2019 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest Odds & Props: Odds Favor Joey Chestnut Eating Over 9.5 Hot Dogs in 1st Minute

Joey Chestnut
11-time Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest champion Joey Chestnut has shattered the world record in each of the last two competitions. Photo by @Complex (Twitter)
  • The Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest returns to Coney Island on July 4th
  • The contest has been an annual institution since 1972
  • Joey Chestnut holds the record for eating 74 hot dogs in 10 minutes

Quite simply, Joey Chestnut is the Wayne Gretzky of the Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest. He dominates like no other competitor, and the only records he breaks are his own.

As they get set for this annual rite of American passage each July 4th on Coney Island, sportsbooks are offering you the chance to see if you can gobble up as many wieners… er, winners as Chestnut. The sportsbooks have offered up a wide-ranging series of prop wagers on the competition.

Total Hot Dogs Eaten By Men’s Winner of Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest

How Many Hot Dogs Will Nathan’s Men’s Winner Consume? Odds
Over 73.5 -105
Under 73.5 -135

*All odds taken 07/03/19

Setting a Record Pace

In 2017, Chestnut won the Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest by consuming 72 hot dogs, shattering his previous world-record mark of 70. Last year, he upped the ante again, powering down 74 wieners.

How much further can the frankfurter king raise the stakes? Chestnut has already shattered the world record five times in this event. Are you going to bet against him?

Pick: Over 73.5 (-105)

Total Hot Dogs Eaten By Women’s Winner of Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest

How Many Hot Dogs Will Nathan’s Women’s Winner Consume? Odds
Over 38.5 -110
Under 38.5 -130

A Female Joey

Nathan’s first held a separate women’s competition in 2011. Since 2014, Miki Sudo has been in a class by herself.

She’s won every competition held since then – five in a row. On average she has consumed 37.7 hot dogs per year over that span. Sudo has only gone over 38.5 hot dogs once in those five years.

Pick: Under 38.5 (-130)

Total Hot Dogs Eaten By Joey Chestnut in First 5 Minutes of Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest

How Many Hot Dogs Will Joey Chestnut Consume in First 5 Minutes? Odds
Over 45.5 -120
Under 45.5 -120

It’s a Chestnut Eat Dog World

There’s nothing pretty about competitive eating. This isn’t a silky-smooth Rory McIlroy shot off the tee, or an exquisite breaking ball delivered by Jacob deGrom. It’s get it in the mouth and down the gullet and move on to the next one.

Chestnut does this better than anyone, but 45.5 in five minutes seems extreme even for him.

Pick: Under 45.5 (-120)

Total Hot Dogs Eaten By Joey Chestnut in 1st Minute of Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest

How Many Hot Dogs Will Joey Chestnut Consume in 1st Minute? Odds
Over 9.5 -200
Under 9.5 +150

Starting on Time

Athletes always talk about the importance of getting off to a good start. It’s no different in competitive eating.

With his reputation, Chestnut can break the will of his opponents by quickly powering down a significant amount of hot dogs. Still, 9.5 seems a reach.

Pick: Under 9.5 (+150)

Will There Be an Eat-Off at Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest?

Will There Be an Eat-Off? Odds
Yes +1000

More Dogs, Please

It’s only happened twice since Nathan’s began the contest in 1967 – a tie requiring overtime. The OT winner is the first to down a plate of five hot dogs.

Chestnut beat Japan’s Takeru Kobayashi in an eat-off in 2008. Don’t count on another eat-off happening this year.

Will Any Contestant Vomit During Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest?

Will Any Contestant Vomit? Odds
Yes +600
No -1200

Will Anyone Blow Chunks?

Twice during the reign of five-time champion Kobayashi, there was controversy over whether he had vomited during the contest. Each time, judges ruled he hadn’t.

Under the regulations, regurgitation calls for disqualification.

Pick: No (-1200)

Will Miki Sudo Win?

Will Miki Sudo Win Women’s Competition? Odds
Yes -1250
No +550

Oh Miki You’re So Fine

Sudo has reigned as Major League Eating’s top-ranked female competitor since 2014. That was her second season of competition.

Overall, she ranks third in the world when you combine the men and women in the sport. Her only competition on the women’s side of the ledger is to see if she can beat her own records.

Pick: Yes (-1250)

Will Joey Chestnut Win?

Will Joey Chestnut Win Men’s Competition? Odds
Yes -1250
No +550

The King of Nathan’s

Would you have bet against Michael Jordan to make the last shot of an NBA playoff game? Of course not.

Chestnut is the Jordan of competitive eating. He’s won 11 of the last 12 Nathan’s titles.

Pick: Yes (-1250)

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