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Ohio vs Miami (OH) Prediction, Preview & Betting Line – MAC Championship

Chris Wassel

By Chris Wassel in College Football

Published:


Miami Redhawks running back Keyon Mozee runs with the football
Sep 1, 2023; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Miami Redhawks running back Keyon Mozee (3) runs with the football against the Miami Hurricanes during the third quarter at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports
  • Ohio faces off against Miami (OH) in MAC College Football Conference Championship
  • The latest Ohio vs Miami (OH) odds favor the Bulls by 2 points
  • Read below for Ohio vs Miami (OH) prediction, picks and odds

On Saturday, December 7, 2024, college football fans get one more taste of the MAC-tion. Next up, the Ohio Bobcats take on the Miami (OH) RedHawks to get the day rolling. It is one of the two opening games in the Noon ET time slot.

This game brings us two teams worthy of a conference champion. However, only one can emerge victorious. Both Ohio and Miami (OH) roll in with identical 7-1 conference records.

The Miami (OH) RedHawks are favored by 2 points to win the MAC title game, with the over/under set at 44 points, according to DraftKings Sportsbook. The game will be televised on ESPN, and the kickoff will be scheduled promptly for High Noon.

Ohio vs Miami (OH) Prediction

Miami (OH) started the season at 1-4 with losses to Notre Dame and Toledo, to name a few. Then, the RedHawks turned everything around by winning seven straight games. Miami (OH) went 5-2 ATS during this streak with a huge cover against Ohio at home.

If that was not enough, the RedHawks were 2.5-point underdogs to Bowling Green and naturally won by 16 going away on the road. That cemented Miami (OH)’s spot in the conference championship game.

One of the big keys for the RedHawks is the running of Keyon Mozee. Mozee does not get a ton of touches. However, he averages 6.6 yards per carry. It feels like he could break one at any time. In the first meeting between Ohio and Miami (OH), Mozee ran 16 times for 111 yards and a touchdown.

The Miami (OH) offense plays pretty steady as Brett Gabbert has improved from the start of the season. His ability to bounce back from risks helps the sixth-year Senior immensely. Even throwing two interceptions against Bowling Green, Gabbert tossed three touchdowns in the 28-12 victory.

More Matchup Problems For Ohio

Now, this game features more matchup problems for Ohio. Cade McDonald and Jayon Tracy combine for almost 1,350 yards rcceiving. Tracy leads the RedHawks with seven touchdowns. Both players average between 13 and 15 yards a catch and have the ability to get open short, intermediate, or deep. Each one found the endzone in the first meeting.

The RedHawks won a big road game lats week behind, you guessed it, McDonald and Tracy both finding pay dirt. Here are the highlights.

YouTube video

The only concern for Miami (OH) is those Gabbert mistakes. Predictably, their defense has been excellent during this streak while allowing a mere 12.4 points per game. Ohio was fortunate to get 20 in the first game.

I’m predicting a Miami (OH) cover and victory. This may not be by a rout, but the RedHawks will take the conference championship.

Ohio-Miami (OH) Pick:

  • Miami (OH) -2 (-110)

Ohio vs Miami (OH) Spread

College football Conference Championship odds are here for Ohio vs Miami (OH) and more, as Conference Championship Saturday begins again at Noon ET.

Watch For Alternate Spreads And Totals

Yes, Miami (OH) could score around 30 points again. The Ohio Bobcats need to establish their short-passing and running games early. If the RedHawks defense neutralizes targets early, Ohio could be playing from behind. Add in the risk with Parker Navarro (10 TD, 10 INT, but 13 rushing touchdowns). Navarro tends to put the ball on the ground and the RedHawks defense knows it.

Ohio vs Miami (OH) Odds

Miami (OH) is favored by 2 points with -122 moneyline odds, implying a 54.5% win probability for the RedHawks. Ohio is only a +102 underdogs, representing a 49.5% chance to win, per the oddsmakers. 84% of the money is on Miami (OH) to cover on Saturday.

The total is set at 44 points, with some -108 value for the under. This comes down to can Ohio score enough points to stay close and hope for RedHawks mistakes.

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Ohio +2 (-108) +102 Over 44 (-112)
Miami (OH) -2 (-112) -122 Under 44 (-108)

Odds as of December 5, 2024, at DraftKings Sportsbook. Browse the best College Football betting app for Ohio-Miami (OH).

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Some notable line movement: During the week, the spread moved around from the 1.5 to 2.5-point range. The spread money figures to start moving back toward Miami (OH) before Saturday afternoon.

Ohio vs Miami (OH) Head to Head

The programs have met 100 times in their history, with the last four results going as follows:

  • Oct 19, 2024: Miami (OH) 30, Ohio 20
  • Oct 28, 2023: Miami (OH) 30, Ohio 16
  • Nov 8, 2022: Ohio 37, Miami (OH) 21
  • Nov 2, 2021: Ohio 35, Miami (OH) 33

The last two meetings have seen Miami (OH) win by 10+ points each time. Yes, the RedHawks could dominate this matchup again. If the Ohio defense does not cause turnovers, Miami (OH) could run away with this conference championship.

Honestly, this is what Miami (OH) truly wanted. Even at a neutral site (Ford Field in Detroit), the RedHawks carry an advantage on Saturday in a big spot.

Chris Wassel
Chris Wassel

Sports Writer

A journalist veteran for over two decades, Chris has taught the gamut of fantasy hockey sports online from injuries to news to prospects, and more. He has bet on several sports and written sports betting articles about the NBA, MLB, NCAA football, the NFL, and NHL for USA Today.

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