Tony Vlachos Favored to Win Survivor Season 40 – See Updated Odds Here
- Survivor: Winners at War is five episodes in with six castaways voted off
- Odds on who will win have made it to online sportsbooks with some surprising names favored
- Should you wager money on Tony to end up becoming the sole survivor?
Survivor fans have clamored for a season full of only winners for many years and we’ve finally got our wish for Survivor: Winners at War. Through the first five episodes, there have been six contestants voted off and the action has been exciting with some big name players still in the game.
The grand prize is a reality show record-high $2 million and every contestant still has a shot to win the money, even the first six voted off (Natalie, Amber, Danni, Ethan, Tyson and Boston Rob) who are on the Edge of Extinction looking to find their way back in the contest.
Of those six players, just one of them are listed in the odds to win the season, which may shine a light on who ultimately does return back into play.
We had our unique odds on who would win before the season and after episode four and the massive notable difference is our odds for Tony to win (longest shot), to his current odds as being the favorite.
Odds to Win Survivor: Winners at War
| Contestant | Odds |
|---|---|
| Tony | +100 |
| Michele | +200 |
| Natalie | +350 |
| Wendell | +700 |
| Nick | +700 |
| Kim | +700 |
| Sarah | +1000 |
| Adam | +2000 |
| Ben | +2000 |
| Jeremy | +2000 |
| Yul | +2500 |
| Parvati | +2500 |
| Sophie | +2500 |
| Denise | +5000 |
| Sandra | +5000 |
Odds taken March 16th
Betting on Tony is Fool’s Gold
There should be absolutely no way, shape, or form that Tony is the betting favorite to win this season, because he has a huge personality and massive reputation of being a big time player which will make him a huge target through the duration of the season.
The only plausible explanation as to why he’s got such amazingly low +100 odds to win the season is if in fact the betting book has intel that he does win, because he should still be considered a huge long shot along with Sandra (who is +5000).
Just realized how next week of #Survivor is gonna go:
– Dakal goes to Tribal
– Jeremy uses his advantage to walk off with immunity
– Denise uses her Idol
– Sandra then uses her Idol
– Kim then uses her Idol
– Tony gets Cirie'd and is outta there pic.twitter.com/DMND7vNDel— Mike (@BigBrotherAbyss) March 15, 2020
To this point Tony has ingratiated himself well with his tribe mates and been a good source of humor, but the party can only last so long with his past reputation of being a loose cannon. The last three episodes have seen players go big game hunting in eliminating Ethan, Tyson and Boston Rob, and Tony will be straight in the crosshairs.
That is precisely why he’s been attempting to keep huge targets in the game to shield himself from people who will gun for him next. The only way you should bet on him at criminally low +100 odds is if you’re convinced production tipped off the betting books he won – otherwise, save your money for someone else.
Survivor: Winners at War Contestants
| Contestant | Season Won |
|---|---|
| Ethan | 3 (Africa) – on Edge of Extinction |
| Sandra | 7, 20 (Pearl Islands, Heroes vs Villains) |
| Amber | 8 (All-Stars) – on Edge of Extinction |
| Danni | 11 (Guatemala) – on Edge of Extinction |
| Yul | 13 (Cook Islands) |
| Parvati | 16 (Micronesia) |
| Boston Rob | 22 (Redemption Island) – on Edge of Extinction |
| Sophie | 23 (South Pacific) |
| Kim | 24 (One World) |
| Denise | 25 (Philippines) |
| Tyson | 27 (Blood vs Water) – on Edge of Extinction |
| Tony | 28 (Cagayan) |
| Natalie | 29 (San Juan Del Sur) – on Edge of Extinction |
| Jeremy | 31 (Cambodia) |
| Michele | 32 (Kaoh Rong) |
| Adam | 33 (Millennials vs Gen X) |
| Sarah | 34 (Game Changers) |
| Ben | 35 (Heroes vs Healers vs Hustlers) |
| Wendell | 36 (Ghost Island) |
| Nick | 37 (David vs Goliath) |
Sophie and Denise Offer Great Value
The two players you should consider wagering on is SBD’s pick to win Sophie (+2500), or Denise (+5000), who has a stunningly high betting line given how smooth she is at playing the game and her ability to stay under the radar.
She, along with Tony, have the biggest discrepancies with their odds to win versus our picks.
Both have been playing strong games, not giving in to Boston Rob’s attempts to bully them into revealing idols that they have and are genuinely liked by their fellow contemporaries on the island.
Sophie has an idol.
Kim has an idol.
Sandra has an idol.
Denise has an idol.
Parvati has 4 fire tokens.
Sarah has a steal-a-vote.
Michele has the best confessionals of the season.
The women are DESTROYING it. #Survivor— Surveyor Bret (@BretAndButter_) March 12, 2020
The women have been fantastic thus far this season, collecting idols, amassing fire tokens that can be used as currency later in the game to earn advantages, and in the case of Natalie, who’s on the Edge of Extinction, might be precisely why she ends up back competing for the $2 million dollars for her shockingly low +350 odds to be the sole Survivor.
Given their great start to the season, considering betting on a woman to earn the biggest prize in reality television history.
Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 16 years, where he's been featured on Sportscentre, That's Hockey, That's Hockey 2Nite, The Masters preview shows, and several more.
