a dominant win in the SEC title game, Alabama has become a co-favorite with Georgia at +128. Michigan (+800) and Cincinnati (+1200) are widely expected to be the other two teams that qualify for the CFP this afternoon and sit third and fourth, respectively.
- Nov. 28: Michigan’s huge win over Ohio State moved its odds from +4500 to +950. OK State’s equally huge win over Oklahoma moved the Cowboys from +4500 to +1300. Both teams likely need to win their conference-title games next weekend to reach the four-team playoff.
- Nov. 21: The Buckeyes improved again (from +375 to +300) after a 56-7 statement win over #7 Michigan State. Oregon faded from +2750 to +20000 thanks to a 38-7 blowout loss at the hands of Utah
- Nov. 14:Â Ohio State (+375) moved past Alabama (+405) into second. Georgia (-123) continued to get shorter.
- Nov. 8: Michigan State and Wake Forest both took their first losses of the season and dropped precipitously in the odds.
- Nov. 1: Georgia is at even money (+100) after running its record to 8-0 with a +250 point differential (31.25 average margin of victory).
- Oct. 24: OK State faded from +5500 to +10000 after suffering its first loss of the season at Iowa State, which improved modestly from +12500 to +10500.
- Oct. 17: Iowa tumbled from +3000 (fifth-best odds) to +7500 after a stunning 24-7 upset loss to a sub-five-hundred Purdue team at home.
- Oct. 10: Alabama’s stunning upset loss at the hands of Texas A&M led to the Tide fading to +225. Georgia, which routed Auburn on the road, is now the +125 favorite.
- Oct. 3: Cincinnati improved from +4500 to +3250 after handing Notre Dame its first loss of the season in South Bend. The Irish faded from +5000 to +14000.
- Sep. 26: The gap between Alabama (+175) and Georgia (+188) is almost nil. The gap to third-favorite Ohio State (+1400) has grown to a chasm.
- Sep. 19: A number of second-tier contenders improved again after Week 3, including Oregon (+3250 to +1800), Penn State (+4500 to +2750), Michigan (+6250 to +4500), Iowa (+7000 to +5000), and Ole Miss (+10000 to +6750).
- Sep. 12: Oregon improved from +6500 to +3250 after upsetting Ohio State on the road in Week 3. Elsewhere in the Pac-12, USC faded from +5500 to +15000 thanks to getting routed by Stanford at home.
- Sep. 5: Alabama improved to +208 after beating down Miami (44-13) in Week 1; Georgia stunned Clemson (10-3) and improved to +400 in the process. Clemson faded to +650.
- Sep. 1: Texas A&M (+2925) moved in front of Iowa State (+3075) and is now the sixth-favorite.
- Aug. 17:Â Early money seems to be more on Alabama than the other favorites. The Tide improved from +258 to +250 while Georgia faded from +563 to +573 and Ohio State from +606 to +613. Clemson (+408) and Oklahoma (+713) stayed the same.
- Aug. 9: Even though Spencer Rattler’s Heisman odds are shortening in the preseason, Oklahoma’s title odds faded from +688 to +713. The rest of the top-five favorites stayed the same.
- Aug. 3: After a summer of transfers across the nation, Alabama has shortened from +300 to +253, while second-favorite Clemson faded from +388 to +408. Georgia (+563) passed Ohio State (+606) as third-favorite. Oklahoma (+688) rounds out the top-five, as usual.
- Jan. 25: Alabama’s odds have already shortened from +325 to +300. Two other top-five teams – Georgia and Oklahoma – saw their odds fade slightly: Georgia dropped from +750 to +775 and Oklahoma from +725 to +788.
- Jan. 12: The day after Alabama routed Ohio State in the 2021 National Championship Game (52-24), the Tide opened as +325 favorites to repeat.
ACC Teams
Big 12Â Teams
Big Ten Teams
PAC-12 Teams
SEC Teams
Group of Five Contenders
College Football Playoff Appearances & Records
Team | # of Appearances | CFP Record | # of Titles |
---|---|---|---|
Alabama | 6 | 8-3 | 3 |
Clemson | 6 | 6-4 | 2 |
Oklahoma | 4 | 0-4 | 0 |
Ohio State | 4 | 3-3 | 1 |
Notre Dame | 2 | 0-2 | 0 |
Georgia | 1 | 1-1 | 0 |
Oregon | 1 | 1-1 | 0 |
Florida | 1 | 0-1 | 0 |
Florida State | 1 | 0-1 | 0 |
LSU | 1 | 2-0 | 1 |
Michigan State | 1 | 0-1 | 0 |
Washington | 1 | 0-1 | 0 |
Table updated through 2021 CFP.
There are only six teams who have won a game in the College Football Playoffs, and both Alabama and Clemson have more CFP wins than the others combined. These two schools have simply dominated the CFP era.
No Independent or team from a Group 5 Conference has ever won a national championship in this time.
National Championships by Coach
Coach (Current Team) | Number of National Titles |
---|---|
Nick Saban (Alabama) | 7 |
Urban Meyer (Retired) | 3 |
Dabo Swinney (Clemson) | 2 |
Jimbo Fisher (Texas A&M) | 1 |
Les Miles (Kansas) | 1 |
Mack Brown (North Carolina) | 1 |
Ed Orgeron (LSU) | 1 |
There are only seven “active” coaches with national championship rings locked away (if we count recently retired Urban Meyer). Alabama head coach Nick Saban has twice as many as any other active coach.
Archived NCAAF CFP National Championship Odds: 2021, 2020, 2019
Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.