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PGA Tour 2018 Mayakoba Golf Classic Odds: Can Fowler Get a Win?

Rickie Fowler
Rickie Fowler is looking to do one better after finishing runner-up at the Mayakoba Golf Classic last year. Photo by Keith Allison (Flickr) [CC License]
  • Fowler returns to tournament he was runner-up in last year
  • Recent trend of 20-something winners on tour
  • The golfers with the best value to emerge victorious

Rickie Fowler, Jordan Spieth, and Tony Finau tee it up again this week to headline the relatively weak field at the Mayakoba Golf Classic in Mexico.

The three account for the only players ranked top 15 in the world competing.

In the 11-year history of this event, ten of the eventual winners came from the United States, with Graeme McDowell in 2015 the lone exception. Of those 11 champs, eight have been at least 30 years old.

Odds to Win 2018 Mayakoba Golf Classic

Player Odds to Win 2018 Mayakoba Golf Classic at Bovada
Rickie Fowler +900
Tony Finau +1400
Jordan Spieth +1600
Gary Woodland +1800
Emiliano Grillo +2000
Aaron Wise +2800
Cameron Champ +3300
Billy Horschel +3300
Abraham Ancer +3300
Ryan Moore +3300

*Follow the link in the table to see all options

The Time is Now for Fowler to Win

At last weeks tournament in Las Vegas, I cautioned against Rickie Fowler winning and yet this week I’m bullish on him.

Why the change?

He had his usual great first tourney of the season (tie for fourth) and was a runner-up here in debut at Mayakoba last season.

He’s stuck on that criminally low four PGA Tour titles, but why not get off the schneid with a low-tier event? He really needs to kick-start his career and earn more W’s and he’s showing supreme confidence.

Last 5 winners at Mayakoba Golf Classic

Year Winner
2017 Patton Kizzire
2016 Pat Perez
2015 Graeme McDowell
2014 Charley Hoffman
2013 Harris English

Younger players prevailing on Tour this season

As mentioned earlier, this tournament has a history of late bloomers taking home the hardware, including the last four champions being at least in their 30’s.

One trend could be bucked this week, though, because the last four PGA Tour winners this season shows that the tour is skewing younger.

PGA Tour Winners This Season

Tournament Winner Age
Safeway Open Kevin Tway 30
CIMB Classic Marc Leishman 34
The CJ Cup @ Nine Bridges Brooks Koepka 28
WGC-HSBC Champions Xander Schauffele 25
Sanderson Farms Championship Cameron Champ 23
Shriners Hospitals for Children Open Bryson DeChambeau 25

2018 Mayakoba Golf Classic Best Value Picks

  1. Abraham Ancer (+3300): I liked this value much better at the initial posting of +4500, but Ancer is Mexico’s best hope for a national victory, having finished T-9 last year at this event and has two top-five finishes in 3 starts this year.
  2. Chez Reavie (+5000): Finished T-4 and T-14 here last two years and has been in the money in all four events this year, highlighted by T-7 at Nine Bridges.
  3. Charley Hoffman (+8000): 2014 champ that has had a pair of middling results in the early season, but has propensity to get hot and make birdies in bunches.
  4. Jamie Lovemark (+10000): How has this man never won on the PGA Tour before? Destined to get that breakthrough victory sooner rather than later.
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Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statisitician for the Jay and Dan Show. He has worked at TSN for over 13 years, where he's been featured on Sportscentre, That's Hockey, That's Hockey 2Nite, The Masters preview shows, and several more.