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2020 QBE Shootout Odds and Picks

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in Golf

Updated Dec 8, 2020 · 6:16 AM PST

Matthew Wolff
Matthew Wolff waits to hit at the driving range during a practice round for the Masters golf tournament Tuesday, Nov. 10, 2020, in Augusta, Ga.(AP Photo/Chris Carlson)
  • Twelve duos are competing in the QBE Shootout starting Friday December 11th-13th
  • The three formats are a scramble in the first round, modified alternate shot on day two and four-ball for the final round
  • We’ve narrowed down the golfers with the best chance of emerging victorious and provided the best value bets below

Golf’s silly season begins in earnest at the QBE Shootout in Naples, Florida from the Tiburon Golf Club (Gold Course) where twelve duos will team up to compete for the crown.

The tandem of Matthew Wolff and Abraham Ancer are the slight favorites over Cameron Champ/Tony Finau and Bubba Watson/Louis Oosthuizen.

Super low scores are essential in order to win the QBE Shootout title, where last year Rory Sabbatini and Kevin Tway won with a three-round score of 31-under-par after rounds of 58-67-60. The first and final rounds are where the low scores occur with a scramble format and the final day four-ball format.

2020 QBE Shootout Odds

Pairings Odds
Matthew Wolff/Abraham Ancer +500
Tony Finau/Cameron Champ +600
Bubba Watson/Louis Oosthuizen +600
Marc Leishman/Cameron Smith +650
Joaquin Niemann/Sebastian Munoz +700
Billy Horschel/Brendon Todd +850
Matt Kuchar/Harris English +850
Daniel Berger/Steve Stricker +1100
Mackenzie Hughes/Lanto Griffin +1200
Harold Varner III/Ryan Palmer +1400
Rory Sabbatini/Kevin Tway +1600
Kevin Na/Sean O’Hair +3300

Odds taken December 8th from FanDuel

Niemann and Munoz are Birdie Makers

In this format, where tons of birdies and eagles are required to keep up with the competition, it’s important to back players who are capable of making plenty of them. The tandem of Joaquin Niemann and Sebastian Munoz may not be households names, but they fit the bill really well.

Niemann has extra motivation as well, with his one month old cousin battling Spinal Muscular Atrophy, which saw him donate 100% of his prize money from his T-23 showing at last week’s Mayakoba Classic.

The Chilean sensation is T-13 in birdie or better average on the campaign with his partner Sebastian Munoz ranking T-32 last season.

Apart from a T-44 showing at the RSM Classic, Niemann hasn’t been worse than T-27 in his last eight events, and as the fifth favorites on the board, you’re getting slightly more value than the betting favorites Matthew Wolff and Abraham Ancer.

Last Five QBE Shootout Winners

Year Winner
2019 Rory Sabbatini/Kevin Tway (-31)
2018 Brian Harman/Patton Kizzire (-30)
2017 Steve Stricker/Sean O’Hair (-26)
2016 Matt Kuchar/Harris English (-28)
2015 Jason Dufner/Brandt Snedeker (-30)

QBE Shootout Best Value Picks

  1. Matt Kuchar/Harris English (+850): This duo has prevailed twice at this tournament, in 2013 and 2016. They’ve also finished second twice, in 2014 and 2015. English has made 13 of his last 14 cuts, with ten top-20 finishes in that span.
  2. Harold Varner III/Ryan Palmer (+1400): Last year this tandem finished in a tie for third here with a score of -28. In the early going of the 2020-21 season, Palmer ranks second on tour in birdie or better percentage at 29.76% which is critical for success at the QBE Shootout. Palmer has had recent success in team competition as well, winning the 2019 Zurich Classic of New Orleans alongside Jon Rahm.
  3. Rory Sabbatini/Kevin Tway (+1600): Considering they just won this event last year, you’d think Rory Sabbatini and Kevin Tway would have a bit more respect from the book heading into this tournament, but they have the second longest odds this week. The main reason for that is Tway’s struggles on the season, but in a team format on a course they blitzed last year, these are intriguing odds.
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