Betting Odds for Who Will Win Survivor Season 50

• Survivor 50: “In the Hands of the Fans” will air its eighth episode of the season on Wednesday, April 15th
• Prediction markets have some surprising names to be crowned champion of such an historic season
• See the contenders to win season 50 of Survivor, along with analysis of their gameplay

Host and producer Jeff Probst has been talking up season 50 of Survivor, “In the Hands of the Fans” in a big way, promising bigger and better as the series reaches an important milestone. For the first time, 24 players have been invited to compete in Reality TV’s ultimate competition – Survivor. Through seven episodes, eleven contestants are gone, leaving 13 left to claim the ultimate prize.

Two episodes ago, Probst labelled it a seismic shift in the “Blood Moon” extravaganza, where three players were eliminated. Minds may differ on whether the ultimate product matched the promised sizzle, but in any case, the fast-paced season continues to roll on with plenty of drama to ensue.

Prediction markets like Kalshi are getting in on the fun, tabbing some front-runners to win this season of Survivor. Already, over $16 million has been traded on Kalshi, and the ultimate showdown concludes Wednesday, May 20th, at 8:00 pm ET to see who the champion will be for season 50. Fair warning, while this clearly isn’t revealing any future spoilers, the fact that prediction markets are ignoring certain contestants might be pointing to them not lasting very long or winning. I’ll also discuss some of the previous seasons, so be warned – the tribe, or in this case, I, have spoken.

Odds to win Survivor Season 50

New users looking to get in on the action can claim the Kalshi referral code to receive a $10 Sign Up Bonus after completing $10 in trades.

In the latest episode, Dee Valladares was voted off by an 8-4-1 tally, becoming the last previous winner to remain this season. With 13 contestants remaining, hungry to be tabbed a champion, things will certainly get wild. As it stands now, it appears there’s a massive merged tribe, but as is often the case on Survivor, things get switched, and twists occur, so it’s not a guarantee they’ll remain that way.

Aubry Bracco is getting the majority of love amongst traders, with a whopping 69% of the total to emerge victorious. Personally, that makes me very worried that the season has been spoiled already, and people know she’s the champion (despite the deciding vote being on a live finale on May 20th). Fan favorite and all-time Survivor legend Cirie Fields is getting the second most love at 18%. Rounding out the top five are Rizo Velovic (5%), Joe Hunter (4%), and Jonathan Young (4%).

Players you won’t see among the top-five choices include fan faves Christian Hubicki, Rick Devens, Emily Flappen, Ozzy Lusht, Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick, and Benjamin “Coach” Wade. That gives me pause, and makes me very suspicious that, sadly, they won’t be in the running. Below, I’ll break down the top contenders to see who might be the champ.

Five Main Contenders To Win Survivor: Season 50

Aubry Bracco

I must confess that this number has sent off alarm bells to me, wondering what people know that most fans don’t. It’s not that Aubry isn’t a capable player, having competed in three previous iterations of the series (best finish was a runner-up in Survivor: Kaoh Rong). My potential theory is that people have flooded her Survivor Wiki page, see that she’s lasted 39/39, 37/39, and 35/39 days, and put two and two together and made five. While she was a force in the first two outings, Aubry was ousted early in Survivor: Edge of Extinction, but still remained on the show due to the twist that could’ve brought her back to the game (alas, she lost).

She’s been swimming an uphill stream thus far in Season 50, with her original tribe wanting her gone, and also, when she was swapped, it appeared she was in real danger of having her torch snuffed. Two episodes ago, she didn’t flush out her “hidden” immunity idol, and everyone was highly critical of that, so she essentially was forced into burning it at last tribal. That takes some heat off of her at this point, but can they trust her going forward?

Cirie Fields

If Cirie Fields can finally get over the finish line and win Survivor, an entire community of fans will rejoice. It’s truly remarkable that she hasn’t got it done yet, despite competing four times (and once on Australian Survivor), along with countless other reality shows. The last time she was eliminated, it was utter heartbreak on Game Changers, being ousted simply because everyone else had an advantage and she was the lone person without one.

So far on Season 50, it’s truly been stunning that her name hasn’t been brought up much to eliminate her, other than Jonathan, very early in the season. You’d think an icon that has such experience would immediately be toast, but she’s on nobody’s radar. That’ll probably continue too, since she won’t be considered a threat to win immunity challenges. Cirie has ingratiated herself well with Ozzy, a much bigger threat, and newbie Rizo, who both seem to believe are their #1’s. Things change quickly on Survivor, but I expect her to be covered for quite a while longer.

Rizo Velovic

It’s been a slow burn for Rizo, the self-proclaimed “RizGod”, who played Season 49 and was asked to be back on again, along with Savannah. His ability to hang onto his known hidden immunity idol last Survivor season was legendary, and shocking at the same time that it wasn’t flushed out.

His game is a complete unknown to those on the island, because S49 was taped before production began on 50 (seasons are recorded back to back), so he’s truly an unknown commodity. Early this time around, he drew the ire of Charlie because Rizo proclaimed he didn’t vote for his #1 on S49 to win (Sophi), which gave Charlie flashbacks to when his #1 Maria didn’t choose him in the final tribal council, costing him the $1 million prize. However, that was all a lie, since Rizo was trying to downplay his kinship with Savannah, his real #1. There was a standoff, which Rizo ultimately won by eliminating Charlie.

Players like Colby didn’t take a shine to Rizo initially due to his lack of work ethic. However, he’s really managed to get in good with a lot of players and is proving his mettle against top-tier competition. With the amount he’s been shown on S50, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see him claim the title of Sole Survivor.

Joe Hunter

Joe’s gameplay could be considered polarizing in that he wants to compete with integrity and honor (alongside Coach), and loathes the lying and backstabbing that occurs. In his OG season (48), it was incredibly frustrating for fans that he and others failed to make any moves and just played a boring, safe game, which ultimately cost him.

This time around, he got into a heated argument with Rick Devens in an early episode, which reportedly was even more explosive than was shown on TV. In the last few episodes, Joe hasn’t caused many waves, and could be a very useful asset for someone who can rely on his vote. Still, in a supersized season that has everyone frothing at the mouth to be the victor, it would be quite surprising to see him be able to outlast everyone else.

Jonathan Young

Jonathan Young is Survivor’s answer to a real-life Hercules. The man is an absolute beast, destroying challenges single-handedly. His original season was very entertaining to see him bulldoze everyone in competitions, but he lacked a cerebral social game, which ultimately was his downfall. Thus far on 50, he’s refined his game and hasn’t been on the radar to get rid of, while it was during the tribe stages.

However, now that it’s an individual game (assuming it’s still a merge), he will absolutely become a huge target, because players will be scared he’ll run the table and immunity himself to the finale.

While he got his wish and sent Dee packing at the latest Tribal Council, there will be repercussions and a ripple effect from that. A player like Jonathan has nowhere to hide in a game like Survivor, so I don’t expect him to make it all the way to the end.

Sign Up for SBD’s Newsletter Now

Did you want the latest sports betting news, analysis, picks, betting trends, and relevant data straight to your inbox? If so, you’ll want to subscribe to SBD’s newsletter now!