Over/Under for Number of People to Attend AlienStock Set at 10.5K; Odds Against Anyone Accessing Area 51 Illegally

Will the massive online attendees actually head to Rachel, Nevada? Photo from @LasVegasLocally (Twitter)
  • The upcoming Facebook event joke-turned-worldwide phenomenon “Storm Area 51, They Can’t Stop All Of Us” is scheduled for Friday, September 20
  • Event planners have now capitalized on the hype by arranging themed entertainment, potentially as means to deter attendees from actually raiding Area 51
  • Millions of Facebook users have marked themselves as attending the raid itself

They come in peace. Well, hopefully.

With the upcoming “Storm Area 51, They Can’t Stop All Of Us” event happening on September 20, the Internet is abuzz with curiosity about how this whole thing will actually pan out.

What began as a joke, initially, has turned into a bona fide phenomenon with millions-plus confirming their attendance. Now event planners have made arrangements for related entertainment, such as AlienStock Festival.

How Many People Will Attend AlienStock Festival?

10,500 People Attending Odds
Over -120
Under -120

*All Odds taken 09/17/19

Earthling Overload

The original AlienStock was moved to Las Vegas and renamed Area 51 Celebration, and tickets are available by RSVP’ing online. Considering they’re free, it makes complete sense over 1.2K Facebook users have confirmed their attendance.

But the original venue for AlienStock in Rachel, Nevada still plans to go ahead with an event. The Facebook event for that celebration has under 400 confirmed guests marked to attend.

The venue for Area 51 Celebration– happening all weekend–boasts an 85,000-square-feet location with a maximum capacity of 15,000 guests. It’s possible the folks will come out in droves. This is Vegas after all.

But then again, it’d be more likely to see folks get cold feet or lose interest in actually showing up.

Pick: Under 10,500 people (-120)

How Many People Will Be Arrested in Rachel, Nevada?

8.5 People Arrested Odds
Over -120
Under -120

Locked Up

The closest town to Area 51, Rachel, Nevada, has a population of roughly 50 people. The town does enjoy a bit of celebrity status from UFO hunters but typically, little action happens here.

The Facebook event for “Storm Area 51” went up on June 27, and the hype has died down a little bit. But still, thousands are marked attending. But so many of them probably live far away or have forgotten about this altogether.

Guaranteed, though, a few folks will take this whole situation seriously even if it was started as a joke. Surely a handful of folks will take the whole thing seriously and end up getting arrested.

But by the time September 20 rolls around– nearly three months after the joke began– many ‘attendees’ will have mentally moved on.

Pick: Under 8 1/2 (-120)

Will Anyone Illegally Access Rachel Military Area?

Outcome Odds
Yes +500
No -1000

The Facebook event description for Storm Area 51 is short and to the point: “We will all meet up in Rural Nevada and coordinate our parties. If we naruto run, we can move faster than their bullets. Lets [sic] see them aliens.”

Oh boy. Well, the US government has a different plan of events for this whole thing, of course.

For anyone questioning whether or not the US government would take this whole thing seriously or not, they do. At the very least, they’ll stand and protect just in case anyone does show up.

The official response they’ve made to the Facebook event is “The U.S. Air Force always stands ready to protect America and its assets.” Fair enough.

So, try as they might, but it’s doubtful any attendees of the raid will actually make any progress in finding aliens– or even getting through security on the base itself.

Pick: No (-1000)

Will Donald Trump Tweet About Area 51 This Week?

Outcome Odds
Yes +500
No -1000

The President is definitely well-known for his Twitter content, taking on subjects from Debra Messing to “Covfefe”.

But will he avoid the ‘elephant in the room’ or actually address this raid? It’s more likely to see him dodging this one, actually. Trump has never tweeted about Area 51 or the planned raid. He’s had almost three months to tackle this subject and has– so far– left it alone.

Certainly, the President has bigger fish to fry. But more importantly, he probably doesn’t want to dignify the event with the satisfaction of acknowledging it.

Pick: No (-1000)

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