Upcoming Match-ups

Manny Pacquiao vs Adrien Broner Odds and Prediction

Ryan Bolta

by Ryan Bolta in Boxing

Jan 10, 2019 · 4:00 AM PST

Manny Pacquiao
Manny Pacquiao will try to add to his impressive legacy when he takes on Adrien Broner. Photo by Boxing AIBA (flickr)
  • Manny Pacquiao is the odds-on favorite in his upcoming fight with Adrien Broner
  • Is the 24-year Broner capable of pulling off a big time upset?
  • How much does Pacquiao have left in the tank?

Manny Pacquiao (60-7-2, 39 KO) is back in Las Vegas and back on Pay Per View January 19th against Adrien Broner (33-3-1, 24 KO). Pacquiao will be defending his WBA Welterweight title and, as the champion, he’s getting the respect of bookmakers.

Pacquiao vs Broner Odds

WBA Welterweight Title Fight Odds
Manny Pacquiao -300
Adrien Broner +230

Pacquiao has fought only four times since losing to Floyd Mayweather in May of 2015. He defeated Timothy Bradley Jr., Jessie Vargas, and most recently Lucas Matthysse, and lost to Jeff Horn. He’s been selective in his fights, but they have come against fairly good competition.

Broner has also been fairly inactive, fighting only three times since April of 2016.  His last two fights in particular are cause for concern for bookmakers and bettors alike. He was beaten by Mikey Garcia and fought to a draw with Jessie Vargas.

The middling record of late didn’t stop Mayweather Promotions from backing their man, despite the fact a Pacquiao win could set up a lucrative rematch with TBE himself.

Tale of the Tape: Pacquiao vs Broner

Manny Pacquiao
Adrien Broner
40 AGE 29
60 WINS 33
39 KO 24

The Tale of the Tape for this fight is interesting.  It shows one fighter that’s quite obviously more experienced not only in the ring, but in life. Pacquiao is 11 years older and has more knockouts on his record than Broner has had fights. Do you prefer a veteran of Pacquiao’s caliber? Or a younger, more spry opponent?  And as close as the fight looks inside the ring, the two fighters’ motivation outside of it is also as high as ever.

Pacquiao has more knockouts on his record than Broner has had fights.

During the Showtime All Access series, Pacquiao was seen giving money to 600 fans in need in Manila. His generosity and charity knows no bounds, but also has resulted in rumors of financial difficulty for him in the past. Keep winning, keep fighting, keep making money. It’s a philosophy that makes sense for a philanthropist like Pacquiao. But that’s not to say Broner isn’t motivated as well, as evidence by his own wild story during the Showtime series.

The foundation of the two stories may be different, but the theme is the same. These are two boxers that need victories to keep them on a necessary path.  Don’t expect either fighter to enter the ring unprepared. Broner is slightly taller and much younger, but Pacquiao has been the busier and more successful fighter. Your choice of who will win will boil down to philosophy and possibly your gut more than anything else.

Broner is slightly taller and much younger, but Pacquiao has been the busier and more successful fighter.

For my money, I’ll side with the A side. I’ve seen Pacquiao win big fights under bright lights on a consistent basis over his career. As of late, Broner hasn’t proved capable to keep up with top boxers in the sport. The price isn’t cheap to take Pacquiao, and you may want to be more specific in your wager (bet him to win by KO or by decision), but for these odds that have been made available my pick is to keep it simple and stick with the legend.

Pick: Manny Pacquiao (-300)

Author Image