KBO Picks & Odds (October 6): Gagnon Erases Eagles’ Offense
- KIA’s Drew Gagnon has allowed two earned runs or less in six straight starts
- The under is 4-0 in the past four Kiwoom games that Eric Jokisch has started
- Find odds and best bets for the KBO’s five-game slate on October 6th in the article below
Two weeks remain in the KBO season, and the KIA Tigers need to orchestrate a late season push to make the playoffs. KIA is currently two games behind fifth place Doosan, after being swept by the Bears over the weekend.
Fortunately for the Tigers, Tuesday brings a very favorable matchup, as they’ll take on the last place Hanwha Eagles at 5:30 am EST.
KBO Odds: Tuesday, October 6th
Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Doosan Bears | -310 | -1.5 (-190) | Over 10.5 (-134) | 5:30 a.m. |
SK Wyverns | +240 | +1.5 (+146) | Under 10.5 (+104) | |
Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
Hanwha Eagles | +205 | +1.5 (-106) | Over 8.5 (-126) | 5:30 a.m. |
KIA Tigers | -270 | -1.5 (-122) | Under 8.5 (-102) | |
Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
KT Wiz Suwon | -138 | -1.5 (+112) | Over 10.5 (+102) | 5:30 a.m. |
Lotte Giants | +112 | +1.5 (-142) | Under 10.5 (-130) | |
Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
NC Dinos | +172 | +1.5 (-122) | Over 9.5 (-126) | 5:30 a.m. |
Kiwoom Heroes | -210 | -1.5 (-106) | Under 9.5 (-102) | |
Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
Samsung Lions | -116 | -1.5 (+134) | Over 9.5 (+100) | 5:30 a.m. |
LG Twins | -106 | +1.5 (-172) | Under 9.5 (-128) |
Odds as of Oct. 5th at FanDuel.
KIA opened up as a sizeable moneyline favorite, but do have a very bettable runline. The Tigers -1.5 is only being juiced at -122, and the Eagles are fresh off three straight losses in which they were outscored 28-6.
Gagnon in a Great Spot vs Hanwha
Runs should be tough to come by again for Hanwha on Tuesday, as they’ll take on KIA’s red-hot Drew Gagnon. The 30-year-old has won his last four decisions, and has allowed two or fewer earned runs in each of his past six starts.
Drew Gagnon's High Spin rate** Changeup.
**hitter spin pic.twitter.com/3PXRBmow5r
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) July 15, 2020
That stretch includes victories over first place NC, third place Kiwoom and fifth place Doosan. He’s 1-1 in two outings versus the Eagles this season, shutting them out and holding them to just a single hit the last time he faced them.
Hanwha meanwhile, will counter with Warwick Saupold, who’s fresh off his first quality start in over a month. Prior to last week, he’d dropped four straight decisions and had surrendered 26 runs in his previous five outings.
Dong-yeop Kim takes Warwick Saupold seep to get the #SamsungLions on the board 1-0. pic.twitter.com/9JN5ZV8NX6
— Greg Peterson (@GUnit_81) August 16, 2020
One of those performances was against the Tigers, where he was roughed up for four runs and nine hits in just 5.1 innings. KIA is desperate for a win and a date with Saupold should be the cure for its recent struggles.
Pick: KIA Tigers -1.5 (-122)
Jokisch Keeps the Dinos at Bay
Elsewhere in the KBO, the league’s top pitcher battles first place NC. Kiwoom’s Eric Jokisch is in the midst of another sensational stretch, limiting the opposition to 1 earned run or less in four straight starts.
Nasty 3-pitch called strike curveball, changeup whiff, curveball whiff sequence for a K here from Eric Jokisch's recent start against SK #KBO #KBOLeague pic.twitter.com/LHOnC213Hl
— Ben Howell (he/him) (@benhowell71) September 25, 2020
The left-hander is fresh off 6 innings of one-run ball versus KIA, which followed up an 8 inning, five hit gem against SK. He’s posted a 27-2 strikeout-to-walk rate over his last four outings, and hasn’t surrendered a home run since August 2nd. It’s no wonder the last four Heroes games he’s started have stayed under the total.
Great 3-pitch sequence here by Eric Jokisch after falling behind Kim Jae-hwan 2-0. His Called Strike% of 19.6% is the 2nd-best in the #KBO
1) FB outside for called strike
2) FB, same spot, same result
3) FB, goes down and further outside for called strike 3#KBOLeague pic.twitter.com/FtBnfRlIYl— Ben Howell (he/him) (@benhowell71) September 12, 2020
NC meanwhile, will give the ball to Young Gyu Kim, who’s on a bit of a heater of his own. The 20-year-old has allowed just one earned run over his past 12 innings, neutralizing the bats of SK and Samsung along the way.
The Kiwoom offense is not one to fear, as the Heroes have crossed the plate three times or less in four of their last five. Most games with Jokisch on the mound and a competent starter on the other side open with totals of 8.5, so grab the extra run and play the under.
Pick: Under 9.5 (-102)