91st Academy Awards Odds Tracker
- Look back at the odds for 2019’s most buzzed-about films and performances
- See how the odds for Best Picture, Best Actor, Best Actress, and Best Director changed leading up to the 91st Academy Awards
- See who won the top awards at the 2019 Oscars
You can find a list of the winners from the major Oscar award categories below. You can also view how the odds for all the top nominees fluctuated in the weeks leading up to the 91st Academy Awards. The graphs below were generated by calculating the average from some of the most trusted sportsbooks.
Best Picture Top Contenders
Feb. 25: A Star is Born had the shortest opening odds of any film on November 7th, but dropped all the way to +700 following January 22’s official nomination announcements. The box-office darling had steep competition, and ultimately lost to Green Book in what many considered to be the biggest surprise of the night.
Jan. 22: Netflix’s first Oscar contender, Roma, now has the shortest odds at -120. Tied for the most nominations overall with The Favourite, Roma could make history as the first streaming-service produced film to win an Academy Award.
Best Picture Odds
|A Star is Born||+3300|
*All odds taken on 02/20/19
Roma won a Golden Globe for Best Motion Picture – Foreign Language. Could it also snag top honors at the Oscars? It’s presently the favorite, but this race could come down to a photo finish.
Feb. 20: Bohemian Rhapsody is picking up steam. The Freddie Mercury biopic has bumped BlackKkKlansman out of the top 5 in our latest update.
Past Best Picture Winners
|2017||The Shape of Water|
|2014||Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)|
|2013||12 Years a Slave|
The Shape of Water didn’t just win big at the Oscars, it won big everywhere. The critically-acclaimed drama won 117 awards worldwide. Will Roma receive even more statuettes this year?
2019 Oscar Winners
|Best Picture||Green Book|
|Best Director||Alfonso Cuaron (Roma)|
|Best Actor||Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody)|
|Best Actress||Olivia Colman (The Favourite)|
|Best Supporting Actor||Mahershala Ali (Green Book)|
|Best Supporting Actress||Regina Kings (If Beale Street Could Talk)|
|Best Animated Feature||Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse|
|Best Original Screenplay||Green Book|
|Best Foreign Language Film||Roma|
Feb. 25: Alfonso Cuarón was the big winner at the 91st Academy Awards. The critically-acclaimed Mexican filmmaker won Best Director and Best Cinematography for Roma, which also picked up an Oscar for Best Foreign Language Film.
Cuarón was widely expected to win multiple statuettes, but there were still plenty of surprises during the Oscars, as Green Book beat the odds to win Best Picture, and Olivia Colman proved bookmakers wrong by overtaking Glenn Close to win Best Actress honors.
Best Actor Top Contenders
Feb. 20: There appears to be no stopping Rami Malek, whose average odds improved from -400 to -530 in our latest update.
Feb. 11: Bradley Cooper saw his average odds continue to lengthen, going from +800 to +1900.
Jan. 22: An official nomination for Christian Bale has edged Rami Malek off the leading edge, with +100 to Rami’s +120. A tight race is in the works between these two transformative roles.
Jan. 10: Rami Malek has officially jumped to the front of the line for his eye-opening portrayal of Freddie Mercury in the toe-tapping biopic, Bohemian Rhapsody. The 37-year-old saw his odds improve from +600 on November 27th to -160 on January 10th. Don’t be surprised if they continue to get even shorter as the Oscars approach.
Best Actor Odds
The Academy isn’t the only group who were impressed by Rami Malek’s performance in Bohemian Rhapsody. His star-turn has earned him Best Actor nominations from 24 other awards shows and organizations.
Past Best Actor Winners
|2017||Gary Oldman||Darkest Hour|
|2016||Casey Affleck||Manchester by the Sea|
|2015||Leonardo DiCaprio||The Revenant|
|2014||Eddie Redmayne||The Theory of Everything|
|2013||Matthew McConaughey||Dallas Buyers Club|
Malek and his fellow nominees have a long way to go before catching up to Daniel Day-Lewis. The versatile English actor holds the record for most Best Actor wins for his roles in My Left Foot: The Story of Christy Brown, There Will Be Blood, and Lincoln.
Best Actress Top Contenders
Feb. 20: Close’s stranglehold has increased. The veteran actress’ odds have improved once again from -580 to -650.
Feb. 11: Close appears to be untouchable as the Oscars approach. Her average odds got even shorter, going from -350 to -580.
