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Aussie Rules Football Round 6 Odds & Predictions: Melbourne-Based Clubs on the Move Following COVID-19 Outbreak

Brisbane Cricket Ground
The defending AFL premiership champion Richmond Tigers will be calling the Brisbane Cricket Ground home, at least temporarily, after being forced to relocate from the Melbourne area following a recent outbreak of COVID-19. Photo by @aplund (Twitter)
  • All 10 Melbourne-based AFL clubs forced to relocate indefinitely, including premiership contenders Richmond and Collingwood
  • Injury-riddled Lions head to Brisbane to host the slumping Sydney Swans, while the Magpies take on Hawthorn in Sydney
  • Read on to get all the odds and insight into AFL Round 6 in the story below

It is looking like home-field advantage will be a rarity in Aussie Rules Football in the weeks to come. Following yet another outbreak of COVID-19, all 10 Melbourne-area AFL clubs have been forced to relocate to various regions of Australia, leading to a further shake-up of an already fluid 2020 schedule.

Among the clubs hitting the road for the foreseeable future are the defending champion Richmond Tigers, who will be the home team when they face the Sydney Swans at the Brisbane Cricket Ground late on Saturday night.

Things get no easier for the Collingwood Magpies in Round 6. Losers in their past two outings, the Magpies travel to Sydney, where they will host the Hawthorn Hawks on Friday. The Geelong Cats also face a huge task as they head to the Sydney Cricket Ground to face the red-hot Brisbane Lions on Thursday morning.

Here’s a look at all the odds and best bets for each of these crucial Round 6 contests.

Aussie Rules Round 6 Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Geelong Cats +6.50 (-115) +120 O 129.5 (-115)
Brisbane Lions -6.5 (-115) -165 U 129.5 (-115)
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Collingwood Magpies -6.0 (-115) -160 O 121.5 (-115)
Hawthorn Hawks +6.0 (-120) +115 U 121.5 (-115)
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Fremantle Dockers +16.5 (-115) +200 O 123.5 (-115)
St. Kilda Saints -16.5 (-115) -290 U 123.5 (-115)
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
West Coast Eagles -30.5 (-115) -650 n/a
Adelaide Crows +30.5 (-115) +385 n/a
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Melbourne Demons -2.5 (-120) -130 O 120.5 (-115)
Gold Coast Suns +2.5 (-115) -105 U 120.5 (-115)
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Essendon Bombers -7.5 (-115) -170 O 122.5 (-115)
North Melbourne Kangaroos +7.5 (-120) +125 U 122.5 (-115)
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Port Adelaide Power +1.5 (-115) -110 O 125.5 (-115)
Greater Western Sydney Giants -1.5 (-115) -125 U 125.5 (-115)
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Carlton Blues +11.5 (-115) +150 O 121.5 (-115)
Western Bulldogs -11.5 (-115) -200 U 121.5 (-115)
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Richmond Tigers -5.0 (-115) -145 O 124.5 (-115)
Sydney Swans +5.0 (-120) +105 U 124.5 (-115)

Odds taken July 8

Cats Face Massive Challenge Against Red-Hot Lions

A change in venue could not have come at a worse time for the Geelong Cats. Winners in each of their past two outings, including last week’s 89-52 rout of the Gold Coast Suns, the Cats enter Round 6 sporting the AFL’s top offense, and just four points shy of the top of the ladder. The club had also enjoyed a steady run on home turf, posting wins in 12 of 16 matches since the beginning of last season.

Complicating matters for Geelong is the red-hot opponent they will face at the SCG on Thursday morning. The Lions hit the road following a stellar four-match run on home turf at the Gabba, picking up wins in each of those contests, capped by last week’s 85-48 beatdown of Port Adelaide that marked the Power’s first loss of the season.

The challenge for the Lions will be to maintain that momentum on the road, where they are winless in their past three. Injuries have also emerged as a concern for Brisbane, who remain without star defender Marcus Adams. The club has also lost the services of midfielder Connor McFadyen for the season to a serious knee injury. After outscoring opponents by just under 35 points per match in their past three outings, the Lions are poised to make it five in a row, but after their recent shaky road performances, it remains to be seen if they can duplicate their impressive defensive efforts against the Cats.

Picks: Geelong Cats to win (+120); UNDER 130.5 (-115)

Magpies Poised to Rebound vs Inconsistent Hawks

The Collingwood Magpies look to rediscover the defensive touch that marked their first three matches of the season when they host the Hawthorn Hawks at GIANTS Stadium. The Magpies played stifling defense in their first three contests, surrendering just 107 total points while racking up a 2-0-1 win-loss-draw record. However, the club has struggled at both ends of the oval in their past two outings, allowing an average of 64.5 points per match in losses to Greater Western Sydney and Essendon.

The club has hopefully benefited to their recent date with GWS at GIANTS Stadium but could have their hands full in their bid to shaking out of a scoring slump against Hawthorn. The Hawks have also leveraged steady defense in their respectable 3-2-0 start, limiting opponents to 54 or fewer points in three of their four matches since the season resumed, including a stunning 71-39 upset of Richmond two weeks ago in Melbourne.

The club took a big step back in last week’s 83-49 loss to the Giants, and while they have taken four of five from Collingwood, the Hawks’ growing list of injuries are likely to leave them struggling against the Magpies.

Picks: Collingwood Magpies -5.5 (-115); UNDER 119.5 (-115)

Can Hobbled Tigers Reignite Offense

The Richmond Tigers finally found their way back into the win column with last week’s 79-52 victory over the Melbourne Demons. With the win, the Tigers put the brakes on a three-match winless streak, but still have plenty of work to do to reclaim a position among the top eight on the AFL ladder and their perch as premiership favorites.

After riding the AFL’s fourth-best defense to the premiership title last season, the Tigers have struggled to contain opposing scorers this time around. Richmond have allowed over 90 points in two of their five outings. In addition, injuries have also emerged as a massive issue for the defending champions, with six key players going to the clinic over the past week, including Tigers captain Trent Cotchin will miss Round 6 with a hamstring injury.

That’s good news for the Sydney Swans, who will be aiming to rebound after a pair of humiliating losses to the West Coast Eagles and Western Bulldogs. With the Tigers hobbled, the Swans are positioned to pull off the biggest upset of the weekend in what is likely to be a low-scoring affair.

Picks: Sydney Swans to win (+105); UNDER 124.5 (-115)

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