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Fowler & Rose’s 2019 Masters Odds Improving, Thomas and Woods Continue Fading

Rickie Fowler
Rickie Fowler is in search of his first career major title at this week's Masters Tournament. Photo by Tour Pro Golf Clubs (flickr) [CC License].
  • The 83rd edition of the Masters tournament tees off Thursday, April 11th
  • Some big names find their odds improving while Tiger Woods and Justin Thomas fall
  • Who offers the best value on the eve of the tournament?

The excitement in the air is palpable as the Masters returns for the first major of the golf season.

Some big name golfers’ Masters odds have have improved like Justin Rose, Rickie Fowler and Jon Rahm, while Tiger Woods and Justin Thomas’ odds have faded from earlier in the year. So which golfer presents the best value?

2019 Masters Odds

Golfer 2019 Masters Odds at Bovada
Rory McIlroy +750
Dustin Johnson +1000
Justin Rose +1200
Tiger Woods +1400
Rickie Fowler +1600
Jon Rahm +1800
Justin Thomas +1800
Jordan Spieth +2200
Francesco Molinari +2200
Brooks Koepka +2500

*Odds taken 04/10/19. Follow the link in the table above to see all options.

Justin Rose Always a Formidable Force at Masters

It’s actually pretty stunning that Justin Rose has not added a green jacket to his closet to go along with his 2013 US Open trophy. If you feel it seems like Rose is always in contention at Augusta National, you’d be right.

Justin Rose’s Last 5 Results at the Masters

Year Result
2018 T-12th
2017 2nd (lost playoff)
2016 T-10th
2015 T-2nd
2014 T-14th

Rose’s odds were at a slightly more appealing +1800 last September compared to his current posting of +1200.

He absolutely has to be on your short list to win with the Englishmen already having tasted victory at the Farmers Insurance Open this year, along with a third place finish and a top-10 in his last two events.

Rickie Fowler Out to Avenge Last Year’s Close Call

By law of averages Rickie Fowler has to finally break through in a big event at some point, right? He has put himself in the thick of things far too often to not pick off a major, perhaps none more frustrating than his dazzling display at Augusta last year, only to come up one shot short to Patrick Reed.

His odds have dropped from an average of +2100 to +1800 since last week likely caused by a rush of wagers placed on him. While it would be fantastic to see him break through, with all those close calls in majors building up scar tissue, his odds don’t present fantastic value.

Rickie Fowler’s Best Finishes in Majors

Tournament Result
2018 Masters 2nd
2014 Open Championship T-2nd
2014 U.S. Open T-2nd
2014 PGA Championship T-3rd
2014 Masters T-5th
2017 PGA Championship T-5th
2017 U.S. Open T-5th
2011 Open Championship T-5th

Tiger Woods’ Odds Lower than they Should Be

As detailed by us two days ago, Tiger Woods’ odds should be at least doubled, and as tempting as it is to bet on him, you’d be more wise to resist the urge. He’s 74th in strokes gained: putting, which gives considerable pause at Augusta. At least his odds have moved up from +850 last November.

2019 Masters Best Value Picks

  1. Justin Thomas (+1800): Amazingly coming in super under the radar despite three top-3 finishes this season. Hasn’t been as sharp of late with three straight so-so finishes, but the 2017 PGA champ is dangerous. Average odds moved from +1200 in December to his current number.
  2. Jason Day (+2800): Way back in November I picked Day for the Masters so why change now? Has a second and third place showing at the Masters, and has six top-13 finishes this season.
  3. Matt Kuchar (+4000): Incredible value. Three career top-5 placings at the Masters. On fire all season, winning twice and finishing runner-up at WGC-Dell Match Play two weeks ago. Leader of FedEx Cup points list.
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Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statisitician for the Jay and Dan Show. He has worked at TSN for over 13 years, where he's been featured on Sportscentre, That's Hockey, That's Hockey 2Nite, The Masters preview shows, and several more.