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Scottish Open Odds to Make the Cut and H2H Best Bets

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in Golf

Updated Jul 11, 2023 · 9:50 PM PDT

Sahith Theegala admires a shot at the Travelers Championship
Jun 24, 2023; Cromwell, Connecticut, USA; Sahith Theegala plays his shot on the sixth hole during the third round of the Travelers Championship golf tournament. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports
  • Scottish Open make and miss the cut odds are live for the tournament starting Thursday, July 13
  • Sahith Theegala has lost at least 2.7 strokes tee-to-green in three of his last four starts
  • Check out the complete list of Scottish Open make and miss the cut odds, plus a H2H matchup pick to target

As the world of professional golf transitions to links venues for the next two weeks, there’s a lack of enticing options to key-in on to miss the cut at the Scottish Open.

Only a small percentage of the 156-man field are eligible to be targeted. Justin Thomas would seem like the most likely candidate of the list given his lack of form, but there’s a good chance a switch to a different style of golf is exactly what the two-time Major champ needs to jumpstart his game.

That leaves Sahith Theegala as the next best option, which is unfortunate because he’s one of the most enjoyable players on Tour to root for.

Scottish Open Make the Cut Odds

Golfer Odds to Make the Cut Odds to Miss the Cut
Scottie Scheffler -800 +550
Rory McIlroy -700 +400
Patrick Cantlay -650 +400
Xander Schauffele -650 +400
Rickie Fowler -500 +300
Matt Fitzpatrick -500 +300
Viktor Hovland -500 +300
Tyrrell Hatton -500 +300
Tommy Fleetwood -425 +275
Jordan Spieth -380 +250
Shane Lowry -380 +250
Wyndham Clark -340 +225
Min Woo Lee -295 +200
Max Homa -295 +200
Justin Rose -275 +190
Sam Burns -250 +175
Ryan Fox -250 +175
Adam Scott -250 +175
Justin Thomas -250 +175
Corey Conners -225 +160
Sungjae Im -225 +160
Sahith Theegala -190 +135
Tom Kim -190 +135

But we’re not here to make friends, we’re here to cash tickets. Theegala’s +135 odds to trunk slam won’t make you rich, but there’s plenty of reason to believe a missed cut for him has been a long time in the making.

 

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Theegala a Prime Candidate to Trunk Slam

Let’s get this out of the way first. Theegala rarely trunk slams. He’s currently riding a streak of 19 straight made cuts, which is baffling considering his form.

The loveable 25-year-old has lost at least 2.7 strokes tee-to-green in three of his past four starts. He’s been a minus in the ball striking department in five of his last six tournaments, and right now the only thing that is working is his putter.

Theegala hasn’t lost strokes on the greens since the Players Championship, and has been a negative with the putter just twice in 2023. There’s no denying his putting acumen, but that’s not a skill that can typically be banked on, unlike ball striking.

The abysmal ball striking has started to affect Theegala’s results, as he’s finished inside the top-38 once in his last six starts, with three showings of 52nd or worse. There’s been no signs of the ball striking improving, and I’m willing to bet it finally catches up with him this week.

Pick: Sahith Theegala to Miss the Cut (+135)

Make the Cut Parlay

Shifting gears to the make the cut market now, where we’ve built a three-leg parlay, while trying to stay price sensitive.

The wager starts with Max Homa, who’s underpriced after a pair of poor June results. He bounced back after two missed cuts last time out in Detroit, gaining 7.8 strokes tee-to-green, including 4.6 strokes with his irons. Homa finished 16th at the Scottish Open last year and should be priced much closer to the Tyrrell Hatton / Tommy Fleetwood range.

We’ll pair Homa with Justin Rose, who ranks fourth in strokes gained approach over the last 24 rounds and was featured in our Scottish Open outright betting column. Rose won earlier this year at Pebble Beach, another coastal track, and has four top-12 results in his last four starts.

Last but not least, we’ll add Tom Kim to this bet. Kim finished third at this tournament last year, and has started to show signs of life after a disappointing stretch between the Masters and U.S. Open. Kim has gained a total of 11.8 strokes in his last three starts with his irons alone, and superb iron play will go a long way to success this week at the Renaissance Club.

Pick: Make the Cut Parlay (+174)

Rose vs Burns H2H Matchup

Back to Rose, as we’re targeting him in the 72-hole head-to-head market as well. He’s pitted against Sam Burns, and Rose’s -120 price tag is simply not short enough.

Rose is a phenomenal links player, having grown up in England. Burns on the other hand, has never finished higher than 42nd in any of his three starts across the pond.

Rose vs Burns H2H Odds

Team Moneyline
Justin Rose -120
Sam Burns +100

The American’s form is nowhere near as strong as Rose’s, with three missed cuts in his last six starts, and five trunk slams since the middle of February.

Over the last 24 rounds, Burns ranks significantly worse in strokes gained tee-to-green, ball striking, short game and approach play, besting the Englishman only on the greens.

Pick: Justin Rose Over Sam Burns (-120)  

 

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