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91st Academy Awards Odds Tracker

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk

Updated:


  • Look back at the odds for 2019’s most buzzed-about films and performances
  • See how the odds for Best Picture, Best Actor, Best Actress, and Best Director changed leading up to the 91st Academy Awards
  • See who won the top awards at the 2019 Oscars

You can find a list of the winners from the major Oscar award categories below. You can also view how the odds for all the top nominees fluctuated in the weeks leading up to the 91st Academy Awards. The graphs below were generated by calculating the average from some of the most trusted sportsbooks.

Best Picture Top Contenders

Sports Betting Dime

Feb. 25: A Star is Born had the shortest opening odds of any film on November 7th, but dropped all the way to +700 following January 22’s official nomination announcements. The box-office darling had steep competition, and ultimately lost to Green Book in what many considered to be the biggest surprise of the night.

Jan. 22: Netflix’s first Oscar contender, Roma, now has the shortest odds at -120. Tied for the most nominations overall with The FavouriteRoma could make history as the first streaming-service produced film to win an Academy Award.

Best Picture Odds

Movie Odds
Roma -450
Green Book +350
The Favourite  +1400
BlacKkKlansman +2500
Black Panther +2500
Bohemian Rhapsody +2800
A Star is Born +3300
Vice +8000

*All odds taken on 02/20/19

Roma won a Golden Globe for Best Motion Picture – Foreign Language. Could it also snag top honors at the Oscars? It’s presently the favorite, but this race could come down to a photo finish.

Feb. 20: Bohemian Rhapsody is picking up steam. The Freddie Mercury biopic has bumped BlackKkKlansman out of the top 5 in our latest update.

Past Best Picture Winners

Year Winner
2017 The Shape of Water
2016 Moonlight
2015 Spotlight
2014 Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)
2013 12 Years a Slave

The Shape of Water didn’t just win big at the Oscars, it won big everywhere. The critically-acclaimed drama won 117 awards worldwide. Will Roma receive even more statuettes this year?

2019 Oscar Winners

Category Winner
Best Picture Green Book
Best Director Alfonso Cuaron (Roma)
Best Actor Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody)
Best Actress Olivia Colman (The Favourite)
Best Supporting Actor Mahershala Ali (Green Book)
Best Supporting Actress Regina Kings (If Beale Street Could Talk)
Best Animated Feature Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
Best Original Screenplay Green Book
Best Foreign Language Film Roma

Feb. 25: Alfonso Cuarón was the big winner at the 91st Academy Awards. The critically-acclaimed Mexican filmmaker won Best Director and Best Cinematography for Roma, which also picked up an Oscar for Best Foreign Language Film.

Cuarón was widely expected to win multiple statuettes, but there were still plenty of surprises during the Oscars, as Green Book beat the odds to win Best Picture, and Olivia Colman proved bookmakers wrong by overtaking Glenn Close to win Best Actress honors.

Best Actor Top Contenders

Sports Betting Dime
Feb. 20: There appears to be no stopping Rami Malek, whose average odds improved from -400 to -530 in our latest update.

Feb. 11: Bradley Cooper saw his average odds continue to lengthen, going from +800 to +1900.

Jan. 22: An official nomination for Christian Bale has edged Rami Malek off the leading edge, with +100 to Rami’s +120. A tight race is in the works between these two transformative roles.

Jan. 10: Rami Malek has officially jumped to the front of the line for his eye-opening portrayal of Freddie Mercury in the toe-tapping biopic, Bohemian Rhapsody. The 37-year-old saw his odds improve from +600 on November 27th to -160 on January 10th. Don’t be surprised if they continue to get even shorter as the Oscars approach.

Best Actor Odds

Actor Odds
Rami Malek -600
 Christian Bale +300
Bradley Cooper +1800
Viggo Mortensen +3300
Willem Dafoe +5000

The Academy isn’t the only group who were impressed by Rami Malek’s performance in Bohemian Rhapsody. His star-turn has earned him Best Actor nominations from 24 other awards shows and organizations.

Past Best Actor Winners

Year Winner Film
2017 Gary Oldman Darkest Hour
2016 Casey Affleck Manchester by the Sea
2015 Leonardo DiCaprio The Revenant
2014 Eddie Redmayne The Theory of Everything
2013 Matthew McConaughey Dallas Buyers Club

Malek and his fellow nominees have a long way to go before catching up to Daniel Day-Lewis. The versatile English actor holds the record for most Best Actor wins for his roles in My Left Foot: The Story of Christy Brown, There Will Be Blood, and Lincoln.

Best Actress Top Contenders

Sports Betting Dime

Feb. 20: Close’s stranglehold has increased. The veteran actress’ odds have improved once again from -580 to -650.

Feb. 11: Close appears to be untouchable as the Oscars approach. Her average odds got even shorter, going from -350 to -580.

Jan. 22: Melissa McCarthy snagged the fifth nomination for Best Actress, though she remains a long-shot at +2900. McCarthy beat out Oscar hopeful Emily Blunt, solidifying one of this year’s biggest snubs.

