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Sanderson Farms Championship Odds to Make the Cut

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in Golf

Updated Sep 28, 2022 · 7:42 AM PDT

Keegan Bradley reaction after missing a putt
Aug 19, 2022; Wilmington, Delaware, USA; Keegan Bradley reacts after a missed putt on the fifth green during the second round of the BMW Championship golf tournament. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports
  • You can bet on which golfers will make and miss the cut at the 2022 Sanderson Farms Championship
  • Which favorites might be heading home early? Will anyone off the radar reach the weekend?
  • See the Sanderson Farms Championship odds to make and miss the cut for the top players

Event number two of the fall portion of the 2022-23 PGA Tour season goes down this week in Jackson, Mississippi. The Sanderson Farms Championship is one of the easier events on Tour, and players are going to have to put up birdies in bunches just to make the weekend.

One player who’s struggled in that category lately is Keegan Bradley, and he’s the man we’re eyeing to miss the cut this week at the Country Club of Jackson.

Odds to Make and Miss Cut at the Sanderson Farms Championship

Golfer Odds to Make the Cut Odds to Miss the Cut
Sam Burns -550 +350
J.T. Poston -400 +275
Denny McCarthy -360 +250
Sahith Theegala -320 +225
Russell Henley -320 +210
Taylor Montgomery -300 +210
Scott Stallings -300 +210
Christiaan Bezuidenhout -280 +200
Keegan Bradley -265 +190
Davis Riley -240 +175
Emiliano Grillo -240 +175
Thomas Detry -240 +175
Chris Kirk -215 +160
Taylor Moore -215 +160
Trey Mullinax -215 +160
Harris English -200 +150
Gary Woodland -200 +150
Andrew Putnam -200 +150
Adam Svensson -200 +150
Alex Smalley -200 +150
Wyndham Clark -200 +150

Odds as of September 27th at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Bradley currently boasts +190 odds to trunk slam, and a -200 price tag to make the cut. The shortest odds to make the cut belong to world #12 and defending champ Sam Burns at -450.  He’s followed by J.T. Poston at -400, then Denny McCarthy at -360, and Sahith Theegala and Russell Henley at -320.



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Bradley’s Bad Form Continues

Bradley enters the week having missed three of his past five cuts, with a 44th and 58th place result sandwiched in between. Not exactly world class form. He also failed to make the weekend at this event last year, falling short of the -5 cut line by two strokes.

Bradley’s known for being a world class ball striker, but his iron play fell off a cliff towards the end of last season. He lost 4.4 strokes on approach in his final tournament of 2021-22, after losing at least 1.4 strokes with his irons in the previous two events.

Keegan Bradley’s Last 5 Starts

Event Result SG Total
BMW Championship 58th -6.0
FedEx St. Jude MC -1.1
Rocket Mortgage Classic 44th +1.5
British Open MC -2.6
Genesis Scottish Open MC -4.5

If you’re going to score at the Country Club of Jackson you’ll need to excel on the greens and with your wedges, two areas Bradley has also struggled in. He ranks 52nd in the field in strokes gained putting over the past 24 rounds, 68th in proximity from 100-125 yards out, and 97th in proximity from 125-150 yards away.

Pick: Keegan Bradley to Miss Cut (+190)

Make the Cut Parlay

While we’re fading Bradley to make the weekend, there’s a handful of players we are confident will be playing all four rounds. Russell Henley is at the top of that list, as the Country Club of Jackson should fit his eye. Any track that features Bermuda greens with an emphasis on wedge play caters to Henley. He ranks first in proximity from 125-150 yards over the past 24 rounds, and second in proximity from 100-125 yards away.

Let’s pair him with Emiliano Grillo, the headliner in our sleepers and longshots article. Grillo posted two runner-up finishes in his final six events of last season, and has made five straight cuts on US soil.

Next we’ll sprinkle in Thomas Detry, who ranks seventh in birdies or better and fourth in Par-5 scoring, another key metric this week, over the past 24 rounds.

Short track specialist and former champion of this event Chris Kirk is our next leg, who enters the week having made nine of his past 10 cuts overall.

We’ll round it out with Taylor Moore, who’s made eight straight cuts on Tour, and gains over a stroke per round on the field on courses that yield the lowest scores on Tour, such as the County Club of Jackson.

Add it all up, and we’re looking at a +467 payout if all five of our golfers survive the cutline and play the weekend.


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