Jan. 22: Melissa McCarthy snagged the fifth nomination for Best Actress, though she remains a long-shot at +2900. McCarthy beat out Oscar hopeful Emily Blunt, solidifying one of this year’s biggest snubs.
Jan. 10: Glenn Close emerged as the prohibitive favorite after picking up Best Actress honors at the Golden Globes. The 71-year-old was last nominated for an Oscar in 2012 when she received a nod for her role as a gender-bending butler in Albert Nobbs.
Best Actress Odds
Glenn Close has been nominated for an Academy Award seven times, but has yet to win. Will 2019 be the year her luck changes?
Past Best Actress Winners
|2017||Frances McDormand||Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri|
|2016||Emma Stone||La La Land|
|2014||Julianne Moore||Still Alice|
|2013||Cate Blanchett||Blue Jasmine|
Meryl Streep may hold the record for most Best Actress nominations with 17, but the record for most Best Actress wins belongs to Katharine Hepburn. The First Lady of Cinema won four Oscars from 1934 and 1982 for her roles in Morning Glory, Guess Who’s Coming to Dinner, The Lion in Winter, and On Golden Pond.
Best Director Top Contenders
Feb. 20: Adam McKay’s odds continue to improve, but it looks like too little too late to unseat Alfonso Cuaron.
Feb. 11: Adam McKay plummeted all the way to the fifth spot as Vice continues to fall out of vogue among oddsmakers.
Jan. 22: Surprise nominee, Pawel Pawlikowski, has dropped in at +2300, but with odds shifting from -700 to -1500, the bed seems made still for Alfonso Cuaron.
Jan. 10: Can anyone usurp Alfonso Cuaron? The acclaimed Mexican director has been the odds-on favorite since November, and easily won Best Director honors at the Golden Globes on January 6th.
Best Director Odds
You won’t get much value in betting on Alfonso Cuaron at such ridiculously short odds, but at this point betting on anyone else would be akin to throwing your money away.
Repeat Oscar Wins by Director
Best Picture and Best Director aren’t technically synonymous wins, but out of the last 90 Academy Award ceremonies, 64 Best Picture wins have coincided with the Best Director.
Out of the last 90 Academy Award ceremonies, 64 Best Picture wins have coincided with the Best Director.
While the majority of contending directors, and their respective films, would be first-timers this year, there are a handful of directors who could see repeated success in 2019.
Of all the potential repeat contenders in these categories, Clint Eastwood comes in with the most hardware to his name. Hard to believe Scorsese has only scored one win for both Best Picture and Director, and his chances at repeating that success depend largely on whether or not his Irishman will be released in time for consideration.
Additional Academy Awards Odds
Best Animated Feature Odds
|Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse||-1500|
|Isle of Dogs||+900|
|Ralph Breaks the Internet||+2500|
*All odds taken on 02/20/19
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse has been nearly as popular with critics as it has been with fans. The film made $35 million in its opening weekend and has already been nominated for 73 awards worldwide.
Best Original Screenplay Odds
Co-written by first-time screenwriter Deborah Davis and veteran scribe Tony McNamara, The Favourite is nominated for 10 Academy Awards. It’s an impressive number, but it still pales in comparison to the 17 nominations achieved by Titanic in 1997 and La La Land in 2016.
Best Foreign Language Film Odds
|Cold War (Poland)||+700|
|Never Look Away (Germany)||+3300|
You won’t find a heavier favorite in any category than Roma for Best Foreign Language Film. If – and when – it wins, it will become the first Mexican film to ever win top honours in this category.
Best Supporting Actor Odds
|Mahershala Ali (Green Book)||-2000|
|Richard E. Grant (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)||+700|
|Sam Elliott (A Star Is Born)||+1600|
|Adam Driver (BlacKkKlansman)||+3300|
|Sam Rockwell (Vice)||+3300|
Green Book isn’t the only Oscar-nominated film that Mahershala Ali appeared in this year. The Oakland-native also voiced Uncle Aaron in Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse.
Best Supporting Actress Odds
|Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk)||-250|
|Amy Adams (Vice)||+300|
|Rachel Weisz (The Favourite)||+500|
|Emma Stone (The Favourite)||+2000|
|Marina de Tavira (Roma)||+2800|
Regina Hall is no stranger to awards season. The 48-year-old Los Angeleno already has a pair of Primetime Emmys for her roles in American Crime and Seven Seconds, and she picked up a Golden Globe earlier this year for If Beale Street Could Talk. Don’t be surprised if you hear her name announced again on February 24th.