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Final Four Odds for March Madness – See Odds to Reach Final Four for All 68 Teams in 2024 NCAA Tournament

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in College Basketball

Updated: March 18, 2024 at 10:34 am EDT

Published:


North Carolina State Wolfpack guard Casey Morsell and North Carolina Tar Heels guard RJ Davis going after a loose ball
Mar 16, 2024; Washington, D.C., USA; North Carolina State Wolfpack guard Casey Morsell (14) knocks the ball away from North Carolina Tar Heels guard RJ Davis (4) during the second half at Capital One Arena. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
  • With the 2024 March Madness bracket set, odds to win each of the four regions are available
  • All four #1 seeds are favored to win their regions in 2024 March Madness
  • Below, see the odds for all 68 teams in the NCAA Tournament to reach the Final Four

The 2024 March Madness bracket has been cemented with UConn (East), Houston (South), Purdue (Midwest), and North Carolina (West) grabbing the four #1 seeds in the 2024 NCAA Tournament. In the latest Final Four odds, three of the #1 seeds rae favored to win their regions, while UNC finds itself second to #2 Arizona in the West.

Last year, several longshots made the national semifinals. UConn, the #4 seed in the West, had the shortest pre-tournament odds at +400 of the four teams that reached the Final Four. The Huskies were joined in the semifinals by #5 San Diego State (+650), #5 Miami (+1400), and #9 Florida Atlantic (+3500).

Jump to: South | East |Midwest | West

Odds to Win South Region

Team (Seed) Odds
Houston (1) +150
Duke (4) +295
Marquette (2) +550
Kentucky (3) +850
Florida (7) +1700
Nebraska (8) +2000
Texas Tech (6) +2200
Wisconsin (5) +2200
Texas A&M (9) +5500
Boise State (10) +10000
Colorado (10) +10000
James Madison (12) +10000
NC State (11) +10000
Oakland  (14) +40000
Vermont (13) +40000
Western Kentucky (15) +45000
Longwood (16) +50000

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Not only is Houston the favorite in the South, the Cougars also have the second-shortest odds of any team in the NCAA Tournament to reach the Final Four at +150.

The South is perceived to be the weakest region in the bracket, at least at the top.  Duke, the #4 seed, is the second-favorite to win the South Region. The Blue Devils are the second-highest-rated team in the South at KenPom, sitting 8th. (Houston finished the season second.)

Marquette is 12th while Kentucky is all the way down in 19th.

Houston lost in the Sweet 16 as a #1 seed last year, falling to Miami (89-75). The Cougars did reach the Final Four in 2021, though, as a #5 seed.

Odds to Win East Region

Team (Seed) Odds
UConn (1) +110
Auburn (4) +280
Iowa State (2) +300
Illinois (3) +700
BYU (6) +2000
San Diego State (5) +3500
FAU (8) +6000
Northwestern (9) +6000
Washington State (7) +6000
Drake (10) +8000
Duquesne (11) +9000
Yale (13) +25000
UAB (12) +35000
Morehead State (14) +40000
South Dakota State (15) +40000
Stetson (16) +50000

The East Region essentially boils down to #1 UConn versus the field, at least according to oddsmakers. The +497 favorite in the latest March Madness championship odds, UConn is +110 to win its first four games and reach the national semifinals. Just like in the South, the second-favorite in the East is the #4 seed, in this case Auburn, a team that will feel drastically underseeded after finishing one game back of Tennessee in the SEC during the regular season, and them romping to the conference tournament championship.

Coincidentally, the East region features three of last year’s Final Four teams. San Diego State, which is once again a #5 seed, is listed at +3500 to win the South (considerably longer than the +650 odds they had last year as a #5).

FAU, which is a #8 this year (effectively the same seed-line they had last year as a #9), is listed at +8000. They were +3500 at the outset of the 2023 tournament.

 

Odds to Win Midwest Region

Team (Seed) Odds
Purdue (1) +165
Tennessee (2) +330
Creighton (3) +340
Gonzaga (5) +650
Texas (7) +1800
Kansas (4) +1900
TCU (9) +3500
South Carolina (6) +6000
Utah State (8) +8000
Oregon (11) +9000
McNeese (12) +10000
Colorado State (10) +15000
Virginia (10) +15000
Samford (13) +25000
Akron (14) +40000
Saint Peter’s (15) +40000
Montana State/Grambling (16) +50000

After losing to #16 Fairleigh Dickinson as a #1 seed just last season, Purdue is back on the #1 line and favored to win the Midwest at +165. The #2 Tennessee Volunteers have the second-best odds but are only a tepid +330 second-favorite, just a whisker in front of #3 Creighton (+340).

Perennial Final Four contender Gonzaga is fourth in the Midwest at +650, while #4 Kansas is all the way back at +1900 as the Jayhawks try to overcome some significant injury concerns.

Odds to Win West Region

Team (Seed) Odds
Arizona (2) +180
North Carolina (1) +235
Baylor (3) +600
Alabama (4) +1000
Saint Mary’s (5) +1100
Michigan State (9) +2500
New Mexico (11) +2500
Nevada (10) +3000
Mississippi State (8) +3500
Clemson (6) +4000
Dayton (7) +6000
Grand Canyon (12) +12000
Charleston (13) +35000
Long Beach State (15) +40000
Colgate (14) +45000
Howard/Wagner (16) +50000

The West is the only region where the top seed doesn’t have the best odds to win the region. The #2 Arizona Wildcats will start the tournament as +180 chalk to reach the Final Four out of the West.  The West Regional (i.e. Sweet 16 and Elite Eight) will take place in Los Angeles, CA.

The West also sees to better-seeded teams enter the first round as underdogs (#6 Clemson is a 1.5-point underdog to #11 New Mexico, while #7 Dayton is a 1.5-point ‘dog to #10 Nevada). Oddsmakers are clearly giving the Mountain West more credence than the Selection Committee. New Mexico is +2500 to win the region while Nevada is just behind at +3000.

The odds to reach the Final Four will be changing after every game of the 2024 NCAA Tournament. Readers can see the use SBD’s tracker to see the latest Final Four odds.

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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