CFP Quarterfinal Odds – Spreads & Line Movement Predictions for All 4 Games

• The College Football Playoff quarterfinals kick off on December 31st
• Ohio State is a 9.5-point favorite over Miami in the Cotton Bowl
• See the opening odds for all four CFP Quarterfinal games, plus expected line movement

The College Football Playoff bracket is down to the final eight teams. The quarterfinals begin on New Year’s Eve with Miami taking on Ohio State in the Cotton Bowl, followed by three games on New Year’s Day.

Online sportsbooks have released opening lines for all four matchups, and the spreads range from a pick’em to nearly double digits.

Keep reading for the complete CFP Quarterfinal odds breakdown, plus where the lines are expected to move before kickoff.

CFP Quarterfinal Odds

Ohio State laying 9.5 points against Miami is the largest spread among the four CFP Quarterfinal matchups. The Oregon vs Texas Tech game in the Orange Bowl is essentially a pick’em, while both the Rose Bowl and Sugar Bowl feature identical 7-point spreads.

The highest total belongs to the Ole Miss vs Georgia Sugar Bowl at 56.5, while the Miami vs Ohio State Cotton Bowl sits at just 42.5.

Odds as of December 20. New customers can claim the DraftKings promo code and get a bonus to bet on college football.

Miami vs Ohio State Cotton Bowl Preview

The Buckeyes opened as high as 11.5-point favorites at some books before settling at 9.5. That’s a big number for a playoff game, but it reflects what Ohio State has done defensively all season.

The Buckeyes allow just 8.2 points per game, leading the nation. They held Heisman winner Fernando Mendoza to 13 points in the Big Ten title game and haven’t allowed more than 14 points all season.

Miami struggled offensively in their 10-3 first-round win over Texas A&M. The Hurricanes managed just three points against a defense that doesn’t match up with Ohio State’s talent level.

The Cotton Bowl total of 42.5 is the lowest on the board. Ohio State games went 9-4 to the under this season, while Miami was 8-5 on unders. Against ranked opponents, the Buckeyes averaged just 21 points per game.

Oregon vs Texas Tech Orange Bowl Line

Texas Tech opened as a 1.5-point favorite over Oregon in the Orange Bowl, making this the closest game on the board. The Red Raiders earned the slight edge thanks to their first-round bye and higher seed.

Books typically award 1.5 to 2 points for rest advantage in the playoff format. Texas Tech got that benefit as the #4 seed, while Oregon had to play James Madison in the first round.

The Red Raiders boast elite defense, ranking first nationally in rushing defense at 68.5 yards per game and third in scoring defense at 10.9 points per game. Oregon struggled against similar top-10 defenses this season, scoring just 18 points against Iowa and 20 in a loss to Indiana.

The total of 52.5 is the highest on the quarterfinal slate, reflecting Texas Tech’s status as the #2 scoring offense in the nation.

Alabama vs Indiana Rose Bowl Spread

Seeing Alabama catching seven points in the Rose Bowl is rare, but Indiana earned this line. The Hoosiers are the #1 overall seed, undefeated, and led by Heisman winner Fernando Mendoza.

Indiana’s defense held Ohio State to 10 points in the Big Ten Championship, generating nine tackles for loss and five sacks. The Hoosiers allow just 10.9 points per game and surrender fewer than 78 rushing yards per game.

Alabama showed resilience in their first-round win over Oklahoma, rallying from a 17-0 deficit. Quarterback Ty Simpson completed 18-of-29 for 232 yards and two touchdowns without a turnover, going 4-for-4 on passes over 20 yards.

This is the first-ever meeting between these programs. Alabama’s playoff experience versus Indiana’s perfect record makes this potentially the most intriguing quarterfinal clash.

Georgia vs Ole Miss Sugar Bowl Rematch

Georgia opened as a 6.5-point favorite before the line climbed to 7. The Bulldogs beat Ole Miss 43-35 back on October 18 in Athens, rallying from a 35-26 fourth-quarter deficit with 17 unanswered points.

The coaching situation impacts this rematch. Lane Kiffin resigned after the regular season to take the LSU job, leaving Pete Golding as interim head coach. Books typically penalize teams with interim staffs in playoff games.

Ole Miss looked sharp in their 41-10 first-round win over Tulane. Quarterback Trinidad Chambliss threw for 318 total yards and three touchdowns, while running back Kewan Lacy added 87 yards and a score.

Georgia’s defense has been dominant down the stretch, allowing no more than 81 rushing yards or 274 total yards in their last four games. The Bulldogs forced five turnovers and recorded nine sacks combined during that span.

CFP Quarterfinal Line Movement

The Ohio State line will likely cross double digits before kickoff. Public money will flood the Buckeyes, pushing the spread to 10 or 10.5. Books want bettors to lay the full double-digit number against Miami.

Oregon-Texas Tech should flip by game time. Brand bias favors the Ducks, and casual bettors will see Oregon getting points as free money. Expect this line to move through zero, with Oregon closing as a 1 to 2.5-point favorite.

The Alabama line will drop toward the Crimson Tide. Even with Indiana’s perfect record, seeing Bama as a touchdown underdog triggers automatic buy signals for bettors. This number could fall to 6.5 or 5.5 by kickoff.

Georgia’s spread should tick up slightly to 7.5. The interim coaching situation at Ole Miss makes sharps fade the Rebels, and books will move the line to the dead number to avoid teaser liability.