Jan. 10: Glenn Close emerged as the prohibitive favorite after picking up Best Actress honors at the Golden Globes. The 71-year-old was last nominated for an Oscar in 2012 when she received a nod for her role as a gender-bending butler in Albert Nobbs.

Best Actress Odds

Actor Odds
Glenn Close -700
Olivia Colman +450
Lady Gaga +1400
Yalitza Aparicio +2500
Melissa McCarthy +5000

Glenn Close has been nominated for an Academy Award seven times, but has yet to win. Will 2019 be the year her luck changes?

Past Best Actress Winners

Year Winner Film
2017 Frances McDormand Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
2016 Emma Stone La La Land
2015 Brie Larson Room
2014 Julianne Moore Still Alice
2013 Cate Blanchett Blue Jasmine

Meryl Streep may hold the record for most Best Actress nominations with 17, but the record for most Best Actress wins belongs to Katharine Hepburn. The First Lady of Cinema won four Oscars from 1934 and 1982 for her roles in Morning Glory, Guess Who’s Coming to Dinner, The Lion in Winter, and On Golden Pond.

Best Director Top Contenders

Sports Betting Dime

Feb. 20: Adam McKay’s odds continue to improve, but it looks like too little too late to unseat Alfonso Cuaron.

Feb. 11: Adam McKay plummeted all the way to the fifth spot as Vice continues to fall out of vogue among oddsmakers.

Jan. 22: Surprise nominee, Pawel Pawlikowski, has dropped in at +2300, but with odds shifting from -700 to -1500, the bed seems made still for Alfonso Cuaron.

Jan. 10: Can anyone usurp Alfonso Cuaron? The acclaimed Mexican director has been the odds-on favorite since November, and easily won Best Director honors at the Golden Globes on January 6th.

Best Director Odds

Actor Odds
Alfonso Cuaron -2500
Spike Lee +700
Adam McKay +2500
Pawel Pawlikowski +3300
Yorgos Lanthimos +3300

You won’t get much value in betting on Alfonso Cuaron at such ridiculously short odds, but at this point betting on anyone else would be akin to throwing your money away.

Repeat Oscar Wins by Director

Best Picture and Best Director aren’t technically synonymous wins, but out of the last 90 Academy Award ceremonies, 64 Best Picture wins have coincided with the Best Director.

Out of the last 90 Academy Award ceremonies, 64 Best Picture wins have coincided with the Best Director.

While the majority of contending directors, and their respective films, would be first-timers this year, there are a handful of directors who could see repeated success in 2019.

Of all the potential repeat contenders in these categories, Clint Eastwood comes in with the most hardware to his name. Hard to believe Scorsese has only scored one win for both Best Picture and Director, and his chances at repeating that success depend largely on whether or not his Irishman will be released in time for consideration.

Additional Academy Awards Odds

Best Animated Feature Odds

Actor Odds
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse -1500
Isle of Dogs +900
Incredibles 2 +900
Ralph Breaks the Internet +2500
Mirai +4000

*All odds taken on 02/20/19

Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse has been nearly as popular with critics as it has been with fans. The film made $35 million in its opening weekend and has already been nominated for 73 awards worldwide.

Best Original Screenplay Odds

Actor Odds
The Favourite -200
Green Book  +200
Roma +750
First Reformed +1400
Vice +4000

Co-written by first-time screenwriter Deborah Davis and veteran scribe Tony McNamara, The Favourite is nominated for 10 Academy Awards. It’s an impressive number, but it still pales in comparison to the 17 nominations achieved by Titanic in 1997 and La La Land in 2016.

Best Foreign Language Film Odds

Actor Odds
Roma (Mexico) -2000
Cold War (Poland) +700
Shoplifters (Japan) +1700
Capernaum (Lebanon) +2500
Never Look Away (Germany) +3300

You won’t find a heavier favorite in any category than Roma for Best Foreign Language Film. If – and when – it wins, it will become the first Mexican film to ever win top honours in this category.

Best Supporting Actor Odds

Actor Odds
Mahershala Ali (Green Book) -2000
Richard E. Grant (Can You Ever Forgive Me?) +700
Sam Elliott (A Star Is Born) +1600
Adam Driver (BlacKkKlansman) +3300
Sam Rockwell (Vice) +3300

Green Book isn’t the only Oscar-nominated film that Mahershala Ali appeared in this year. The Oakland-native also voiced Uncle Aaron in Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse.

Best Supporting Actress Odds

Actor Odds
Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk) -250
Amy Adams (Vice) +300
Rachel Weisz (The Favourite) +500
Emma Stone (The Favourite) +2000
Marina de Tavira (Roma) +2800

Regina Hall is no stranger to awards season. The 48-year-old Los Angeleno already has a pair of Primetime Emmys for her roles in American Crime and Seven Seconds, and she picked up a Golden Globe earlier this year for If Beale Street Could Talk. Don’t be surprised if you hear her name announced again on February 24th.

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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