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2019 PGA Tour BMW Championship Odds & Picks

Jon Rahm teeing off
Jon Rahm enters the BMW Championship playing incredible golf. Photo from @GolfDigest (Twitter).
  • The BMW Championship tees off Thursday, August 15th
  • The second leg of the three-part FedEx Cup Playoff features just 70 players
  • We’ve narrowed down the golfers with the best chance of emerging victorious

Patrick Reed ended his winless skid with a victory at the Northern Trust to vault him into second place in the FedEx Cup points list behind only Brooks Koepka. Fifty-five golfers were cut from the playoff after that event, leaving just 70 vying for 30 spots in next week’s finale – the Tour Championship.

The BMW Championship this week (Aug. 22-25) is being contested at famed Medinah Country Club, site of Tiger Woods’ PGA Championship triumphs in 1999 and 2006, but it will host this tournament for the first time ever, so past winners of this event don’t necessarily have course history to draw on.

2019 BMW Championship Odds

Golfer Odds
Rory McIlroy +800
Brooks Koepka +800
Jon Rahm +1000
Dustin Johnson +1400
Justin Thomas +1600
Justin Rose +1600
Patrick Cantlay +2000
Webb Simpson +2000
Patrick Reed +2200
Adam Scott +2500
Tommy Fleetwood +2800
Rickie Fowler +2800
Jordan Spieth +3300
Xander Schauffele +3300
Louis Oosthuizen +3300

*Odds as of 08/12/19.

Jon Rahm Poised for First FedEx Cup Playoff Victory

With his decorated career already chalk-full of impressive victories, it’s hard to believe Jon Rahm is just 24 years old; but the Spaniard has been playing red-hot golf and nearly won last week’s Northern Trust before a pair of untimely bogeys sunk his chances.

His last six tournaments have resulted in four top-3 finishes and nothing worse than an 11th-place finish. While his +1100 odds don’t present amazing value, you’re still getting better odds than two golfers for a player who’s as hot as they come in the world of golf right now. Bet Rahm with confidence this week.

Jon Rahm’s Last 6 Tournaments

Tournament Result
The Northern Trust T-3rd
WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational 7th
The Open Championship 11th
Irish Open WIN
Andalucia Masters T-2nd
US Open T-3rd

Last 5 BMW Championship Winners

Year Winner
2018 Keegan Bradley
2017 Marc Leishman
2016 Dustin Johnson
2015 Jason Day
2014 Billy Horschel

Last 5 tournaments have not been contested at Medinah Country Club

2019 BMW Championship Best Value Picks

  1. Webb Simpson (+2500): Three runner-up finishes in last six events, including back-to-back before the Northern Trust. Hasn’t missed a cut since March and ranks 14th or better in five of six main ‘strokes gained’ categories on tour.
  2. Jordan Spieth (+3300): Was in second place after 36 holes last week to pick up third top-20 finish in last four events, with the other tournament seeing him in contention after two rounds at Wyndham Championship. If he can figure out his ghastly 174th ranked scoring average on Saturday’s, could finally win again for first time since 2017 Open.
  3. Francesco Molinari (+6600): Hasn’t done much since Masters collapse in April, but too good of odds to pass up here. Still posted T-11 & T-16 at US & Open Championships so still more than capable of playing great among elite fields.
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